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. 2020 Aug 3;15(1):120. doi: 10.1007/s11657-020-00784-7

Table 2.

Factors associated with imminent risk of fracture in 12- and 24-month follow-ups

Factors 12-month risk 24-month risk
Hazard ratio 95% CI Hazard ratio 95% CI
Demographic
  Age in years
    67–69 Reference Reference
    70–74 1.22 1.17–1.26 1.22 1.19–1.26
    75–79 1.69 1.63–1.76 1.73 1.68–1.77
    80–84 2.29 2.21–2.37 2.38 2.32–2.44
    85+ 3.12 3.01–3.23 3.27 3.19–3.35
  Male 0.55 0.54–0.56 0.54 0.53–0.55
  Race
    While Reference
    Black 0.43 0.41–0.45 0.42 0.41–0.44
    Hispanic 0.70 0.66–0.75 0.72 0.69–0.75
    Asian 0.66 0.62–0.71 0.66 0.63–0.69
    Other 0.81 0.75–0.87 0.80 0.76—0.85
  History of Fracture 2.46 2.41–2.52 2.21 2.17–2.25
  History of Falls 1.18 1.14–1.21 1.16 1.14–1.19
  Clinical conditions
    Osteoporosis 1.22 1.18–1.25 1.21 1.18–1.24
    Cardiovascular disease 1.11 1.09–1.13 1.12 1.10–1.13
    COPD 1.16 1.14–1.19 1.17 1.15–1.19
    Ankylosing spondylitis 1.52 1.36–1.70 1.41 1.29–1.55
    Depression 1.14 1.11–1.17 1.13 1.11–1.16
    Mood or anxiety orders 1.07 1.03–1.11 1.10 1.07–1.13
  Frailty markers
    Ambulance/life support 1.16 1.13–1.19 1.15 1.13–1.17
    Difficulty walking 1.15 1.12–1.18 1.14 1.12–1.16
    Use of DME 1.12 1.09–1.14 1.11 1.09–1.13
  Concomitant medications
    Osteoporosis medicationsa 1.26 1.24–1.29 1.27 1.25–1.29
    Glucocorticoids 1.13 1.11–1.15 1.13 1.12–1.15
    Heparin 1.21 1.14–1.28 1.16 1.11–1.21
    CNS active medicationsa 1.13 1.10–1.16 1.11 1.09–1.13

CNS central nervous system, COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, DME durable medical equipment

aOsteoporosis medications include bisphosphonates, calcitonin, teriparatide, raloxifene, denosumab. CNS active medications include tricyclic antidepressants, monoamine oxidase inhibitors, antipsychotic agents, lithium