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. 2020 Jun 16;9(11):e015117. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.015117

Table 10.

When Follow‐Up Testing Occurred ≥2 Years After the Baseline Test, Percentage of Participants Classified as Having Increased, Decreased, or No Change in CRF, According to Directly Measured CRF and eCRF

Variable Cohen's κ (95% CI) Decrease in Directly Measured CRF No Change in Directly Measured CRF Increase in Directly Measured CRF
Estimated Decreased CRF Estimated No Change CRF Estimated Increased CRF Estimated Decreased CRF Estimated No Change CRF Estimated Increased CRF Estimated Decreased CRF Estimated No Change CRF Estimated Increased CRF
No PA measure
Riddle et al 198024 0.19 (0.12–0.26)* 92 8 1 72 27 2 57 33 10
Wasserman et al 199425 0.20 (0.13–0.27)* 86 14 0 61 38 2 47 46 7
Jang et al 2012 (model 1)26 0.09 (0.05–0.14)* 22 78 0 5 95 0 2 95 3
Baynard et al 2016 (BMI)27 0.24 (0.17–0.31)* 84 15 1 53 47 0 38 54 8
Baynard et al 2016 (WC)27 0.22 (0.14–0.31)* 79 17 4 59 39 2 31 53 16
Myers et al 201728 0.21 (0.14–0.29)* 85 15 0 59 41 0 45 47 8
de Souza et al 201829 0.22 (0.15–0.29)* 86 14 1 61 39 0 45 45 10
Includes measure of PA
Jackson et al 1990 (BMI)30 0.25 (0.16–0.35)* 74 15 11 45 29 26 33 30 37
Jackson et al 1990 (%fat)30 0.31 (0.19–0.43)* 73 10 16 35 31 35 29 24 48
Heil et al 199531 0.31 (0.20–0.43)* 70 12 19 27 35 38 24 26 50
Whaley et al 1995 (BMI)32 0.30 (0.21–0.39)* 69 18 12 34 40 26 24 34 43
Whaley et al 1995 (%fat)32 0.25 (0.13–0.36)* 69 16 14 38 28 34 30 26 44
Matthews et al 199933 0.30 (0.20–0.39)* 74 17 9 43 33 24 21 39 40
Jurca et al 2005 (ACLS)34 0.33 (0.23–0.42)* 72 17 12 29 46 24 24 35 41
Jurca et al 2005 (ADNFS)34 0.29 (0.20–0.37)* 80 17 2 44 56 0 32 55 14
Jurca et al 2005 (NASA)34 0.32 (0.23–0.42)* 75 17 9 37 46 17 26 38 36
Wier et al 2006 (BMI)35 0.31 (0.21–0.40)* 77 12 11 38 38 24 33 30 37
Wier et al 2006 (%fat)35 0.28 (0.16–0.40)* 72 12 16 35 31 35 33 21 45
Wier et al 2006 (WC)35 0.33 (0.22–0.43)* 77 9 14 38 38 24 30 28 42
Nes et al 201136 0.31 (0.20–0.41)* 73 17 10 41 47 12 23 43 34
Cáceres et al 2012 (9 levels)37 0.17 (0.06–0.27)* 84 12 4 53 33 13 63 27 10
Cáceres et al 2012 (5 levels)37 0.14 (0.04–0.25)* 81 17 2 60 33 7 63 27 10
Jackson et al 2012 (BMI, 5‐level PA)20 0.32 (0.22–0.42)* 66 26 8 19 73 8 16 58 27
Jackson et al 2012 (%fat, 5‐level PA)20 0.34 (0.22–0.47)* 66 21 13 20 65 15 14 47 39
Jackson et al 2012 (BMI, 2‐level PA)20 0.32 (0.21–0.42)* 67 26 7 23 73 4 16 60 24
Jackson et al 2012 (%fat, 2‐level PA)20 0.32 (0.21–0.44)* 66 23 11 20 65 15 14 53 33
Jang et al 2012 (model 2)26 0.22 (0.13–0.31)* 43 45 12 13 68 19 4 61 35

A change of ≥5% from the first test was used to classify participants as having increased, decreased, or no change in CRF. %Fat indicates percentage body fat; ACLS, equation based on data from the Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study; ADNFS, equation based on data from the Allied Dunbar National Fitness Survey; BMI, body mass index; CRF, cardiorespiratory fitness; eCRF, estimated CRF; NASA, equation based on data from National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Johnson Space Center; PA, physical activity; and WC, waist circumference.

Significant agreement between eCRF and directly measured CRF.

Gray columns indicate correct predictions.