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. 2020 Aug 14;3(8):e2013448. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.13448

Table 2. Adjusted Hazard Ratios of All-Cause Mortality for Weight Change Patterns From Young Adulthood to Midlife.

Characteristic Weight change patterns
Maintenance Gain Lossa
Normal-normal Overweight-overweight Obese-obese Normal-overweight Normal-obese Overweight-obese Overweight-normal Obese-overweight
Full sample
No. of events 1631 592 322 1375 544 531 119 64
Events/1000 py 16.4 19.6 24.8 20.1 25.4 23.0 28.6 28.9
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI)b 1 [Reference] 1.31 (1.17-1.46) 2.20 (1.88-2.57) 1.07 (0.98-1.17) 1.25 (1.09-1.44) 1.56 (1.37-1.78) 1.56 (1.22-1.99) 1.19 (0.78-1.80)
Multivariable adjusted HR (95% CI)c 1 [Reference] 1.15 (1.02-1.31) 2.17 (1.85-2.53) 1.05 (0.97-1.15) 1.32 (1.15-1.52) 1.47 (1.28-1.69) 1.29 (1.02-1.64) 1.00 (0.62-1.60)
Never smokers
No. of events 453 169 130 486 218 195 28 19
Events/1000 py 9.8 12.8 19.6 14.6 19.1 17.7 17.4 20.7
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI)b 1 [Reference] 1.37 (1.06-1.76) 3.29 (2.55-4.23) 1.24 (1.04-1.46) 1.47 (1.17-1.86) 1.98 (1.56-2.50) 1.62 (1.11-2.35) 1.39 (0.71-2.70)
Multivariable adjusted HR (95% CI)c 1 [Reference] 1.20 (0.93-1.56) 2.82 (2.16-3.67) 1.16 (0.98-1.37) 1.37 (1.08-1.74) 1.75 (1.39-2.22) 1.58 (1.13-2.21) 1.46 (0.81-2.65)

Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; py, person-years.

a

Results for weight loss pattern obese-normal were suppressed because of few incident events (<10).

b

Age at baseline (continuous).

c

Adjusted for age at baseline (years), sex (male, female), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic other), educational level (less than high school, high school or equivalent, and college and above), nativity (US born, non-US born), smoking status (never, former, and current), and survey year (continuous).