Table 2.
Simulation study results to determine the most appropriate critical time period definition. The proportion of times that each definition correctly identifies the exact true set of critical time periods is presented across all simulation settings. Standard errors are presented in Table S4 of the supplementary material available at Biostatistics online. Median probability: 
; Credible interval: 95% credible interval of 
excludes zero
| Method | E1 | M1 | E4 | M4 | E7 | M7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median probability | ||||||
| SSVS | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CWVS Sep. | 0.96 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| CWVS LMC | 0.90 | 0.96 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.02 |
| Credible interval | ||||||
| SSVS | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CWVS Sep. | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| CWVS LMC | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.16 |
| Median probability and credible interval | ||||||
| SSVS | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CWVS Sep. | 0.96 | 0.98 | 0.66 | 0.42 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| CWVS LMC | 0.90 | 0.96 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.16 |
| GP | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 0.20 |