Table 2. Best fit parameters and 95% confidence intervals for COVID epidemics in California, Florida, New York, Texas.
| Parameter | California | Florida | New York | Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β (/d) | 3.48 (3.46–3.49) | 4.97 (4.85–5.08) | 2.53 (2.40–2.67) | 5.51 (5.40–5.61) |
| r | 0.112 (0.110–0.114) | 0.0734 (0.0702–0.0772) | 0.153 (0.137–0.170) | 0.0635 (0.0617–0.0658) |
| p | 0.999 (0.999–0.999) | 0.998 (0.998–0.998) | 0.980 (0.979–0.981) | 0.999 (0.999–0.999) |
| k (/d) | 0.198 (0.197–0.199) | 0.161 (0.154–0.174) | 0.212 (0.196–0.229) | 0.154 (0.149–0.161) |
| α (/d) | 1.76 (1.40–2.33) | 2.33 (1.76–2.78) | 1.17 (0.968–1.34) | 2.69 (1.97–3.25) |
| Td (/d) | 55.2 (52.8–56.0) | 53.7 (52.0–56.1) | 63.6 (60.5–67.3) | 53.8 (51.6–55.6) |
| SSR | 37.7 (14.0–98.3) | 19.1 (8.51–46.0) | 378 (88.5–446) | 8.58 (7.71–24.7) |
| R0 | 1.97 (1.94–2.00) | 2.26 (2.14–2.33) | 1.83 (1.79–1.86) | 2.28 (2.20–2.35) |
| Ra | 1.96 (1.94–2.00) | 2.25 (2.13–2.33) | 1.79 (1.74–1.82) | 2.27 (2.20–2.35) |
| Rs | 0.00213 (0.00161–0.00270) | 0.00336 (0.00286–0.00443) | 0.0414 (0.0367–0.0494) | 0.00182 (0.00152–0.00254) |