β |
Age-dependent transmission, split into household, school, work and other |
Matrices from Prem et al. [11] |
γ |
Recovery rate, changes with τ, the relative level of transmission from undetected asymptomatics compared to detected symptomatics |
Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to match growth rate and R0
|
da
|
Age-dependent probability of displaying symptoms (and hence being detected), changes with α and τ
|
Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to capture the age profile of infection. |
σa
|
Age-dependent susceptibility, changes with α and τ
|
Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to capture the age profile of infection. |
HR
|
Household quarantine proportion (set equal to ) |
Can be varied according to scenario |
|
Population size of a given age within each region |
ONS |