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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2020 Apr 1;159(1):241–256.e13. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2020.03.054

Table 2.

Multivariable associations of demographic and clinical factors with risk of colorectal cancer according to refined subsites in the NHS, NHS2, and HPFSa.

Risk factors Proximal colon cancer
Distal colon cancer
Rectum cancer
P for overall heterogeneityb P for linear heterogeneityc
Cecum Ascending colon Transverse colon Overall Descending colon Sigmoid colon Overall Rectosigmoid Rectum Overall

n=474 n=633 n=250 n=1357 n=221 n=750 n=971 n=202 n=528 n=730
Age, per 5 years
 HR 1.43 1.62 1.45 1.51 1.42 1.39 1.39 1.32 1.37 1.36
 95% CI 1.35–1.52 1.53–1.71 1.34–1.57 1.45–1.56 1.3–1.55 1.32–1.45 1.34–1.45 1.2–1.44 1.29–1.45 1.29–1.42 <0.001 0.04
Ptrend 1.43 1.62 1.45 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
P for heterogeneity within major subsitesb 0.006 0.72 0.52
Female sex
 HR 0.63 1.73 0.61 0.93 0.83 0.54 0.65 0.84 0.68 0.70
 95% CI 0.51–0.78 1.40–2.15 0.51–0.72 0.81–1.05 0.6–1.16 0.41–0.72 0.56–0.76 0.61–1.17 0.56–0.84 0.59–0.84 <0.001 0.70
P <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.24 0.27 <.0001 <.0001 0.31 0.0003 <.0001
P for heterogeneity within main subsitesb <0.001 0.10 0.29
Family history of colorectal cancer
 HR 1.55 1.66 1.86 1.65 1.22 1.46 1.41 1.26 1.10 1.14
95%CI 1.25–1.91 1.39–1.98 1.41–2.46 1.46–1.87 0.88–1.70 1.23–1.73 1.21–1.64 0.89–1.79 0.88–1.37 0.94–1.37 0.02 0.004
P <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.24 <.0001 <0.001 0.19 0.42 0.17
P for heterogeneity within main subsitesb 0.57 0.37 0.52
Endoscopic screening
 HR 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.72 0.45 0.36 0.38 0.53 0.50 0.51
 95% CI 0.54–1.03 0.53–0.94 0.41–1.08 0.59–0.87 0.24–0.83 0.25–0.51 0.28–0.51 0.30–0.94 0.34–0.72 0.37–0.69 0.02 0.005
P 0.07 0.02 0.10 <0.001 0.01 <0.001 <0.001 0.03 <0.001 <0.001
P for heterogeneity within main subsitesb 0.94 0.62 0.83
Regular aspirin use
 HR 0.76 0.69 0.67 0.71 0.62 0.73 0.70 0.65 0.81 0.76
 95% CI 0.63–0.92 0.58–0.81 0.51–0.87 0.63–0.79 0.46–0.83 0.62–0.85 0.61–0.80 0.47–0.88 0.68–0.98 0.65–0.89 0.65 0.51
P 0.005 <0.001 0.003 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.005 0.03 <0.001
P for heterogeneity within main subsitesb 0.76 0.39 0.14
a

Age- and cohort-stratified Cox proportional hazards model was used with further adjustment for race, height (continuous), family history of colorectal cancer (yes or no), history of lower gastrointestinal endoscopic screening (yes or no), body mass index (continuous), pack-years of smoking (continuous), physical activity (continuous), alcohol intake (continuous), and regular aspirin use (yes or no). When age and sex are the main exposures, the model was only adjusted for each other of the two variables.

b

Overall heterogeneity was tested by using the meta-regression method with a subsite-specific random effect term as a nominal variable.

c

Linear heterogeneity was tested by using the meta-regression method with a subsite-specific random effect term as an ordinal variable.