Table 1.
Price indexes (2010 = 100)a | Change % (q/q)b | Change % (y/y)c | Forecast revisions | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019Q4 | 2020Q1 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | |
Energy | 68 | 87 | 76 | 45 | 54 | 1.7 | − 18.4 | − 40.3 | 18.9 | − 35.1 | 17.1 |
Non-energy | 84 | 85 | 82 | 78 | 79 | 1.9 | − 0.7 | − 5.1 | 2.5 | − 4.6 | 0.9 |
Agricultured | 87 | 87 | 83 | 82 | 84 | 4.1 | 1.2 | − 1.1 | 1.8 | − 0.9 | − 0.1 |
Beverages | 83 | 79 | 76 | 72 | 74 | 5.1 | − 0.9 | − 5.3 | 2.3 | − 4.4 | 0.2 |
Food | 90 | 90 | 87 | 87 | 88 | 4.9 | 1.5 | − 0.5 | 1.9 | − 1.2 | 2.1 |
Oil and meals | 87 | 85 | 77 | 78 | 80 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 2.7 | − 1.8 | 5.2 |
Grains | 81 | 89 | 89 | 88 | 89 | 0.8 | 4.4 | − 1.5 | 1.8 | − 1.6 | 0.4 |
Other food | 102 | 99 | 98 | 97 | 98 | 6 | − 2.5 | − 0.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
Raw materials | 81 | 81 | 78 | 77 | 79 | 1.2 | 1.6 | − 0.8 | 1.6 | − 5.3 | 0.3 |
Fertilizers | 74 | 82 | 8 | 73 | 76 | − 7 | -4.5 | − 9.9 | 3.1 | − 12.9 | 1 |
Metals and minerals | 78 | 83 | 78 | 68 | 71 | − 1.8 | -4.7 | − 13.2 | 4 | − 11.6 | 2.9 |
Precious metals | 98 | 97 | 105 | 119 | 119 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 13.2 | − 0.3 | 7.7 | 0.7 |
Memorandum items | |||||||||||
Crude oil(USD/bbl) | 53 | 68 | 51 | 35 | 42 | 1 | − 18.7 | − 43 | 20 | − 37.5 | 18.1 |
Gold (USD/toz) | 1.258 | 1.269 | 1.392 | 1.6 | 1.59 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 14.9 | − 0.6 | 9.3 | 0.6 |
aprice index, as “100,” calculated by the ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP
b(q/q) = quarter by quarter
c(y/y) = year by year
dAverage of wheat, corn, and soybean price