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. 2020 Jul 30;220(1):63–85. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.038

Table 3.

Standard deviation of estimates of R0 for DGP (5.3)(5.4).

Deaths Cases SUR, Efficient W SUR, Diagonal W SUR, Identity W
Panel A: True E0=2 and I0=0, Assumed E0=2 and I0=0

Levels, Cumulative 0.317 0.072 0.076 0.072 0.071
Levels, Daily 0.512 0.117 0.118 0.118 0.119
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 0.424 0.089 0.092 0.091 0.219
Logs, Daily, Trim 0.570 0.123 0.119 0.117 0.281
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 0.826 0.251 0.206 0.224 0.430
Logs, Daily, No Trim 0.470 0.230 0.166 0.217 0.286

Panel B: True E0=2 and I0=0, Assumed E0=1 and I0=0

Levels, Cumulative 0.316 0.071 0.075 0.072 0.071
Levels, Daily 0.511 0.116 0.114 0.114 0.116
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 0.423 0.089 0.092 0.091 0.218
Logs, Daily, Trim 0.567 0.123 0.118 0.117 0.280
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 0.825 0.251 0.206 0.224 0.431
Logs, Daily, No Trim 0.470 0.230 0.170 0.220 0.270

Panel C: True E0=2 and I0=0, Assumed E0=16 and I0=0

Levels, Cumulative 0.328 0.073 0.078 0.074 0.073
Levels, Daily 0.500 0.122 0.175 0.255 0.123
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 0.435 0.091 0.093 0.093 0.223
Logs, Daily, Trim 0.719 0.127 0.123 0.121 0.293
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 0.844 0.253 0.208 0.226 0.434
Logs, Daily, No Trim 0.471 0.235 0.168 0.220 0.287

Panel D: True E0=2 and I0=0, Estimated E0 and I0

Levels, Cumulative 0.318 0.072 0.083 0.087 0.089
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 0.424 0.090 0.095 0.098 0.219
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 0.831 0.251 0.212 0.229 0.429

The table presents the standard deviation of the estimates of R0 across 500 simulation draws. The estimates in the first column are based on the deaths data only. The estimates in the second column are based on the reported cases data only. The estimates in the remaining three columns combine the deaths and reported cases data and use different weighting matrices.