Table 3.
Significant Variable Estimates and Fitting Diagnostics of the Multinomial End of Defensive Phase Logit Models.
| Reference | B | SE | B 95%CI |
Perturbation |
Wald | Sig. | Exp(B) | Exp(B) 95%CI |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | Min | Max | Lower | Upper | ||||||||
| Univariatea | |||||||||||||
| FEda | DNpt | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 4.15 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.99 | |
| FEda | Tier 2 | 0.62 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.96 | 0.29 | 0.92 | 9.36 | 0.00 | 1.86 | 1.25 | 2.77 | |
| FEda | TSaa | -0.05 | 0.03 | -0.09 | -0.02 | -0.06 | -0.04 | 4.03 | 0.04 | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.99 | |
| FEda | TSce | -0.06 | 0.03 | -0.11 | -0.02 | -0.08 | -0.03 | 3.90 | <.05 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.99 | |
| FEda | TSfd | -0.55 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -0.42 | -0.55 | -0.28 | 50.58 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.67 | |
| FEep | Tier 2 | 0.49 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.85 | 0.11 | 0.74 | 5.10 | 0.02 | 1.64 | 1.07 | 2.51 | |
| FEep | TSce | -0.09 | 0.04 | -0.15 | -0.04 | -0.11 | -0.06 | 6.04 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.98 | |
| FEep | TSfd | -0.49 | 0.08 | -0.62 | -0.35 | -0.49 | -0.21 | 35.55 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.72 | |
| FEi | Tier 2 | -0.47 | 0.20 | -0.79 | -0.14 | -0.68 | -0.10 | 5.64 | 0.02 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.92 | |
| FEi | TSfd | -0.33 | 0.06 | -0.43 | -0.23 | -0.33 | -0.16 | 27.57 | 0.00 | 0.72 | 0.64 | 0.81 | |
| FEil | Argentina | Brazil | 0.74 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 1.77 | 0.42 | 0.97 | 7.58 | 0.01 | 2.09 | 1.24 | 3.53 |
| FEil | TSfd | -0.34 | 0.06 | -0.44 | -0.24 | -0.36 | -0.18 | 31.18 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.63 | 0.80 | |
| FIrb | Argentina | Brazil | 1.13 | 0.53 | 0.22 | 1.99 | 0.43 | 1.67 | 4.49 | 0.03 | 3.10 | 1.09 | 8.80 |
| FIrf | TSaa | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 4.25 | 0.04 | 1.05 | 1.00 | 1.11 | |
| FIrf | TSce | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 5.07 | 0.02 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.14 | |
| FIrf | Argentina | Brazil | 1.16 | 0.45 | 0.42 | 1.89 | 0.48 | 1.73 | 6.62 | 0.01 | 3.17 | 1.32 | 7.65 |
| FIrf | Germany | Brazil | 0.92 | 0.45 | 0.17 | 1.66 | 0.17 | 1.67¥ | 4.11 | 0.04 | 2.50 | 1.03 | 6.06 |
| FIrf | Netherlands | Brazil | 1.09 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 1.82 | 0.37 | 1.63 | 5.90 | 0.02 | 2.96 | 1.23 | 7.12 |
| Multivariateb | |||||||||||||
| FEda | DTSd | -0.09 | 0.04 | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 6.23 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.98 | |
| FEda | Tier 2 | 0.55 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.89 | 0.18¥ | 0.76 | 7.09 | 0.01 | 1.74 | 1.16 | 2.61 | |
| FEep | TSaa | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 5.32 | 0.02 | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.20 | |
| FEep | TSce | -0.17 | 0.06 | -0.28 | -0.06 | -0.20 | -0.02 | 6.94 | 0.01 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.96 | |
| FEi | Tier 2 | -0.48 | 0.20 | -0.81 | -0.15 | -0.71 | -0.07¥ | 5.75 | 0.02 | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.92 | |
| FEil | Argentina | Brazil | 0.73 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 1.17 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 7.35 | 0.01 | 2.08 | 1.22 | 3.52 |
| FEtg | Argentina | Germany | -0.76 | 0.37 | -1.37 | -0.15 | -1.20 | -0.29 | 4.25 | 0.04 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.96 |
| FEtg | Netherlands | Germany | -0.70 | 0.36 | -1.29 | -0.12 | -1.14 | -0.30 | 3.87 | <0.05 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.99 |
| FIrb | Argentina | Brazil | 1.10 | 0.54 | 0.22 | 1.99 | 0.25 | 1.99 | 4.19 | 0.04 | 3.01 | 1.05 | 8.65 |
| FIrb | DTSd | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 4.53 | 0.03 | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.20 | |
| FIrf | Argentina | Brazil | 1.11 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 1.73 | 5.97 | 0.01 | 3.04 | 1.25 | 7.40 |
| FIrf | Germany | Brazil | 0.97 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 1.72 | 0.34 | 1.53 | 4.55 | 0.03 | 2.64 | 1.08 | 6.46 |
| FIrf | Netherlands | Brazil | 1.08 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 1.82 | 0.37 | 1.63 | 5.75 | 0.02 | 2.94 | 1.22 | 7.11 |
Notes. ¥ the value of perturbation analysis is out of 95% confidence interval range so careful interpretations should be done. The reference category is FEds (End of defensive phase by tackle); FEda = End of defensive by Heading; FEep = End of defensive phase by Ball carrier error; Fei = End of defensive phase by Interception; Feil = End of defensive phase by Interruptions and laws infractions; FEtg = End of defensive phase by Goalkeeper technique; FIrb = End of defensive phase by Shot on Goal; FIrf = End of defensive phase by Shot off Goal; DNpt = Non-possession of ball after transition-state attack/defence; DTSd = Transition-state attack/defence; Tier 2 = teams who lost in the eight-or quarterfinals; TSaa = Delay sub-phase; TSce = Controlling space sub-phase; TSfd = Forcing the opponent direction/Reducing space sub-phase; LL = Log-Likelihood; VIF = Variance inflation factor; df = degrees of freedom; Pseudo R Squared(Cox and Snell/ Nagelkerke); Classf = Classification accuracy; Χ2 = Likelihood Ratio Tests. a. DNpb: -2LL = 705.7, Χ2(7) = 18.3, p = 0.01, Pseudo R2 = .014/.015, Classf. = 20.3%; DNpt: -2LL = 673, χ2(7) = 14.6, p = 0.04, Pseudo R2 = .012/.012, Classf. = 20.9%; DTSd: -2LL = 540.5, χ2(7) = 13.8, p = 0.06, Pseudo R2 = 011/.011, Classf. = 21.0%; Halves: -2LL = 86.7, χ2(7) = 6.6, p = 0.47, Pseudo R2 = .005/.005,
Classf. = 20.3%; Opponent Quality: -2LL = 123.1, χ2(7) = 43.2, p = .00, Pseudo R2 = .034/.034, Classf. = 22.6%; Teams: -2LL = 174.8, χ2(21) = 34.6, p = .03, Pseudo R2 = .027/.028, Classf. = 21.1%; TSaa: -2LL = 781.8, χ2(7) = 34.4, p = .00, Pseudo R2 = .027/.028, Classf. = 20.0%; TSce: -2LL = 545.1, χ2(7) = 37.9, p = .00, Pseudo R2 = .030/.030, Classf. = 0.8%; TSfd: -2LL = 389, χ2(7) = 108.3, p = .00, Pseudo R2 = .082/.084, Classf. = 22.9%.
b. DNpb: -2LL = 4382, χ2(7) = 20, p = .011, VIF = 1.00; DTSd: -2LL = 4383.7, χ2(7) = 21.6, p = .00, VIF = 1.04; Teams: -2LL = 4396.8, χ2(21) = 34.8, p = 0.03, VIF = 2.09; Opponent Quality: -2LL = 4395.7, χ2(7) = 33.7, p = .00; VIF = 1.95; TSaa: -2LL = 4382.6, χ2(7) = 20.6, p = .00, VIF = 5.22; TSce: -2LL = 4384.2, χ2(7) = 22.1, p = .00, VIF = 5.31; Final Model: -2LL = 4362.7, χ2(56) = 157.1, p = .00, Hosmer and Lemeshow test = 50.4, p = 0.69, Pseudo R2 = .117/.120, Classf. = 25.6%.