Table 2.

Quantitative translation of weather impact on Campylobacter cases in any municipality in the Nordic countries.

Scenario	Number of cases	Additional cases	% change
Normal	16	n.a.	n.a.
1 °C increase in mean temperature	18	2	13
1 mm increase in precipitation during the summer	22	6	38
One additional heat wavea in the summer	14	-2	-13
One additional heavy precipitationb event in the summer	24	8	50

The hypothetical situation where one scenario event takes place in any municipality in a given week, and the resulting number of (additional) Campylobacter cases the following week because of this event.

^aHeat wave: three consecutive days with temperatures exceeding 99th percentile of the daily maximum temperature from 2000 to 2015.

^bHeavy precipitation: a day with precipitation exceeding 95th percentile of daily precipitation from 2000 to 2015.