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. 2020 Aug 18;329:108452. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108452

Table 4.2.

Percentage reduction in cumulative COVID-19 mortality averted in the states of Arizona, Florida, New York, and the entire US (by the end of September, October, November, and December of 2020) if mild lifting of community lockdown was implemented, in comparison to the case where moderate level of lifting of the community lockdown was implemented. Mild and moderate lifting of community lockdown correspond, respectively, to a 5% and 10% increase in the baseline values of the community contact rate parameters (βp,βa,βi and βs).

Location September 30, 2020 October 31, 2020 November 30, 2020 December 31, 2020
Arizona 48% 58% 66% 73%
Florida 52% 60% 67% 72%
New York 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7%
US 10% 13% 15% 17%