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. 2020 Jul 30;220(1):63–85. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.038

Table 7.

Mean of Estimates of R0 for DGP (5.5)(5.6).

Deaths Cases SUR, Efficient W SUR, Diagonal W SUR, Identity W
Panel A: No Rounding, True E0=2 and I0=0, Assumed E0=2 and I0=0

Levels, Cumulative 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755
Levels, Daily 5.762 5.752 5.757 5.758 5.753
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 5.755 5.753 5.754 5.754 5.754
Logs, Daily, Trim 5.756 5.755 5.756 5.756 5.755
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755
Logs, Daily, No Trim 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755 5.755

Panel B: No Rounding, True E0=2 and I0=0, Estimated E0 and I0

Levels, Cumulative 5.757 5.756 5.759 5.760 5.766
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 5.756 5.754 5.757 5.759 5.755
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 5.757 5.759 5.757 5.757 5.757

Panel C: Rounding, True E0=2 and I0=0, Assumed E0=2 and I0=0

Levels, Cumulative 5.836 5.760 5.771 5.776 5.760
Levels, Daily 5.772 5.752 5.762 5.762 5.753
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 5.878 5.761 5.783 5.789 5.819
Logs, Daily, Trim 5.777 5.755 5.764 5.764 5.766
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 6.424 5.793 5.772 5.795 6.104
Logs, Daily, No Trim 5.483 5.759 5.750 5.752 5.620

Panel D: Rounding, True E0=2 and I0=0, Estimated E0 and I0

Levels, Cumulative 5.837 5.761 5.777 5.788 5.770
Logs, Cumulative, Trim 5.879 5.761 5.785 5.792 5.820
Logs, Cumulative, No Trim 6.425 5.793 5.772 5.795 6.105

The table presents the mean of the estimates of R0 across 500 simulation draws for different estimation methods. The true value is R0=5.755. The estimates in the first column are based on the deaths data only. The estimates in the second column are based on the reported cases data only. The estimates in the remaining three columns combine the deaths and reported cases data and use different weighting matrices.