Fig. 5.

Partisan differences in beliefs and actions.

Note: Figure shows coefficient plots from regressing normalized measures of beliefs and actions on our seven-point measure of partisan affiliation which ranges between 0 (Strongly Democratic) and 1 (Strongly Republican). Negative estimates indicate less concern about COVID-19 or social distancing. Demographic controls are age, race, income, education, number of children, log population at the ZIP code level, county-level deaths and cases, and state fixed effects. 2% of observations are set to the mean due to an invalid ZIP code. Self-reported social distancing is the percent reduction in contact with others over one month; effectiveness of distancing is the estimated likelihood of catching COVID-19 in one month without social distancing; importance of distancing vs. economy is subjects' perception of whether it is more important to go out and stimulate the economy versus staying in and preventing the spread of COVID-19; predicted cases are predictions about the number of new COVID-19 cases in the US in April; incentivized subjects restrict to the subsample whose answers are incentivized. Observations are weighted to mimic a representative sample as described in the text. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.