Table 9.
Scenarios | AE #1 | AE #2 | AE #3 | AE #4 | AE #5 | AE #6 | AE #7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario I (Safe: #1234567) |
Safe | Safe | Safe | Safe | Safe | Safe | Safe |
Baseline proportions | |||||||
Scenario II (Unsafe: #1234567 same effect) |
Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe |
Compare to Baseline proportions scenario I | |||||||
Proportions increase a lot (All effect scenario) | |||||||
Scenario III (Safe: #4,5,6,7; Unsafe: #1,2,3 same effect) |
Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Safe | Safe | Safe | Safe |
Compare to Baseline proportions scenario I | |||||||
Higher proportions | Smaller proportions | ||||||
Scenario IV (Unsafe: #4,5,7 flat effect; Unsafe: #1,2,3,6 same effect) |
Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe |
Comparing to scenario II | |||||||
Similar proportions |
Proportion decreases |
Proportion decreases |
Similar proportion |
Proportion decreases |
|||
Scenario V (Unsafe: #1234567 flat effect; unsafe for control arms) |
Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe | Unsafe |
The model flags potential signals at the blinded stage but not at the unblinded stage with fewer proportions comparing to other scenarios. |