Table 2.
Factors | 12-month risk | 24-month risk | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Hazard ratio | 95% CI | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | |
Demographic | ||||
Age in years | ||||
67–69 | Reference | Reference | ||
70–74 | 1.22 | 1.17–1.26 | 1.22 | 1.19–1.26 |
75–79 | 1.69 | 1.63–1.76 | 1.73 | 1.68–1.77 |
80–84 | 2.29 | 2.21–2.37 | 2.38 | 2.32–2.44 |
85+ | 3.12 | 3.01–3.23 | 3.27 | 3.19–3.35 |
Male | 0.55 | 0.54–0.56 | 0.54 | 0.53–0.55 |
Race | ||||
While | Reference | |||
Black | 0.43 | 0.41–0.45 | 0.42 | 0.41–0.44 |
Hispanic | 0.70 | 0.66–0.75 | 0.72 | 0.69–0.75 |
Asian | 0.66 | 0.62–0.71 | 0.66 | 0.63–0.69 |
Other | 0.81 | 0.75–0.87 | 0.80 | 0.76—0.85 |
History of Fracture | 2.46 | 2.41–2.52 | 2.21 | 2.17–2.25 |
History of Falls | 1.18 | 1.14–1.21 | 1.16 | 1.14–1.19 |
Clinical conditions | ||||
Osteoporosis | 1.22 | 1.18–1.25 | 1.21 | 1.18–1.24 |
Cardiovascular disease | 1.11 | 1.09–1.13 | 1.12 | 1.10–1.13 |
COPD | 1.16 | 1.14–1.19 | 1.17 | 1.15–1.19 |
Ankylosing spondylitis | 1.52 | 1.36–1.70 | 1.41 | 1.29–1.55 |
Depression | 1.14 | 1.11–1.17 | 1.13 | 1.11–1.16 |
Mood or anxiety orders | 1.07 | 1.03–1.11 | 1.10 | 1.07–1.13 |
Frailty markers | ||||
Ambulance/life support | 1.16 | 1.13–1.19 | 1.15 | 1.13–1.17 |
Difficulty walking | 1.15 | 1.12–1.18 | 1.14 | 1.12–1.16 |
Use of DME | 1.12 | 1.09–1.14 | 1.11 | 1.09–1.13 |
Concomitant medications | ||||
Osteoporosis medicationsa | 1.26 | 1.24–1.29 | 1.27 | 1.25–1.29 |
Glucocorticoids | 1.13 | 1.11–1.15 | 1.13 | 1.12–1.15 |
Heparin | 1.21 | 1.14–1.28 | 1.16 | 1.11–1.21 |
CNS active medicationsa | 1.13 | 1.10–1.16 | 1.11 | 1.09–1.13 |
CNS central nervous system, COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, DME durable medical equipment
aOsteoporosis medications include bisphosphonates, calcitonin, teriparatide, raloxifene, denosumab. CNS active medications include tricyclic antidepressants, monoamine oxidase inhibitors, antipsychotic agents, lithium