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. 2020 Jul 30;232(1):1–17. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.039

Table 4.1.

Summary of estimated models (1.1) for cumulative confirmed cases in 8 representative countries.

Country Start n No.CP 1st CP (S1) 2nd CP (S2) Latest CP (Sm^+1) ρ^
United States Feb-22 96 5 Mar-04 (0.113) Mar-24 (0.292) May-09 (0.015) 0.492
Brazil Mar-09 80 2 Mar-25 (0.301) Apr-12 (0.129) Apr-12 (0.066) 0.438
Russia Mar-12 77 4 Apr-05 (0.218) Apr-21 (0.146) May-17 (0.028) 0.573
United Kingdom Mar-01 88 5 Mar-20 (0.254) Mar-29 (0.181) May-12 (0.011) 0.575
Spain Feb-28 90 5 Mar-14 (0.359) Mar-27 (0.176) May-01 (0.004) 0.611
Italy Feb-23 95 6 Mar-09 (0.289) Mar-22 (0.151) May-18 (0.003) 0.616
India Mar-05 83 5 Mar-24 (0.159) Apr-02 (0.142) May-09 (0.052) 0.375
South Korea Feb-06 112 6 Feb-18 (0.022) Mar-03 (0.360) May-08 (0.002) 0.749