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Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection logoLink to Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection
. 2020 Jul 28;140:110171. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110171

On the dynamical modeling of COVID-19 involving Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative and based on Daubechies framelet simulations

Mutaz Mohammad a,, Alexander Trounev b
PMCID: PMC7386312  PMID: 32834652

Abstract

In this paper, we present a novel fractional order COVID-19 mathematical model by involving fractional order with specific parameters. The new fractional model is based on the well-known Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative with non-singular kernel. The proposed system is developed using eight fractional-order nonlinear differential equations. The Daubechies framelet system of the model is used to simulate the nonlinear differential equations presented in this paper. The framelet system is generated based on the quasi-affine setting. In order to validate the numerical scheme, we provide numerical simulations of all variables given in the model.

Keywords: Fractional differential equations, Novel coronavirus, Daubechies wavelet, Tight frame, Mathematical model

1. Introduction

The novel corona-virus is a new strain of coronavirus which may cause illness, fever, dry cough where these symptoms are usually mild and begin gradually. The world health organization has declared this virus as a pandemic in early March of 2020 where many countries have taken serious actions and implemented curfew, quarantine and lock-down measures as a plan to control the rapid spread of COVID-19. The first case of COVID-19 was detected in Wuhan city in China at the end of the year of 2019 where it is suggested that the COVID-19 virus might be originated from bats and it’s transmission might related to a seafood market exposure. Many researchers worldwide started to work on developing mathematical models that best describe the dynamics of this pandemic. It is known in biological system with memory it would be suitable to use fractional derivatives to describe evolution of the system [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10]. Furthermore, Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative (ABFD) has been one of the most useful operators for modeling non-local behaviors by fractional differential equations. The advantage of using such derivative lies on its properties such as the non-locality and non-singularity of its kernel, and the crossover behavior in the model can only be best described using this derivative. Additionally, it allows traditional and various types of initial conditions to be consider in the creation of the dynamical model. Many scientists proposed new models to best describe the dynamics of all possible parameters responsible for the daily cases reported including deaths, control the fatality rate, and prediction of COVID-19 behavior in future within a specific region. It is known that several models can describe the same system, which is a challenging step. In this paper we intend to formulate a new mathematical model of Corona virus based on the model presented in Ndaïrou et al. [11] based on ABFD. The numerical method simulation is conducted via the framelet system generated using Daubechies scaling functions.

Daubechies wavelets have been proven as a useful tool in a variety of various applications such as filter banks constructions in image painting. This is largely due to the fact that wavelets have the right structure to capture the sparsity in âphysicalâ images, perfect mathematical properties such as its multi-scale structure, sparsity, smoothness, compactly supported, and high vanishing moments properties. It has many applications in fractional integral and differential equations (see for example [12], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22], [23], [24], [25], [26], [27], [28]. Framelets have been used extensively in the context of both pure and numerical methods in several applications, due to their well prevailing and recognized theory and its natural properties such as sparsity and stability which lead to a well-conditioned scheme. In this paper, an effective and accurate technique based on Daubechies wavelets is presented for solving the transmission model of COVID-19 based on Caputo fractional derivative. The advantage of using such wavelets, lies on its simple structure of the reduced systems and in the powerfulness of obtaining approximated solutions for such equations that have weakly singular kernels. The proposed method shows a good performance and high accuracy orders.

Definition 1.1

A function ϕL2(R) is called a scaling function if

ϕ=2kZa[k]ϕ(2·k), (1.1)

where a[k]2(Z) is finitely supported sequence and is called the refinement mask of ϕ. The corresponding wavelet function is defined by

ψ=2kZb[k]ϕ(2·k), (1.2)

where b[k]2(Z) is finitely supported sequence and is called the high pass filter of ψ.

For a function fL1(R) (which can be naturaly extended to L2(R)), we use the following Fourier transform defined by

f^(ξ)=12πReixξf(x)dx.

The Fourier series of the sequence a is defined by

a^(ξ)=kZa[k]eikξ,ξR. (1.3)

2. Daubechies framelets using the unitary extension principle (UEP)

If g is a wavelet function that has q vanishing moments such that

tmg(t)dt=0,m=0,1,,q1.

Suppose that the function g generates an orthonormal basis of L2(R), then the constructed wavelet will be compactly supported within the domain [0,2q1]. Daubechies wavelets do not have explicit form but defined recursively as follows

gm(x)=2kZhkϕm1(2xk),g0(x)=χ[0,1)(x).

One of the important features of this wavelet is its smoothness as it increases for a higher q. We present the graphs of ϕ and its corresponding wavelet ψ when q=1,2 and 3,4 in Figs. 1 and 2 respectively.

Definition 2.1

A sequence {gk}k=1 of functions in L2(R) is called a frame for L2(R) if ∃ postive numbers r, R such that

rf2k=1|g,gk|2Rf2,gL2(R).

The constants r, R are called frame bounds [29]. A frame is called tight if we have r=R as frame bounds, and it is Parseval frame if r=R=1.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Daubechies refinable functions with their corresponding wavelets of order q=1 and q=2 respectively.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Daubechies refinable functions with their corresponding wavelets of order q=3 and q=4 respectively.

The idea is to construct framelet system based on Daubechies scaling function ϕ and its corresponding wavelet function ψ. Assume that Ξ={ψ}=1rL2(R) such that

ψ=2kZb[k]ϕ(2·k), (2.1)

where {b[k],kZ}=1r is a finitely supported sequence. Define the wavelet system

X(Ξ)={ψ,j,k:1r;j,kZ},

where ψ,j,k(x)=2j/2ψ(2jxk).

Theorem 2.2 UEP [29]

Assume that ϕL2(R) be a compactly supported scaling function. Let {b[k],kZ}=1r be a set of finitely supported sequences, then

X(Ξ)={ψ,j,k:1r;j,kZ} (2.2)

generates a framelet system for L2(R) if the following is hold for any dZ

=0rkZb[k]¯b[kp]=δ0,d (2.3)

and

=0rkZ(1)kdb[k]¯b[kd]=0. (2.4)

According to Theorem 2.2, for any constructed framelet system we have the following representation given by

f==1rjZkZf,ψ,j,kψ,j,k. (2.5)

This system can be truncated by Unf as follows

Unf==1rj<nkZf,ψ,j,kψ,j,k. (2.6)

2.1. Examples of Daubechies framelet systems

Here we provide some examples on the construction of framelet systems basd on several orders of Daubechies scaling functions of different orders.

Example 2.1

For q=1, let a[k]=[0.5,0.5]. Then based on the UEP, we can find two finitely supported sequences b 1[k], b 2[k] such that the following two functions generate a framelet system of L2(R)

ψ^1(ξ)=(0.282238i)e(0.5i)ξξ+0.282238iξ0.564477e(0.75i)ξsin(0.25ξ)ξ,ψ^2(ξ)=(0.282238i)e(0.5i)ξξ0.282238iξ+0.564477e(0.75i)ξsin(0.25ξ)ξ.

Note that, according to the UEP we need to solve the following system of equation written in MATLAB software to be able to get the required sequences b 1[k], b 2[k], where for q=1 we have

functionF=mydaub2(x)F=[(x(1))2+(x(2))2+(x(3))2+(x(4))2.5;x(1)*x(2)+x(3)*x(4)+(1/4);(x(1))2(x(2))2+(x(3))2(x(4))2];end;

and for q=2 we have the following

functionF=mydaub4(x)F=[(x(1))2+(x(2))2+(x(3))2+(x(4))2+(x(5))2+(x(6))2+(x(7))2+(x(8))2(1/2);x(1)*x(2)+x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)+x(5)*x(6)+x(6)*x(7)+x(7)*x(8)+(9/32);x(1)*x(3)+x(2)*x(4)+x(5)*x(7)+x(6)*x(8);x(1)*x(4)+x(5)*x(8)+(1/32);(x(1))2(x(2))2+(x(3))2(x(4))2+(x(5))2(x(6))2+(x(7))2(x(8))2+(585/2702);x(1)*x(2)x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)+x(5)*x(6)x(6)*x(7)+x(7)*x(8)+(3/32);x(1)*x(3)x(2)*x(4)+x(5)*x(7)x(6)*x(8)+(484/4471)];end;

where x(k) is the nonzero value of the compactly supported sequences of both b 1 and b 2. Note that, when q=2, we have the following low pass filter

a[k]=[1+38,3+38,338,138]

The graphs of Daubechies scaling functions of order one and two along with their corresponding framelets are depicted in Fig. 3 .

Example 2.2

For q=3, we have the following low pass filter related to Daubechies scaling function of order 3 given by

a[k]=[0.235233,0.5705584,0.325182,0.095467,0.06041610,0.0249087].

Then based on the UEP, we can find two finitely supported sequences b 1[k], b 2[k] such that two functions ψ 1, ψ 2 can generate a framelet system of L2(R). Note that, according to the UEP we need to solve the following system of equation written in MATLAB software to be able to get the required sequences b 1[k], b 2[k], where for q=3 we have

functionF=mydaub6(x)F=[(x(1))2+(x(2))2+(x(3))2+(x(4))2+(x(5))2+(x(6))2+(x(7))2+(x(8))2+(x(9))2+(x(10))2+(x(11))2+(x(12))2.5;x(1)*x(2)+x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)+x(4)*x(5)+x(5)*x(6)+x(7)*x(8)+x(8)*x(9)+x(9)*x(10)+x(10)*x(11)+x(11)*x(12)+(75/256);x(1)*x(3)+x(2)*x(4)+x(3)*x(5)+x(4)*x(6)+x(7)*x(9)+x(10)*x(8)+x(11)*x(9)+x(12)*x(10)+(0);x(1)*x(4)+x(2)*x(5)+x(6)*x(3)+x(10)*x(7)+x(11)*x(8)+x(12)*x(9)+(25/512);x(1)*x(5)+x(2)*x(6)+x(11)*x(7)+x(12)*x(8)+(0);x(1)*x(6)+x(12)*x(7)+(3/512);(x(1))2(x(2))2+(x(3))2(x(4))2+(x(5))2(x(6))2+(x(7))2(x(8))2+(x(9))2(x(10))2+(x(11))2(x(12))2+(22/129);x(1)*x(2)x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)x(4)*x(5)+x(5)*x(6)+x(7)*x(8)x(8)*x(9)+x(9)*x(10)x(10)*x(11)+x(11)*x(12)+(468/5221);x(1)*x(3)x(2)*x(4)+x(3)*x(5)x(4)*x(6)+x(7)*x(9)x(10)*x(8)+x(11)*x(9)x(12)*x(10)+(44/387);x(1)*x(4)x(2)*x(5)+x(3)*x(6)+x(10)*x(7)x(11)*x(8)+x(12)*x(9)+(329/16357);x(1)*x(5)x(2)*x(6)+x(11)*x(7)x(12)*x(8)+(11/387);];end;

For q=4, we have the following low pass filter

a[k]=[0.1629017,0.50547285,0.4461000,0.01978751,0.1322535,0.02180815,.0232518005,0.00749349,0.1322535836,0.021808150,0.0232518005,0.00749349]

Again we need to solve a bigger system to obtain sequences b 1[k], b 2[k], where x(k) is the nonzero values of the supported sequences. The system is given by the following

functionF=mydaub8(x)F=[(x(1))2+(x(2))2+(x(3))2+(x(4))2+(x(5))2+(x(6))2+(x(7))2+(x(8))2+(x(9))2+(x(10))2+(x(11))2+(x(12))2+(x(13))2+(x(14))2+(x(15))2+(x(16))2(1/2);x(1)*x(2)+x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)+x(4)*x(5)+x(5)*x(6)+x(6)*x(7)+x(7)*x(8)+x(9)*x(10)+x(10)*x(11)+x(11)*x(12)+x(12)*x(13)+x(13)*x(14)+x(14)*x(15)+x(15)*x(16)+(419/1401);x(1)*x(3)+x(2)*x(4)+x(3)*x(5)+x(4)*x(6)+x(5)*x(7)+x(6)*x(8)+x(9)*x(11)+x(10)*x(12)+x(11)*x(13)+x(12)*x(14)+x(13)*x(15)+x(14)*x(16)+;x(1)*x(4)+x(2)*x(5)+x(3)*x(6)+x(4)*x(7)+x(5)*x(8)+x(9)*x(12)+x(10)*x(13)+x(11)*x(14)+x(12)*x(15)+x(13)*x(16)+(245/4096);x(1)*x(5)+x(2)*x(6)+x(3)*x(7)+x(4)*x(8)+x(9)*x(13)+x(10)*x(14)+x(11)*x(15)+x(12)*x(16)+(0);
x(1)*x(6)+x(2)*x(7)+x(3)*x(8)+x(9)*x(14)+x(10)*x(15)+x(11)*x(16)+(49/4096);x(1)*x(7)+x(2)*x(8)+x(9)*x(15)+x(10)*x(16)+(0);x(1)*x(8)+x(9)*x(16)+(5/4096);(x(1))2(x(2))2+(x(3))2(x(4))2+(x(5))2(x(6))2+(x(7))2(x(8))2+(x(9))2(x(10))2+(x(11))2(x(12))2+(x(13))2(x(14))2+(x(15))2(x(16))2+(26/2023);x(1)*x(2)x(2)*x(3)+x(3)*x(4)x(4)*x(5)+x(5)*x(6)x(6)*x(7)+x(7)*x(8)+x(9)*x(10)x(10)*x(11)+x(11)*x(12)x(12)*x(13)+x(13)*x(14)x(14)*x(15)+x(15)*x(16)+(536/3389);x(1)*x(3)x(2)*x(4)+x(3)*x(5)x(4)*x(6)+x(5)*x(7)x(6)*x(8)+x(9)*x(11)x(10)*x(12)+x(11)*x(13)x(12)*x(14)+x(13)*x(15)+x(14)*x(16)+(202/9531);x(1)*x(4)x(2)*x(5)+x(3)*x(6)x(4)*x(7)+x(5)*x(8)+x(9)*x(12)x(10)*x(13)+x(11)*x(14)x(12)*x(15)+x(13)*x(16)+(155/2072);x(1)*x(5)x(2)*x(6)+x(3)*x(7)+x(4)*x(8)+x(9)*x(13)x(10)*x(14)+x(11)*x(15)x(12)*x(16)+(127/5684);x(1)*x(6)x(2)*x(7)+x(3)*x(8)+x(9)*x(14)x(10)*x(15)+x(11)*x(16)+(224/19405);x(1)*x(7)x(2)*x(8)+x(9)*x(15)x(10)*x(16)+(238/31417)];end;

We present the graphs of Daubechies scaling functions of order three and four along with their corresponding framelets in Fig. 4 .

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Daubechies framelet generators with their corresponding scaling functions for q=1 and q=2 respectively.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Daubechies framelet generators with their corresponding scaling functions for q=3 and q=4 respectively.

Given the construction in the first part above and to simulate the resulting equations, now we are ready to introduce the new COVID-19 fractional model of nonlinear differential equations by applying the Atangana–Baleanu derivative. The advantage of using such framelet lies in its properties such as the highest number of vanishing moments, redundancy and its applications in solving a broad range of problems such as fractal problems and function discontinuities, see e.g., [13].

3. ABFD of COVID-19 model

Herein, we consider the model presented in Ndaïrou et al. [11] using ABFD. The model has eight nonlinear DEs. To simulate the system and for simplicity, we consider Daubechies framelet system of order one.

Hence, the new modified model that obtained by changing the left hand side of the system presented in Ndaïrou et al. [11] by involving ABFD. Before presenting the new model in fractional sense, let us provide the definition of ABFD and its associated integral. The advantage of using such framelets lies

Definition 3.1

For a real function u(t) where t, α > 0 and nN, we have the following fractional operators of order α, namely:

  • The ABFD sense,
    aABCDtαu(t)=B(α)1αatu(y)Mα(α1α(ty)α)dy,
    where B(α) is a normalization function such that B(0)=B(1)=0 and Mα is the MittagâLeffler function.
  • The integral operator corresponding to this definition is given by
    Iαu(x)=(1α)u(x)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)0xu(t)(xt)1αdt. (3.1)

We refer the reader to [4], [5] for more details and properties of the fractional derivative.

Therefore, the new model can be written as follows

aABCDtαS(t)=βιH(t)S(t)NβP(t)S(t)N+(β)S(t)N; (3.2)
aABCDtαE(t)=βιH(t)S(t)N+βP(t)S(t)N+(+β)S(t)NκE(t); (3.3)
aABCDtαI(t)=I(t)(γa+γi)I(t)δi+κρ1E(t); (3.4)
aABCDtαP(t)=P(t)(γa+γi)δpP(t)+κρ2E(t); (3.5)
aABCDtαA(t)=κ(ρ1ρ2+1)E(t); (3.6)
aABCDtαH(t)=γa(P(t)+I(t))δhH(t)H(t)γr; (3.7)
aABCDtαR(t)=H(t)γr+γi(P(t)+I(t)); (3.8)
aABCDtαF(t)=δhH(t)+δiI(t)+δpP(t); (3.9)

with the initial conditions

S(0)=N6;I(0)=1;P(0)=5;A(0)=H(0)=R(0)=F(0)=E(0)=0,

where the model parameters and its values are given in Table 1 for which the reproduction number

Ro=βρ1(γaι+γr+δh)(γa+γi+δi)(γr+δh)+(βγaι+β(γr+δh))ρ2(γa+γi+δa)(γr+δh)=0.945.

Table 1.

Parameters description and their values given Ro=0.945.

Parameter Description Parameter value
S(t) The susceptible cases
E(t) The exposed cases
I(t) Symptomatic and infectious class
P(t) Super-spreaders class
A(t) Infectious but asymptomatic class
H(t) Hospitalized
R(t) Recovery class
F(t) Fatality class
β Transmission coefficient from infected individuals 2.55
ι Relative transmissibility of hospitalized patients 1.56
β Transmission coefficient due to super-spreaders 7.65
κ Rate at which exposed become infectious 0.25
ρ1 Rate at which exposed people become infected I 0.580
ρ2 Rate at which exposed people become super-spreaders 0.001
γa Rate of being hospitalized 0.94
γi Recovery rate without being hospitalized 0.27
γr Recovery rate of hospitalized patients 0.50
δi Disease induced death rate due to infected class 3.5
δp Disease induced death rate due to super-spreaders 1.00
δh Disease induced death rate due to hospitalized class 0.30

We provide a numerical scheme based on the collocation technique by discretizing the domain function across the Daubechies framelet system being used to solve the proposed COVID-19 model. Therefore, by truncating each unknown variable using the truncated partial sum given in Eq. (2.6) generated using Daubechies framelet, our new model will take the following structure

B(α)1αatS(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=βιH(t)S(t)NβP(t)S(t)N+(β)S(t)N;B(α)1αatE(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=βιH(t)S(t)N+βP(t)S(t)N+(+β)S(t)NκE(t);B(α)1αatI(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=I(t)(γa+γi)I(t)δi+κρ1E(t);B(α)1αatP(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=P(t)(γa+γi)δpP(t)+κρ2E(t);B(α)1αatA(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=κ(ρ1ρ2+1)E(t);B(α)1αatH(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=γa(P(t)+I(t))δhH(t)H(t)γr;B(α)1αatR(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=H(t)γr+γi(P(t)+I(t));B(α)1αatF(y)Mα(α1α(yα)α)dy=δhH(t)+δiI(t)+δpP(t);

such that the derivative of each variable takes the following approximation

S(x)UnS(x)==1rj<nkZcSψ,j,k(x);E(x)UnE(x)==1rj<nkZcEψ,j,k(x)I(x)UnS(x)==1rj<nkZcIψ,j,k(x);P(x)UnP(x)==1rj<nkZcPψ,j,k(x),A(x)UnS(x)==1rj<nkZcAψ,j,k(x);H(x)UnH(x)==1rj<nkZcHψ,j,k(x)R(x)UnR(x)==1rj<nkZcRψ,j,k(x);F(x)UnF(x)==1rj<nkZcFψ,j,k(x),

and the coefficient CS,CE,,CF to be determined.

Applying the algorithm proposed in Toufik and Atangana [30] yields the following

S(t)S(0)(1α)H1(t,S)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH1(x,S)(tx)1αdx=0;E(t)E(0)(1α)H2(t,E)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH2(x,E)(tx)1αdx=0;I(t)I(0)(1α)H3(t,I)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH3(x,I)(tx)1αdx=0;P(t)P(0)(1α)H4(t,P)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH4(x,P)(tx)1αdx=0;A(t)A(0)(1α)H5(t,A)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH5(x,A)(tx)1αdx=0;H(t)H(0)(1α)H6(t,H)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH6(x,H)(tx)1αdx=0;R(t)R(0)(1α)H7(t,R)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH7(x,R)(tx)1αdx=0;F(t)F(0)(1α)H8(t,F)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tH8(x,F)(tx)1αdx=0;

Based on a specific division, we create collocation points as follows

ti=iM,i=0,1,2,,M;M=21+n,

and by substituting them to the model we have following simplified equations given by

S(ti)S(0)(1α)H1(ti,S)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH1(x,S)(tix)1αdx=0;E(ti)E(0)(1α)H2(ti,E)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH2(x,E)(tix)1αdx=0;I(t)I(0)(1α)H3(ti,I)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH3(x,I)(tix)1αdx=0;P(ti)P(0)(1α)H4(ti,P)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH4(x,P)(tix)1αdx=0;A(ti)A(0)(1α)H5(ti,A)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH5(x,A)(tix)1αdx=0;H(ti)H(0)(1α)H6(ti,H)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH6(x,H)(tix)1αdx=0;R(ti)R(0)(1α)H7(ti,R)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH7(x,R)(tix)1αdx=0;F(ti)F(0)(1α)H8(ti,F)B(α)αB(α)Γ(α)0tiH8(x,F)(tix)1αdx=0;

We approximate the integrals in the above model using the composite trapezoidal rule. Therefore,

S(ti)=S(0)+(1α)H1(ti,S)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,S(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,S(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;E(ti)=E(0)+(1α)H2(ti,E)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,E(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,E(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;I(ti)=I(0)+(1α)H3(ti,I)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,I(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,I(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;P(ti)=P(0)+(1α)H4(ti,P)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,P(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,P(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;A(ti)=A(0)+(1α)H5(ti,A)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,A(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,A(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;H(ti)=H(0)+(1α)H6(ti,H)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,H(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,H(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;R(ti)=R(0)+(1α)H7(ti,R)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,R(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,R(tk+1))(titk+1)1α;F(ti)=F(0)+(1α)H8(ti,F)B(α)+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk,F(tk))(titk)1α+αB(α)Γ(α)k=0M1H1(tk+1,F(tk+1))(titk+1)1α.

By simulating the above equations and as an illustration of the proposed numerical algorithm, we present some graphical illustrations for all variables of the new COVID-19 model in Fig. 5, Fig. 6, Fig. 7, Fig. 8 .

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Illustrations of the variables S and E of the fractional COVID-19 model using different values of α.

Fig. 6.

Fig. 6

Illustrations of the variables I and P of the fractional COVID-19 model using different values of α.

Fig. 7.

Fig. 7

Illustrations of the variables A and H of the fractional COVID-19 model using different values of α.

Fig. 8.

Fig. 8

Illustrations of the variables R and F of the fractional COVID-19 model using different values of α.

4. Conclusion

In the present paper, we presented a COVID-19 model with new fractional operator using ABFD. This mathematical and dynamical model is more suitable to describe the biological phenomena with memory than the integer order model. To test the behavior of all variables of the model, we simulated the resulting nonlinear fractional differential equations model by involving ABFD based on Daubechies framelet systems and obtained various graphical illustrations. It turns out that, increasing of the fractional value of the parameters resulting a decrease in the infection rates.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Mutaz Mohammad: Conceptualization, Methodology, Visualization, Software, Investigation, Supervision, Validation, Writing - review & editing. Alexander Trounev: Software.

Declaration of Competing Interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

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