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. 2020 Aug 10;101(3):1871–1887. doi: 10.1007/s11071-020-05861-7

Fig. 9.

Fig. 9

Left: original model fit to reported deaths in Italy up to April 3 (long dash) and projection after April 3 (short dash), second data fit (solid); (right) mortality projection based on second fit. Circles: cumulative reported deaths