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[Preprint]. 2021 Jul 27:2020.08.04.20163782. [Version 4] doi: 10.1101/2020.08.04.20163782

Table 1:

Description of key model parameters not fitted in the MCMC and their source

Parameter Description Source
β Age-dependent transmission, split into household, school, work and other Matrices from Prem et al. [11]
γ Recovery rate, changes with τ, the relative level of transmission from undetected asymptomatics compared to detected symptomatics Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to match growth rate and R0
da Age-dependent probability of displaying symptoms (and hence being detected), changes with α and τ Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to capture the age profile of infection.
σa Age-dependent susceptibility, changes with α and τ Fitted from early age-stratified UK case data to capture the age profile of infection.
HR Household quarantine proportion (set equal to 0.8ϕtR) Can be varied according to scenario
NaR Population size of a given age within each region ONS