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. 2020 Aug 3;4(11):817–827. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(20)30250-9

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Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

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Model estimates of cumulative COVID-19 deaths from Jan 21, 2020, to Dec 31, 2021

(A) Deaths with 68% tracing and 18% testing in the full-time school reopening scenario. (B) Deaths with 68% tracing and 18% testing in the part-time rota school reopening scenario. (C) Deaths with 68% tracing and 75% testing in the full-time school reopening scenario. (D) Deaths with 68% tracing and 65% testing in the part-time rota school reopening scenario. (E) Deaths with 40% tracing and 87% testing in the full-time school reopening scenario. (F) Deaths with 40% tracing and 75% testing in the part-time rota school reopening scenario. Medians across ten simulations are indicated by solid lines and the 10% and 90% quantiles by shading.