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. 2020 Jul 30;15(7):e0236506. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236506

Table 5. Prediction model related to fatty liver progression.

Variable N Model 1 * Model 2 Model 3 § Model 4
HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
Before matching All
    Control 296 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Aromatase inhibitor 199 1.331 (0.985–1.798) 0.063 1.232 (0.902–1.682) 0.190 1.191 (0.858–1.654) 0.295 1.381 (0.806–2.367) 0.239
    Tamoxifen 416 1.744 (1.361–2.234) <0.001 1.882 (1.461–2.424) <0.001 1.860 (1.416–2.444) <0.001 1.859 (1.167–2.96) 0.009
Fatty liver (-) at baseline
    Control 226 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Aromatase inhibitor 128 1.389 (0.971–1.985) 0.072 1.231 (0.848–1.788) 0.274 1.100 (0.742–1.631) 0.634 1.135 (0.597–2.156) 0.699
    Tamoxifen 297 1.467 (1.103–1.952) 0.009 1.665 (1.244–2.227) 0.001 1.612 (1.172–2.217) 0.003 1.511 (0.843–2.708) 0.165
Fatty liver (+) at baseline
    Control 70 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Aromatase inhibitor 71 1.514 (0.844–2.718) 0.164 1.581 (0.87–2.871) 0.133 1.749 (0.898–3.405) 0.100 2.410 (0.666–8.722) 0.180
    Tamoxifen 119 2.691 (1.61–4.497) <0.001 2.672 (1.575–4.534) <0.001 2.998 (1.646–5.462) <0.001 3.668 (1.232–10.925) 0.020
After matching All
    Control 256 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Tamoxifen 256 1.636 (1.237–2.165) 0.001 1.714 (1.293–2.271) <0.001 1.773 (1.294–2.43) <0.001 1.716 (0.98–3.005) 0.059
Fatty liver (-) at baseline
    Control 202 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Tamoxifen 186 1.481 (1.075–2.042) 0.016 1.612 (1.166–2.23) 0.004 1.590 (1.092–2.314) 0.016 1.497 (0.745–3.007) 0.257
Fatty liver (+) at baseline
    Control 54 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
    Tamoxifen 70 2.241 (1.244–4.038) 0.007 2.219 (1.226–4.015) 0.008 2.907 (1.451–5.821) 0.003 279.154 (2.887–26992.851) 0.016

Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.

* Model 1: unadjusted.

† Model 2: adjusted for age, BMI, and underlying disease (diabetes, hypertension).

§ Model 3: Model 2 plus cancer-related factors (stage, pathology, lymph node metastasis).

¶ Model 4: Model 3 plus initial laboratory factors (FSH, platelet, AST, ALT, total bilirubin, total cholesterol, triglyceride, fasting blood glucose).