Table 3.
Strict Lockdown Counterfactual: Comparison of ORVal estimates of total recreation value and visits for England under the COVID-19 lockdown compared to a counterfactual in which strict lockdown rules were imposed for the whole time period
| Scenario | Visits (millions) | Value of greenspace (£mill 2016) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car | Walk | All | ||
| Actual lockdown rules | 152.9 | 454.9 | 607.8 | £5390 |
| Only strict lockdown (lower and upper bound) | 0 |
496.1 (472–520) |
496.1 (472–520) |
£4249 (4016–4483) |
| Difference: Absolute | − 152.9 |
41.2 (17.5–64.9) |
− 111.7 (−135 to − 88) |
− £1141 (− 1374 to − 907) |
| Relative | − 100.0% |
9.1% (3.8 –14.3) |
− 18.4% (− 22 to − 14) |
− 21.2% (− 25.5 to − 16.8) |