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. 2020 Jul 22;25(4):125–129. doi: 10.1136/bmjebm-2019-111190

Table 1.

Key considerations and example use cases for learning healthcare systems

Key considerations Example use cases
Prediction
  • Prediction algorithm(s) designed by a multidisciplinary team with knowledge of the clinical target and optimal approaches, given data limitations.

  • Target of prediction is a clinically relevant endpoint with potential for intervention.

  • Overfitting is avoided through cross-validated assessment of prediction performance, as well as external validation.

  • Early disease detection.

  • Generation of differential diagnoses.

  • Clinical risk–benefit prediction for competing interventions.

  • Quantification of expected utility, given risk–benefit predictions and patient-reported preferences.

  • Early warning systems in critical care patients.

Interpretation/Inference
  • Measure feature (variable) influence in prediction.

  • Easily interpreted visualisations of dependence of predictions on each feature.

  • Predictions of intervention effects with validated measures of uncertainty.

  • Identification of plausible causal pathways consistent with observations.

  • Identification of risk factors, which, on their own or through interactions, have the greatest impact on the prediction of clinical outcomes.

  • Choosing an intervention that targets specific risk factors to optimise the risk–benefit according to the individual’s preferences.

Communication
  • Intuitive decision-support tools that present aspects of the data relevant to the specific decision under consideration.

  • Integration of intuitive data visualisations in the electronic medical record and patient portals with links to original clinical notes, labs and images.

  • Explaining predicted risks to patients.

  • Discussion of patient-specific, modifiable risk factors to intervene on.

  • Involvement of clinicians and patients in the design and implementation of tools for learning healthcare systems, as well as discussions of the ethical consideration.