Table 3.

Absolute Risk of Metastatic Death

	Absolute Risk (95% CI)
	Age <81 yr at Treatment			Age >80 yr at Treatment
	Years After Treatment			Years After Treatment
LBTD, mm	2	5	10	2	5	10
	Disomy-3 Melanoma
<10.1	0.1 (0, 0.5)	0.7 (0, 1.6)	2.1 (0.7, 4)	0.1 (0, 0.5)	0.6 (0, 1.4)	1.4 (0.4, 2.6)
10.1–12.0	0.8 (0.2, 1.7)	1.7 (0.5, 3.4)	3.7 (1.5, 6.7)	0.7 (0.1, 1.6)	1.5 (0.5, 3)	2.7 (1.1, 4.8)
12.1–14.0	1.1 (0, 2.5)	3.3 (1, 6)	6.5 (2.7, 11)	1 (0, 2.4)	2.9 (0.9, 5.3)	4.9 (2, 8.3)
14.1–16.0	1.5 (0, 4)	5.3 (1.8, 9.6)	11 (4.9, 18)	1.5 (0, 3.8)	4.6 (1.6, 8.4)	8 (3.7, 13)
16.1–18.0	3.1 (0, 8.7)	12 (5.1, 21)	17 (8, 28)	2.9 (0, 8.3)	11 (4.5, 19)	14 (6.5, 22)
18.1–28.0	6 (0, 14)	12 (2.4, 25)	18 (6.2, 32)	5.7 (0, 14)	11 (2.3, 22)	15 (4.6, 26)
	Monosomy-3 Melanoma
<10.1	2.5 (0.6, 5.2)	13 (6.4, 21)	26 (13, 41)	2.4 (0.5, 5)	11 (5.5, 18)	19 (9.6, 30)
10.1–12.0	5 (2.2, 8.4)	20 (12, 28)	37 (22, 51)	4.8 (2.1, 8.1)	18 (11, 25)	28 (17, 38)
12.1–14.0	8 (4.9, 12)	33 (24, 42)	53 (38, 65)	7.9 (4.7, 12)	29 (21, 37)	42 (30, 51)
14.1–16.0	13 (9.2, 18)	42 (35, 50)	66 (55, 75)	13 (8.8, 17)	37 (30, 44)	52 (43, 60)
16.1–18.0	21 (16, 27)	59 (51, 67)	77 (67, 85)	20 (15, 26)	53 (46, 61)	64 (56, 71)
18.1–28.0	32 (26, 38)	70 (63, 78)	80 (73, 87)	31 (25, 37)	64 (57, 71)	71 (64, 77)
	Unknown Chromosome 3 Status
<10.1	0.6 (0.2, 1.1)	3.1 (2.1, 4.2)	6.6 (5, 8.3)	0.6 (0.2, 1)	2.7 (1.8, 3.6)	4.7 (3.6, 6)
10.1–12.0	2 (1.2, 3)	7 (5.3, 8.9)	13 (10, 15)	1.9 (1.1, 2.9)	6.1 (4.6, 7.8)	9.7 (7.8, 12)
12.1–14.0	4 (2.6, 5.4)	15 (13, 18)	25 (21, 28)	3.8 (2.5, 5.1)	14 (11, 16)	19 (17, 22)
14.1–16.0	7.9 (5.7, 10)	25 (22, 30)	41 (36, 45)	7.6 (5.5, 9.8)	22 (19, 26)	32 (28, 36)
16.1–18.0	15 (11, 19)	43 (37, 48)	55 (50, 61)	14 (11, 18)	38 (33, 43)	46 (41, 51)
18.1–28.0	25 (21, 30)	56 (50, 62)	65 (59, 70)	24 (20, 29)	51 (45, 56)	56 (51, 62)