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. 2020 Aug 4;26(11):1525–1536. doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2020.07.024

Table 3.

Independent predictors of death in different clusters of variables

Characteristic HR (95% CI) p
Sociodemographic characteristics
Male sex 1.52 (1.33–1.73) <0.001
Age (ref. 0–49 years)
 50–65 years 3.76 (2.43–5.83) <0.001
 66–79 years 8.87 (5.85–13.43) <0.001
 80+ years 20.75 (13.72–31.37) <0.001
Comorbidities
 Hypertension 1.81 (1.56–2.09) <0.001
 Chronic heart disease 1.58 (1.38–1.81) <0.001
 Diabetes 1.23 (1.07–1.41) 0.003
 Chronic pulmonary disease (not asthma) 1.40 (1.21–1.61) <0.001
 Obesity 1.21 (1.01–1.44) 0.036
 Chronic kidney disease stage 4 (eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2) 1.55 (1.26–1.91) <0.001
 Liver cirrhosis 1.59 (1.03–2.43) 0.034
 Chronic neurologic disorder 1.30 (1.08–1.57) 0.006
 Cancer 1.59 (1.33–1.90) <0.001
 Dementia 2.28 (1.90–2.73) <0.001
Admission signs and symptoms
 Headache 0.50 (0.37–0.68) <0.001
 Myalgia/arthralgia 0.70 (0.59–0.84) <0.001
 Anosmia 0.50 (0.22–1.14) 0.099
 Cough 0.70 (0.60–0.80) <0.001
 Sputum production 1.26 (1.09–1.47) 0.002
 Dyspnea 1.93 (1.69–2.19) <0.001
 Chest pain 0.64 (0.51–0.81) <0.001
 Vomiting/nausea 0.77 (0.62–0.95) 0.016
 Altered consciousness 2.26 (1.93–2.66) <0.001
Vital signs
 Low SaO2 (age-adjusted)a 2.62 (2.29–3.00) <0.001
Laboratory parameters
WBC count (ref. <4000 × 109/L)
 4000–12 000 × 109/L 1.11 (0.91–1.35) 0.323
 >12 000 × 109/L 1.54 (1.18–2.01) 0.002
Neutrophil count (ref. ≥1000/μL)
 <1000/μL 1.77 (1.12–2.79) 0.015
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (ref. <3.22 (tertile 1))
 3.22–6.33 (tertile 2) 1.41 (1.17–1.69) <0.001
 >6.33 (tertile 3) 2.38 (1.99–2.84) <0.001
Platelets (ref. ≥150 000 × 109/L)
 <150 000 × 109/L 1.41 (1.24–1.60) <0.001
Prolonged APTT (>39.2 seconds or ratio >1.25) 1.34 (1.09–1.64) 0.006
INR (ref. ≤1.1)
 >1.1 1.49 (1.28–1.73) <0.001
eGFR (ref. > 60 mL/min/1.73 m2)
 30–59 mL/min/1.73 m2 2.24 (1.95–2.58) <0.001
 <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 2.68 (2.21–3.25) <0.001
ALT (ref. <40 U/L)
 40–200 U/L 0.84 (0.71–0.99) 0.042
 >200 U/L 0.86 (0.42–1.78) 0.692
CRP (ref. ≤5 mg/L)
 >5 mg/L 2.43 (1.69–3.49) <0.001

ALT, alanine, aminotransferase; APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; CI = confidence interval; CKD-EPI, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration; CRP, C-reactive protein; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HR = hazard ratio; INR, international normalized ratio; SaO2, arterial oxygen saturation; WBC, white blood cell count.

a

Age-adjusted low SaO2 ≤90% for patients aged >50 years and ≤93% for patients aged ≤50 years.