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. 2020 Aug 3;328:108436. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108436

Table 2.

Cumulative total infected for various alternate calibrations of contact rates.

Daily contacts
6.3 12.5 19.0 25.3 31.5 50.0 75.0
SI 29 37 44 65 73 453 1577
No mass testing 29 37 46 68 125 1333 2985
No distancing 30 37 48 65 113 1135 2671
No TTQ 31 47 83 310 2066 14643
No masks 36 61 138 519 1876 4056
No OLSD 42 98 510 1335 2043
Only TTQ 114 2883 5398
Only OLSD 45 257 7791
Only masks 60 3707
No intervention 3291

Each cell is the median value (rounded to the nearest whole number) of 50 independent runs of the specified scenario. The bold column represents the default parameter values of 19 daily contacts. Empty cells are those scenarios for which some strictly less severe scenario has already reached either 3000 infected or 5000 peak quarantined.