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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2019 Dec 6;158(3):732–744.e16. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2019.12.002

Table 3:

Certainty of Evidence

Outcome N/n Estimate (95% CI) Certainty of Evidence Risk of Bias Inconsistency Imprecision Indirectness
Prevalence of GIM in the US 6/897,731 4.8% (4.8 – 4.9) ⊕⊕⊕○
Moderate
Serious Not serious1 Not serious Not serious
Prevalence of GIM in the different regions South Asia 5/4,534 9.5% (8.7 – 10.4) ⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
West Asia 7/12,496 14.1%
(13.5 – 14.7)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
North America 6/897,731 4.8%
(4.8 – 4.9)
⊕⊕⊕○
Moderate
Serious Not serious1 Not serious Not serious
South Europe 3/2,652 17.5%
(16.0 – 18.9)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
East Asia 16/97,940 21.0%
(20.7 – 21.2)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious2 Not serious Not serious
South America 2/3,919 23.9%
(22.6 – 25.3)
⊕⊕⊕○
Moderate
Serious Not serious Not serious Not serious
West Europe 2/916 16.6%
(14.2 – 19.1)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious3 Serious Serious4 Not serious
South-East Asia 2/3,250 6.5%
(5.7 – 7.4)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
North Europe 6/346,215 3.4%
(3.3 – 3.5)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
East Europe 3/4,732 18.7%
(17.6 – 19.8)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious Serious Not serious Not serious
Australia 1/268 16.0%
(11.9 – 20.7)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious Not serious Very serious5 Not serious
Prevalence of GIM based on cagA status cagA positive 3/1,347 36.4%
(33.8 – 39.0)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious6,7 Serious Serious Serious
cagA negative 2/1,002 21.3%
(18.8 – 24.0)
Uninfected 2/719 17.8%
(15.1 – 20.7)
Prevalence of GIM in the US based on race/ethnicity7 Non-Hispanic Black 2/566 15.9%
(13.0 – 19.0)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious8 Not serious Serious4 Not serious
Hispanic 2/220 23.3%
(17.8 – 29.1)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious8 Serious Very serious5 Not serious
Non-Hispanic White 3/610 12.2%
(9.7 – 15.0)
⊕⊕○○
Low
Serious8 Not serious Serious4 Not serious
Asian 1/27 14.8%
(3.5 – 31.1)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious8 Not serious Very serious5 Not serious
Native American 1/11 18.2%
(0.5 – 47.4)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious8 Not serious Very serious5 Not serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients on high vs. low salt diet 2/4,890 1.18
(0.99 – 1.40)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious9 Not serious Not serious Serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients on low vs. high fruits/vegetables diet 2/2,174 1.42
(1.13 – 1.79)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious9 Not serious Not serious Serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients with high vs. low dairy products intake 1/4,931 1.72
(1.43 – 2.05)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious9 Not serious Not serious Serious
Prevalence of GIM in patients with pernicious anemia 1/27 88.9%
(70.8 – 97.6)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious10 Not serious Very serious5 Not serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients with first-degree family history of gastric cancer vs. patients with no family history 5/4,791 1.46
(0.97 – 2.21)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious Not serious Serious Serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients who smoke tobacco versus non-smokers 7/7,971 1.57
(1.24 – 1.98)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious9,11 Not serious Not serious Serious
Relative risk of finding GIM on gastric biopsies in patients who drink alcohol versus patients who did not drink alcohol 6/6,775 1.29
(1.12 – 1.50)
⊕○○○
Very low
Very serious9,11 Not serious Not serious Serious
Prevalence of incomplete GIM in patients with GIM found during gastric biopsies 13/2,742 47.7%
(45.8 – 49.6)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious Very serious12 Not serious Serious
Prevalence of extensive GIM in patients with GIM found during gastric biopsies 9/3,558 30.3%
(28.8 – 31.8)
⊕○○○
Very low
Serious Serious13 Not serious Serious
1

the observed inconsistency was explained by the differences in the risk of bias between the individual studies.

2

the observed inconsistency was partially explained by the differences in the risk of bias between the individual studies.

3

the study by den Hod et al was well conducted with low risk of bias and we have higher certainty in its estimate (7%, 95% CI 5 – 10%) compared to the pooled estimate.

4

due to small total number of included patients.

5

due to very small total number of included patients.

6

the method of diagnosing H. pylori and cagA status differed between the studies.

7

the comparison between the subgroups is based on a Chi squared test which has inherent methodological limitations.

8

the studies did not report obtaining biopsies routinely from both antrum and corpus.

9

the relative risk estimate were not adjusted for other possible risk factors, that may contribute to risk of bias as in Appendix 2.

10

it was not clear how the subgroup of patients with pernicious anemia was identified.

11

the definition of exposure to smoking or alcohol was not clear in most of the studies (current use vs. prior use vs. never).

12

the observed inconsistency was not explained by differences in risk of bias or geographical region

13

the observed inconsistency was partially explained by the prevalence of H. pylori infection

Acronyms: N, number of studies; n, total number of patients; CI, confidence interval; GIM, gastric intestinal metaplasia; H. pylori, helicobacter pylori