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. 2020 Aug 18;329:108452. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108452

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Simulations of the model (2.1) using values of the 13 known parameters of the model obtained from the literature (given in Table A3 in Appendix A) and those for the 12 unknown parameters obtained from fitting the model with the cumulative COVID-19 mortality data (given in Tables A4–A7 in Appendix A). (a)–(d): Daily mortality data and daily mortality prediction generated from the model for the pre-lockdown period for the states of Arizona, Florida, New York, and for the entire US, respectively. (e)–(h): Daily mortality data and daily mortality prediction from the model for the lockdown period for the state of Arizona, Florida, New York and the entire US, respectively. The data is displayed in red dots.