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. 2020 Aug 17;20:211. doi: 10.1186/s12874-020-01097-6

Table 7.

The probability of flagged trials for the AEs under three AEs with flat effect relationships and same effect for the rest with safety issues for scenario IV

Example AEs
(True Proportion; Expected Event Rate)
Blinded: Proportion with signal for early termination
Unblinded: Termination Proportion with confirmed by unblinded data
(Pcrit1, Pcrit2)
(0.9, 0.7) (0.9, 0.8) (0.9, 0.9)

Pneumothorax

Induced by HBO therapya

(π = 3%; πM = 2%)

Blinded 0.25 0.26 0.26
Unblinded 0.74 0.57 0.28
Overall Rate 0.19 0.15 0.07

Signs of Pulmonary Dysfunctiona

(π = 31%; πM = 25%)

Blinded 0.53 0.53 0.53
Unblinded 0.74 0.60 0.39
Overall Rate 0.39 0.31 0.21

Pneumoniaa

(π = 48%; πM = 40%)

Blinded 0.56 0.57 0.58
Unblinded 0.75 0.61 0.41
Overall Rate 0.43 0.35 0.24

Critical decreased CPPa (< 60 mmHg)

(π = 80%; πM = 75%)

Blinded 0.50 0.49 0.51
Unblinded 0.66 0.51 0.30
Overall Rate 0.33 0.25 0.15

Critical hypotensiona (MAP< 70 mmHg)

(π = 80%; πM = 75%)

Blinded 0.49 0.50 0.51
Unblinded 0.66 0.51 0.29
Overall Rate 0.32 0.26 0.15

Seizures during HBO treatmenta

(π = 1%; πM = 1%)

Blinded 0.21 0.22 0.22
Unblinded 0.74 0.56 0.28
Overall Rate 0.16 0.12 0.06

Hypercarbia during transportationa

(PaCO2 > 45 mmHg)

(π = 13%; πM = 10%)

Blinded 0.39 0.39 0.38
Unblinded 0.67 0.50 0.28
Overall Rate 0.26 0.19 0.11

(Assume the AE with a has a safety issue)