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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2020 Apr 1;159(1):241–256.e13. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2020.03.054

Table 3.

Multivariable associations of lifestyle and anthropometric factors with risk of colorectal cancer according to refined subsites in the NHS, NHS2, and HPFS a.

Risk factor Proximal colon cancer
Distal colon cancer
Rectum cancer
P for overall heterogeneity c P for linear heterogeneity d
Cecum Ascending colon Transverse colon Overall Descending colon Sigmoid colon Overall Rectosigmoid Rectum Overall

n=474 n=633 n=250 n=1357 n=221 n=750 n=971 n=202 n=528 n=730
Smoking
Packyears of smoking, per 20 pack-year
 HR 1.12 1.14 1.12 1.13 1.10 1.03 1.05 1.11 1.12 1.11
 95% CI 1.03–1.22 1.06–1.22 1.00–1.26 1.07–1.19 0.97–1.25 0.96–1.11 0.98–1.12 0.96–1.27 1.03–1.21 1.04–1.20 0.61 0.40
Ptrend 0.01 0.0005 0.05 <0.001 0.13 0.43 0.15 0.15 0.009 0.003
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.80 0.25 0.77
Packyears of smoking before age 30, per 20 pack-year
 HR 1.08 1.27 1.43 1.21 1.37 1.19 1.23 1.27 1.26 1.17
 95% CI 0.81–1.46 0.98–1.65 0.99–2.07 1.01–1.43 1.06–2.33 0.95–1.49 1.00–1.50 0.81–1.97 0.96–1.64 0.93–1.48 0.67 0.62
Ptrend 0.60 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.13 0.048 0.30 0.10 0.18
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.10 0.21 0.76
Alcohol intake, per 14 g/day
 HR 0.99 1.02 1.25 1.06 1.18 1.11 1.12 1.10 1.14 1.12
 95% CI 0.89–1.11 0.92–1.13 1.11–1.41 0.99–1.13 1.02–1.37 1.02–1.20 1.05–1.20 0.93–1.30 1.04–1.26 1.03–1.22 0.11 0.09
Ptrend 0.91 0.71 <0.001 0.10 0.02 0.01 0.001 0.27 0.008 0.01
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.02 0.32 0.66
BMI, per 5 kg/m2
Men n=197 n=143 n=107 n=447 n=70 n=292 n=362 n=68 n=186 n=254
 HR 1.21 1.32 1.16 1.24 1.49 1.28 1.32 1.14 1.33 1.25
 95% CI 0.97–1.50 1.03–1.68 0.87–1.55 1.08–1.43 1.13–1.96 1.11–1.49 1.16–1.50 0.80–1.64 1.08–1.63 1.05–1.49
Ptrend 0.09 0.03 0.31 0.003 0.005 0.001 <0.001 0.47 0.008 0.01 0.69 0.70
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.87 0.21 0.62
Women n=277 n=490 n=143 n=910 n=151 n=458 n=609 n=134 n=342 n=476
 HR 1.11 1.13 1.27 1.15 1.12 1.21 1.19 1.06 1.24 1.19
 95% CI 0.97–1.28 1.01–1.25 1.06–1.52 1.06–1.24 0.92–1.37 1.09–1.35 1.09–1.31 0.85–1.32 1.09–1.40 1.07–1.32 0.63 0.29
Ptrend 0.14 0.03 0.01 <0.001 0.25 0.0003 <0.001 0.59 <0.001 0.002
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.68 0.33 0.22
BMI at age 18/21, per 5 kg/m2
Men n=197 n=143 n=107 n=447 n=70 n=292 n=362 n=68 n=186 n=254
 HR 1.11 1.02 1.08 1.07 0.94 1.12 1.08 1.00 1.12 1.06 0.85 0.81
 95% CI 0.93–1.32 0.85–1.22 0.86–1.35 0.96–1.20 0.75–1.18 0.98–1.29 0.96–1.21 0.77–1.30 0.94–1.33 0.92–1.22
Ptrend 0.23 0.85 0.50 0.21 0.60 0.10 0.22 0.99 0.22 0.43
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.84 0.20 0.43
Women n=277 n=490 n=143 n=910 n=151 n=458 n=609 n=134 n=342 n=476
 HR 1.09 1.24 1.33 1.20 1.22 1.21 1.21 1.26 1.25 1.25
 95% CI 0.90–1.32 1.07–1.42 1.03–1.71 1.09–1.33 0.96–1.55 1.05–1.40 1.07–1.37 0.98–1.62 1.07–1.47 1.09–1.44 0.98 0.50
Ptrend 0.39 0.003 0.03 <0.001 0.11 0.007 0.002 0.07 0.006 0.001
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.70 0.94 0.96
Waist circumference, per 10 cm
Men n=197 n=143 n=107 n=447 n=70 n=292 n=362 n=68 n=186 n=254
 HR 1.17 1.31 1.09 1.21 1.83 1.27 1.37 1.31 1.25 1.27
 95% CI 0.99–1.39 1.09–1.57 0.86–1.38 1.08–1.34 1.43–2.33 1.12–1.44 1.22–1.53 1.02–1.69 1.04–1.49 1.10–1.47 0.09 0.58
Ptrend 0.06 0.004 0.47 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.04 0.02 0.001
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.44 0.004 0.89
Women n=277 n=490 n=143 n=910 n=151 n=458 n=609 n=134 n=342 n=476
 HR 0.98 1.08 1.14 1.06 1.02 1.09 1.08 1.04 1.07 1.06
 95% CI 0.87–1.11 0.99–1.18 0.97–1.34 0.99–1.13 0.87–1.21 0.99–1.20 0.99–1.17 0.88–1.23 0.96–1.19 0.97–1.16 0.70 0.59
Ptrend 0.72 0.08 0.10 0.08 0.79 0.07 0.08 0.62 0.24 0.22
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.26 0.54 0.69
Physical activity, per 7.5 MET-hours/week b
 HR 0.99 1.01 0.97 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98
 95% CI 0.94–1.04 0.97–1.06 0.90–1.04 0.96–1.02 0.89–1.03 0.93–1.00 0.93–1.00 0.90–1.05 0.93–1.03 0.94–1.02 0.49 0.35
Ptrend 0.58 0.63 0.35 0.65 0.25 0.07 0.04 0.43 0.42 0.31
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.96 0.76 0.43
Height, per 10 cm
 HR 1.14 1.25 1.23 1.20 1.20 1.10 1.12 1.21 1.27 1.25
 95% CI 0.99–1.31 1.10–1.42 1.01–1.49 1.10–1.30 0.97–1.47 0.99–1.23 1.02–1.24 0.97–1.50 1.11–1.46 1.12–1.40 0.60 0.77
Ptrend 0.08 <0.001 0.04 <0.001 0.09 0.08 0.02 0.09 <0.001 <0.001
P for heterogeneity within main subsites c 0.56 0.48 0.66
a

Age- and cohort-stratified Cox proportional hazards model was used with adjustment for age (continuous), race, height (continuous), family history of colorectal cancer (yes or no), history of lower gastrointestinal endoscopic screening (yes or no), body mass index (continuous), pack-years of smoking (continuous), physical activity (continuous), alcohol intake (continuous), and regular aspirin use (yes or no).

b

For physical activity, the follow-up started in 1986 in NHS.

c

Heterogeneity was tested by using meta-regression method with a subsite-specific random effect term as a nominal variable.

d

Linear heterogeneity was tested by using meta-regression method with a subsite-specific random effect term as an ordinal variable.