Table 4.
Multilevel Negative Binomial Regression Models by Alleged Maltreatment Type
| Neglect | Physical abuse | Sexual abuse | Multi-type | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b(se) | IRR | b(se) | IRR | b(se) | IRR | b(se) | IRR | |
| State variables | ||||||||
| Reasonable/Probable cause evidentiary standard | 0.58 (0.16)***c | 1.78 | 0.52 (0.21)* | 1.67 | 0.07 (0.17)ad | 1.08 | 0.62 (0.15)***c | 1.86 |
| Credible evidentiary standard | 0.27 (0.18) | 1.31 | 0.13 (0.22) | 1.14 | −0.13 (0.20) | 0.87 | 0.22 (0.16) | 1.24 |
| County/Hybrid administration | 0.24 (0.19) | 1.27 | 0.00 (0.32) | 1.00 | 0.05 (0.14) | 1.06 | 0.30 (0.19) | 1.35 |
| Indicated disposition option | −0.48 (0.18)** | 0.62 | −0.47 (0.21)* | 0.62 | −0.29 (0.19) | 0.75 | −0.76 (0.26)** | 0.47 |
| Breadth of state definitions | −0.08 (0.09) | 0.92 | −0.01 (0.12) | 0.99 | 0.00 (0.07) | 1.00 | −0.03 (0.09) | 0.97 |
| County variables | ||||||||
| Retention | 0.00 (0.01) | 1.00 | −0.01 (0.02) | 0.99 | 0.03 (0.02) | 1.03 | 0.01 (0.02) | 1.01 |
| Workload | −0.04 (0.01)*** | 0.96 | −0.05 (0.02)** | 0.95 | −0.03 (0.01) | 0.97 | −0.06 (0.01)*** | 0.95 |
| Alternative response usage | −0.29 (0.10)**c | 0.75 | −0.24 (0.11)*c | 0.79 | 0.01 (0.03)ab | 1.01 | −0.10 (0.07) | 0.91 |
| Racial/Ethnic group | ||||||||
| Pct. Black | −0.05 (0.01)*** | 0.95 | 0.03 (0.02) | 1.03 | −0.02 (0.01) | 0.98 | −0.03 (0.01)** | 0.97 |
| Pct. American Indian | 0.02 (0.01) | 1.02 | 0.00 (0.02) | 1.00 | −0.03 (0.01)* | 0.97 | 0.02 (0.01) | 1.02 |
| Pct. Multiracial | −0.02 (0.02) | 0.98 | −0.02 (0.02) | 0.98 | −0.03 (0.02) | 0.97 | 0.01 (0.02) | 1.01 |
| Pct. Asian/Pacific Islander | −0.00 (0.02) | 1.00 | −0.01 (0.01) | 0.99 | 0.01 (0.02) | 1.01 | −0.01 (0.02) | 0.99 |
| Pct. Hispanic | 0.02 (0.01) | 1.02 | −0.03 (0.01)** | 0.97 | 0.02 (0.02) | 1.02 | 0.01 (0.01) | 1.01 |
| Age group | ||||||||
| Pct. Under 3 years old | 0.05 (0.02)*c | 1.05 | 0.09 (0.03)*c | 1.09 | −0.03 (0.02) | 0.97 | 0.08 (0.02)**c | 1.08 |
| Pct. Ages 11 to 17 | −0.02 (0.02)c | 0.98 | −0.07 (0.02)**c | 0.94 | 0.13 (0.02)*** | 1.13 | 0.01 (0.02)c | 1.01 |
| Referral source | ||||||||
| Pct. Law enforcement | 0.15 (0.02)*** | 1.16 | 0.17 (0.04)*** | 1.19 | 0.12 (0.04)** | 1.12 | 0.20 (0.02)*** | 1.22 |
| Pct. Education/Child care | 0.02 (0.02) | 1.02 | 0.03 (0.05) | 1.03 | −0.01 (0.04) | 0.99 | 0.05 (0.02)** | 1.05 |
| Pct. Other mandatory | 0.14 (0.02)*** | 1.15 | 0.08 (0.05) | 1.09 | 0.05 (0.04) | 1.06 | 0.11 (0.02)*** | 1.11 |
| Constant | −1.59 (0.25)*** | −2.13 (0.33)*** | −1.39 (0.17)*** | −1.36 (0.23)*** | ||||
| ln Alpha (dispersion parameter) | −2.25 (0.13)*** | −2.36 (0.12)*** | −2.94 (0.16)*** | −2.66 (0.14)*** | ||||
| var(_constant, state) | 0.21 (0.06)*** | 0.40 (0.14)** | 0.13 (0.03)*** | 0.22 (0.05)*** | ||||
Note: IRR= incidence rate ratio (exponentiated coefficients). Reference group for racial group is % White; reference group for age if % ages 4-10; reference group for referral source is % voluntary, anonymous, or unknown.
p<.05
p<.01
p<.001
=significantly different from neglect model at p<.05
=significantly different from physical abuse model at p<.05
=significantly different from sexual abuse model at p<.05
=significantly different from multi-type model at p<.05