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. 2020 Aug 4;76(4):1161–1185. doi: 10.1007/s10640-020-00489-y

Table 4.

Relaxed Lockdown Counterfactual: Comparison of ORVal estimates of total recreation value and visits for England under the COVID-19 lockdown compared to a counterfactual in which recreation activity was unrestricted for the whole time period

Scenario Visits (millions) Value of greenspace (£mill 2016)
Car Walk All
Actual lockdown rules 152.9 454.9 607.8 £5390
Only relaxed lockdown (lower and upper bound)

346.8

(328–366)

408.0

(386–430)

754.7

(714–796)

£6857

(6419–7296)

Difference: Absolute

193.9

(175–213)

− 47.0

(− 69.3 to − 24.7)

146.9

(106–188)

£1467

(1029–1906)

Relative

126.8%

(115–139)

− 10.3%

(− 15.2 to − 5.4)

24.2%

(17–31)

27.2%

(19.1–35.4)