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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Psychiatry Res. 2019 Nov 11;282:112640. doi: 10.1016/j.psychres.2019.112640

Modification of the risk of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) by the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms after Lorca’s earthquakes (Murcia, Spain).

Fernando Navarro-Mateu a,b,c,d,*, Teresa Escámez d,e,f, Mª Paz Quesada d, Mª José Alcaráz g, Gemma Vilagut c,h, Diego Salmerón c,d,i, José Mª Huerta c,d,j, M Dolores Chirlaque c,d,i,j, Carmen Navarro c,d,i,j, Ronald C Kessler k, Jordi Alonso c,h,l, Salvador Martínez m,n
PMCID: PMC7436333  NIHMSID: NIHMS1617625  PMID: 31727442

Abstract

Information of the modulation effect of the serotonin transporter gene-linked polymorphic region (5-HTTLPR) on post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after earthquakes is scarce and contradictory. A cross-sectional face-to-face interview survey of a representative sample of the adults was carried out after the Lorca (Spain) earthquakes (May 11, 2011). Socio-demographic variables, DSM-IV diagnostic assessment and earthquake-related stressors were obtained from the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI). The triallelic and biallelic classification of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphism were genotyped from buccal swabs.

Multivariate logistic regression models were used to predict PTSD, including interaction terms to explore gene-environment (G x E) interactions. The vast majority (83%, n=341) of the Lorca survey respondents (n=412, 71% response rate) were genotyped. Both classifications of the 5-HTTLPR genotype were in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Prior lifetime PTSD was the only variable that remained a significant predictor after adjustments. There were no significant main effects of earthquakes-related stressors or 5-HTTLPR. However, G x E interactions of 5-HTTLPR with high emotional impact and prior lifetime anxiety disorders were statistically significant. These results provide new evidence of the modulation effect of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms on PTSD risk. This information might characterize people at higher risk of developing PTSD after an earthquake exposure.

Keywords: 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms, Post-traumatic Stress Disorder, Gene-Environment Interaction

1. Introduction

Although the vast majority of people in the general population of most countries reports lifetime exposure to one or more traumatic events (Benjet et al., 2015), only a relatively small minority of those exposure to trauma (estimated as averaging 5.6% across studies) develops posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (Koenen et al., 2017). PTSD is a mental disorder characterized by symptoms of re-experiencing, avoidance, dulling of the senses and hyperarousal that occurs following exposure to a potentially traumatic life event (Yehuda et al., 2015). Risk of PTSD is known to vary by type of trauma (Kessler et al., 2017, 2014). Earthquakes and other natural disasters are commonly-occurring types of traumas that have enormous impacts of many sorts (e.g., destruction of infrastructure, personal injury, injury-death of loved ones, geographic displacement, financial adversity) in the general population (Bartholdson and von Schreeb, 2018; Silove and Steel, 2006). PTSD is considered the most frequent psychopathological response to earthquake exposure (Anwar et al., 2013; Cheng et al., 2014; Galea et al., 2005; Neria et al., 2008; Norris et al., 2002a, 2002b). The post-earthquake risk of PTSD and other mental disorders has been reported to be influenced by experiences that occur within and in the aftermath of the earthquake, pre-disaster characteristics of the exposed individuals and their communities, and interactions between the two broad classes of risk factors (Bromet et al., 2017; Galea et al., 2005; Kessler et al., 2017, 2014).

PTSD is a complex and multifactorial mental disorder (Koenen et al., 2009b). Environmental factors clearly contribute to its development and there is a general consensus on the importance of genetics in its etiology (C.R. Brewin et al., 2000; Dai et al., 2016; Duncan et al., 2018). Several candidate genes related to the current understanding of the neurobiology of the disorder have been studied (Koenen, 2007). One of the most frequently investigated genetic variants is the human serotonin transporter (5-hydroxytryptamine transporter, 5-HTT) gene (SLC6A4), through polymorphisms in its promoter region (5-HTTLPR) (Caspi et al., 2010). The less frequent short allele (S) in the 5-HTTLPR has been associated with a lower transcriptional efficiency compared with the more frequent long (L) allele (Lesch et al., 1996). It has been related to different mental outcomes or disorders (Hu et al., 2005; Lesch et al., 1996; Li and He, 2007; Lotrich and Pollock, 2004; Takano et al., 2007). A triallelic model has also been studied since a third functional allele, LG, was described (Nakamura et al., 2000) with an equivalent expression to the S allele (Hu et al., 2005). Thus, 5-HTTLPR might be considered as a triallelic locus with alleles designated as LG, LA, and S, allowing a functional re-arrangement of genotypes (or re-calssification) on the basis of lower and higher levels of expression (Parsey et al., 2006; Zalsman et al., 2006).

Three meta-analyses have analyzed the relation of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms and PTSD. The first of them suggested that current evidence would not support a direct effect of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms on PTSD, with neither the biallelic nor the triallelic approach (Fernando Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013). The second one also found no direct association, but in a sensitivity analysis, being a carrier of the SS genotype seemed to represent a risk factor for PTSD among those exposed to higher levels of trauma (Gressier et al., 2013). The possibility of a modulation effect of the 5-HTTLPR in PTSD through a gene-environment interaction (Koenen et al., 2009b) has been recently explored in the third meta-analyses and its results suggested a modulation effect of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms on the association between stress and PTSD (Zhao et al., 2017). Gene-environment (G x E) interactions imply that the effect of a genetic variant is modified by an environmental exposure or vice versa (Koenen et al., 2008, 2009b). Only one of the 14 included studies in the latest meta-analysis focused on earthquakes and it found a significant interaction between the S allele with the exposure on the risk of PTSD after the exposure to 2008 Winchuan earthquake in China (Tian et al., 2015). Since then, only two more studies have analyzed this G x E interaction in survivors of the same Chinese earthquake (Li et al., 2019; Liu et al., 2017). One did not find an association of the biallelic classification of the genotype on total PTSD symptoms (Liu et al., 2017) but the most recent one showed that those child and adolescent carriers with S’S’ alleles had higher initial PTSD symptoms but also faster recovery rate in a longitudinal study design of 5.5 years of follow-up (Li et al., 2019). Only one of the three latest studies analyzed the triallelic classification of the polymorphism (Li et al., 2019) and none of them controlled for the prior history of mental disorders, considered as one of the most important factors influencing the risk of mental disorders after a natural disaster (C. R. Brewin et al., 2000; Kessler et al., 2014).

On May 11, 2011 a moderate magnitude earthquake (5.1 Mw) preceded by somewhat smaller one (4.5 Mw) and followed by almost 50 aftershocks of minor magnitude in the following few days took place in Lorca (Murcia, Spain) in the midst of a long European economic crisis at the same time that an epidemiological survey was being carried out in a representative sample of the general population the region of Murcia, the PEGASUS-Murcia (“Psychiatric Enquiry to General Population in Southeast Spain-Murcia”) project (Fernando Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013; Navarro-Mateu et al., 2015). Significant differences in the 12-month prevalence of PTSD were found comparing the exposed area of Lorca with the rest of Murcia (3.6% vs 0.5%) (Navarro-Mateu et al., 2017). The aims of the current study were to evaluate 5-HTTLPR polymorphism as a risk factor for PTSD among people exposed to the earthquakes of Lorca, 2011 (Murcia, Spain) and to explore G x E interactions with earthquake-related stressors and lifetime mental disorders prior to the earthquakes.

2. Methods

2.1. Study design and participants

Details of the PEGASUS-Murcia project protocol, sampling frame, selection and weighting procedures are described elsewhere (F. Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013). Briefly, the study uses a cross-sectional survey design to carry out face-to-face interviews with a representative sample of the adult and non-institutionalized general population of the Region of Murcia, in the southeast of Spain. The eligible population was defined as all people aged 18 or older residing in the household population of Lorca, not living in institutions and registered in PERSAN, a periodically up-dated regional registry containing all residents covered by the public health system, with virtually universal coverage. A stratified, multistage, clustered by health area, probability random sampling design was used. The field work in the area of Lorca was carried out between January and April 2012, which was 8–11 months after the earthquake took place, by certified lay interviewers.

2.2. Diagnostic assessment and socio-demographic variables

The structured interview schedule used in the study was a revised version of the WHO Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI 3.0, hereafter referred to as CIDI) adapted for use in Spain (Navarro-Mateu et al., 2012). The CIDI is a fully structured interview designed by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the purpose of ascertaining diagnoses of mental illnesses for comparative research of the community epidemiology of mental illnesses throughout the world (Kessler and Ustun, 2004). Different mental disorders according to DSM-IV have been considered (i.e. Mood Disorders -including major depression, bipolar and dysthymia-, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), other Anxiety Disorders -generalized anxiety disorder, social phobia, specific phobia, agoraphobia without panic, panic disorder, obsessive compulsive disorder and adult separation anxiety disorder- and Substance Disorders –alcohol and drug abuse and/or dependence-). All diagnoses included organic exclusions and without diagnostic hierarchy rules with the exception of major depressive disorder, dysthymia and general anxiety disorder. For substance use disorders, abuse was defined with or without dependence in recognition of abuse being a stage in the progression to dependence.

Prevalence estimates of PTSD were determined by whether respondents’ symptomatology met the 12-month DSM-IV diagnostic criteria for the mental disorder. Lifetime prevalence of mental disorders prior to the earthquakes was determined by whether respondents had a history of mental disorder with an age-of-onset (AOO) a year prior the interview. Retrospective AOO reports were obtained in the CIDI using a series of questions designed to avoid the implausible response patterns obtained when using the standard CIDI age-of-onset questions (Kessler et al., 2005). Different mental disorders according to DSM-IV have been considered (i.e. Mood Disorders -including major depression, bipolar and dysthymia-, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), other Anxiety Disorders -generalized anxiety disorder, social phobia, specific phobia, agoraphobia without panic, panic disorder, obsessive compulsive disorder and adult separation anxiety disorder- and Substance Disorders –alcohol and drug abuse and/or dependence-). All diagnoses included organic exclusions and without diagnostic hierarchy rules with the exception of major depressive disorder, dysthymia and general anxiety disorder. For substance use disorders, abuse was defined with or without dependence in recognition of abuse being a stage in the progression to dependence.

Socio-demographic variables evaluated in this study were: age at interview, sex, completed years of education (grouped in 2 categories: None, primary or lower: 0–11 years; Secondary or higher: 12 or more years of education); marital status (grouped in 2 categories: living with a partner (married-cohabitating) and not living with a partner (separated-widowed-divorced-never married)). Employment status was categorized in 2 categories (working and not working (student, homemaker, retired/disabled, unemployed and others). Referred ethnicity was grouped in 2 categories (White/Caucasian and Others).

2.3. Earthquake-related Stressors

The questionnaire used in the survey, the WHO Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI 3.0) (Navarro-Mateu et al., 2012) was expanded to include questions to examine respondent involvement and severity of the individual exposure to the catastrophe shortly after the earthquake and the psychopathological effects of this exposure. As described in detail previously (Navarro-Mateu et al., 2017), it included 22 structured questions exploring the exposure to different earthquake-related stressors. Each one of them were categorized into 10 different categories of stressors coded as dichotomous variables (yes/no): (1) Life-threatening experience for you or for close people; (2) death of family members, friends or neighbours; (3) seriously personally injured; (4) seriously family members, friends of close neighbours injured; (5) buried or trapped in rubble; (6) financial loss; (7) property (home) seriously damaged or destroyed; (8) more family or household duties or living with relatives, friends, neighbours or strangers; (9) neighbourhood destroyed or seriously damaged; and (10) job affected or loss. Full text of the interview schedule that includes the complete set of stressor questions is available elsewhere (The World Mental Health Survey Initiative, 2015). Two scores were then calculated to evaluate the impact of the earthquake on individuals: a Global Earthquake Stressor Score (GESS) (range: 0–10), by adding the individual score of each of the 10 categories, and the Earthquake’s Experienced Stress (EES), based on a specific question (“On a scale between 0 and 10 where 0 means “no stress at all” and 10 means “the most stress you can imagine a person having”, what number describes how much stress you experienced as a result of the earthquake?”). Finally, for this study, these scores were dichotomized into binary variables (yes/no) if the scores were above the sample mean. These new variables were named ‘High Earthquake Exposure’ (HEE) and ‘High Emotional Impact’ (HEI), respectively. This particular section, including lifetime and after the earthquakes PTSD evaluation, was asked to all respondents from Lorca, independently of the long-short path itinerary used in other areas of Murcia (F. Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013).

2.4. Genotyping

On completion of the interview, interviewees were asked to provide a biological sample of the buccal mucosal epithelium for genetic analyses. Samples were collected in sterile 1.5 ml tubes and registered and stored at BIOBANC-HCUVA (the biobank for biomedical research network of the Region of Murcia, University Clinical Hospital Virgen de la Arrixaca –TD09/0076/00065) (http://www.imib.es/portal/plataformas/biobanco.jsf?subentrada_actual_web=259&padre=241). Genomic DNA was isolated from buccal swabs of the participants using QIAamp DNA Blood Mini Kit (QIAGEN) and performed automatically in a QIAcube system (QIAGEN) to minimize the variability due to manual handling. The SLC6A4 gene presents a 44 bp variable number of tandem repeats (VNTR) polymorphism in its promoter region, which is located approximately 1 kb upstream from the transcription start site, known as 5-HTTLPR polymorphism. Three variants (alleles) of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphism were genotyped in two steps, involving a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification step, followed by digestion with HpaII. The primers used to perform the PCR were previously described (Mellman et al., 2009): sense-ATCGCTCCTGCATCCCCCATTAT and antisense- GAGGTGCAGGGGGATGCTGGAA. Briefly, 25 μl reaction included 50 ng genomic DNA, 1X amplification buffer, 0.2 mM dNTPs, 1.5 mM MgSO4, 0.2 μM of each primer, 1 unit Platinum Taq PCRx polymerase (Invitrogen) and 1X PCR enhancer owing to the high GC content in the polymorphism region. The reaction was initially heated to 95°C (5 min), followed by 35 cycles of 95°C (35 sec), 60°C (30 sec) and 68°C (30 sec) and a final elongation step of 72°C (5 min). To distinguish between S (103 bp) and L (146 bp) alleles, PCR product reactions were analyzed by size determination on a QIAxcel Advanced System (QIAGEN) by high-resolution capillary electrophoresis. As a result of biallelic genotyping, individuals were genotyped as S/S, S/L or L/L. Afterwards and according to the manufacturer’s instructions, fast HpaII restriction enzyme digestion (Thermoscientific) was carried out for SNP rs25531. This SNP consist in the presence of adenine (A) or guanine (G), being digested in the last position. Final digested products were visualized on a QIAexcel, and individuals were genotyped as S/S, S/LA, S/LG, LA/LA, LA/LG and LG/ LG. The “triallelic” approach (S, LA, LG) allow the functional re-classification of S/LG and LG/ LG as SŚ´, LA/LG as SĹ´ and LA/LA as LĹ´. The products’ sizes after digestion were: S (103 bp), LA (146 bp) and LG (83 bp, 63 bp). All genetic analyses were performed blinded to the diagnostic status of participants by the same geneticist.

2.5. Statistical methods

Calculations for deviation from the Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium were performed using chi-square tests for biallelic and triallelic genotype frequencies. Differences between those participants who did and did not provide genetic samples by socio-demographic variables and diagnostic categories were calculated by chi-square or student’s t tests. Initially, bivariate analyses were used to explore differences by the presence (no/yes) of 12-month PTSD and each of the demographic characteristics (female sex, age, marital status, level of education and employment status), prior mental disorders (PTSD, other anxiety, mood and substance disorders), exposure-related variables (HEE and HEI) and the genotype frequencies measured as the number of L alleles.

Hierarchical logistic regression models were estimated to predict 12-month PTSD. Logits were exponentiated to create Odds Ratios (OR) and their 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CI). Model 1 (M1) was implemented as a simple logistic regression with each of the previous relevant independent variables. Model 2 (M2) included all sociodemographic variables and all lifetime disorders prior to the exposure. Model 3 (M3) added the 5-HTTLPR polymorphism to M2. As there is no consensus on the inheritance model of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms, three different approaches for each classification (biallelic or triallelic genotypes) were used to explore their relationship with 12-month PTSD: a codominant model (SS, SL or LL and S’S’, S’L’ or L’L’), a S or S’ dominant model (LL vs SS+SL or L’L’ vs S’S’+S’L’) and a S or S’ recessive model (LL+SL vs SS or L’L’+S’L’ vs S’S’) were analyzed in model M2. Finally, to test for gene-environment interactions, another hierarchical series of multivariate logistic regression models were performed with the sequentially inclusion of the different previously defined interaction terms formed by the combination of the 5-HTTLPR genotype (both, with the triallelic and biallelic approaches) with earthquake-related measures (HEE and HEI) and the four prior lifetime mental disorders (PTSD, other anxiety, mood and substance disorders). All statistics used two-sided tests with alpha level of 0.05. No correction for multiple testing was performed. In exploratory analyses of a genetically complex trait in which the relationship between genotype and phenotype has not been yet established (Fernando Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013), multiple test adjustment are not strictly required (Bender and Lange, 2001) as it can increase the likelihood that real effects would be missed out (type II error rates) (Rothman, 1990).

The Clinical Research Ethics Committee of the University Hospital Virgen de la Arrixaca of Murcia approved the protocol. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants before starting the interview. The study was carried out in accordance with the STREGA (Strengthening The Reporting of Genetic Association Studies) guidelines, an extension of the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines, for candidate gene studies (Little et al., 2009).

3. Results

The vast majority (83.5%, n = 344) of the Lorca survey participants (n= 412, 71.0% response rate) provided a biological sample to facilitate genetic analyses. The remaining survey respondents (16.5%, n=68) declined. The socio-demographic variables for the entire sample comparing both groups are presented in Supplementary table S1. The groups differed only in mean age and employment status, with those providing biological samples younger and more likely to be employed than refusers. DNA from three biological samples could not be genotyped due to a very low DNA concentration levels. Thus, the final sample used in this study consists of the 341 people interviewed after the Lorca earthquakes for whom we had complete 5-HTTLPR genotype data.

Description of socio-demographic variables, lifetime mental disorders prior to the exposure, earthquakes exposure description, and the triallelic and the biallelic genotype frequencies are presented in Table 1. The global allele frequencies of the different alleles were: S=369 (54.1%), LA=18 (2.6%) and LG =295 (43.3%). Both genotype classifications did not deviate from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (“triallelic” approach: S’S’=113 (33.1%), S’L’= 161 (47.2%), L’L’= 67 (19.6%), χ2,1 d.f.= 0.498, p-value=0.48; “biallelic” approach: SS=101(29.6%), SL=167 (49.0%), LL=73 (21.4%), χ2,1 d.f.=0.066, p-value=0.80). Participants with 12-month PTSD were more frequent having other work status different as working (student, homemaker, retired/disabled and unemployed among others), had more lifetime antecedents of PTSD, other anxiety, mood and substance disorders prior to the earthquakes and were more affected by the exposure to the natural catastrophes, both, in terms of the number of related-stressful events and in terms of the emotional impact secondary to the exposure, than people without 12-month PTSD. There were no differences in terms of the distributions of the “triallelic” and the “biallelic” 5-HTTLPR genotype classification between both groups.

Table 1:

Demographic, prior lifetime history of mental disorders, earthquake-related variables and triallelic and biallelic genotypes frequencies of Study participants by 12-month Post-traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) status.

Variables No 12 PTSD 12m PTSD p-value #
N (%) N (%)
Sex
Male 154 (47.5) 4 (23.5)
Female 170 (52.5) 13 (76.5) 0.053
Age (Mean, SD) 47.22 (16.332) 48.00 (14.794) 0.85
Ethnicity
White/Caucasic 293 (90.4) 12 (70.6)
Not white/caucasic 31 (9.6) 5 (29.4) 0.02&
Marital status
Living with a partner 244 (75.3) 12 (70.6)
Not living with a partner 80 (24.7) 5 (29.4) 0.66
Education
Secondary or higher 123 (38.0) 3 (17.6)
Primary or lower 201 (62.0) 14 (82.4) 0.09
Employment
Working 172 (53.1) 4 (23.5)
Not working 152 (46.9) 13 (76.54) 0.02
Any prior lifetime PTSD 4 (1.2) 8 (47.1) < 0.005
Number of any prior lifetime other anxiety disorders (Mean, SD) 0.10 (0.350) 0.53 (0.800) 0.04
Number of Any prior lifetime mood disorder (Mean, SD) 0.12 (0.341) 0.47 (0.514) 0.01
Number of any prior substance disorder (Mean, SD) 0.05 (0.274) 0.18 (0.529) 0.33
Number of any prior lifetime mental disorders (Mean, SD) 0.27 (0.677) 1.18 (1.334) 0.01
High Earthquake Exposure (HEE) 154 (59.5) 13 (81.2) 0.01
High Emotional Impact (HEI) 189 (57.1) 14 (87.5) 0.02
Triallelic classification
S’S’ 108 (33.3) 5 (29.4)
S’L’ 154 (47.5) 7 (41.2)
L’L’ 62 (19.1) 5 (29.4) 0.58
Biallelic classification
SS 96 (29.6) 5 (29.4)
SL 160 (49.4) 7 (41.2)
LL 68 (21.0) 5 (29.4) 0.68
#

Chi-squared or Student-T test for categoric or continuous mesures respectivelly.

±

Include: student, homemaker, retired/disabled, unemployed and others diferent from working.

High Earthquake Exposure (HEE): defined as those with an exposure score above the mean rate of the total sample;

High Emòtional Impact (HEI): defined as those with an Emotional impact above the mean rate of the total sample;

&

Fisher’s exact test

Table 2 summarizes the association between the variables with PTSD status with the “triallelic” approach in a bivariate model (M1) and the multivariate model (M2). The only variable that remained significant after the adjustment for socio-demographic, prior mental disorders and earthquake-related variables was the lifetime history of PTSD prior to the earthquake’s exposure. There was no significant main effect for earthquake exposure-related variables and 5-HTTLPR “triallelic” genotype. A similar pattern was found with the “biallelic” genotype (supplementary table 2).

Table 2:

Association between of risk factors and analyses of gene-environment interactions on the risk of 12-month Post-traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) status after the exposure to Lorca’s earthquakes, 2011 with a triallelic 5-HTTLPR genotype approach.

Model M1 Model M2 Model M3 Model M4 Interaction 1 Model M5 Interaction 2
OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI)
High Earthquake Exposure (HEE) 4.42 (1.23 ; 15.81) * 5.11 (0.86; 30.24) 4.59 (0.76; 27.42) 6.06 (0.85; 43.02) 3.61 (0.62; 21.01)
High Emotional Impact (HEI) 4.67 (1.04 ; 20.88) * 3.07 (0.49; 19.21) 3.28 (0.48; 22.20) 0.17 (0.01; 2.43) 3.62 (0.48; 27.32)
Any prior lifetime PTSD 71.11 (18.05; 280.10) * 70.38 (9.50; 521.58) * 62.67 (8.60; 456.70) * 176.49 (13.44; 2317.89) * 71.50 (7.41; 690.09) *
Number of any prior lifetime other anxiety disorders 3.74 (1.81 ; 7.76) * 1.29 (0.26; 6.35) 1.21 (0.28; 5.27) 1.20 (0.26; 5.44) 0.01 (0.00; 1.37)
Number of any prior lifetime mood disorder 4.97 (2.01 ; 12.28) * 1.47 (0.35; 6.14) 1.65 (0.38; 7.15) 1.65 (0.41; 6.65) 1.81 (0.35; 9.42)
Number of any prior substance disorder 2.27 (0.85 ; 6.06) 0.80 (0.14; 4.67) 0.98 (0.17; 5.71) 0.82 (0.12; 5.51) 0.78 (0.09; 6.70)
Number of Ĺ alleles 1.32 (0.67 ; 2.60) - 1.81 (0.65; 5.02) 0.12 (0.01; 1.42) 3.20 (0.91; 11.18)
Interaction: High Emotional Impact (HEI)-by-Number of Ĺ alleles - - - 33.83 (1.74; 657.86) * -
Interaction: OtherAnxiety-by-Number of Ĺ alleles - - - - 45.69 (1.737; 1202.04) *

Model M1: each row represents a simple logistic regression model with 12-month PTSD as the dependent variable.

Model M2: M1 adjusted by sociodemographic variables (student, homemaker, retired/disabled, unemployed and others diferent from working) and prior mental disorders.

Model M3: the number of Ĺ alleles is included in M2

Model M4 Interaction 1: M3 including the interaction term created with the product of HEI and the number of Ĺ alleles.

Model M5 Interaction 2 : M3 including the interaction term between the number of Ĺ alleles and the number of any prior lifetime other anxiety disorders

High Earthquake Exposure (HEE): defined as those with an exposure score above the mean rate of the total sample.

High Emotional Impact (HEI): defined as those with an Emotional impact above the mean rate of the total sample.

*

p-value < 0.05.

Different gene-environment interaction models were analyzed with the sequential inclusion of different interaction terms formed with the combination of 5-HTTLPR genotype with earthquakes exposure-related measures (HEE and HEI) and the four prior lifetime mental disorders (PTSD, other anxiety, mood and substance disorders). Interaction terms were significant only in two models, specifically: the number of L’ alleles x HEI (p-value= 0.027), and the number of L’ alleles and other prior anxiety disorders (p-value=0.027) (see table 2). The same pattern of interaction was found with the “biallelic” approach (number of L alleles x HEI, p-value= 0.026, and number of L alleles and other prior anxiety disorders, p-value=0.027) (see supplementary table 2 ).

The analysis of the association between the three different models of inheritance of the 5-HTTLPR genotype in the “triallelic” (per L’ allele: adjusted OR (95%CI) = 1.81 (0.65; 5.02); S’ > L’: 0.25 (0.06; 1.13) and L’ > S’: 0.94 (0.20; 4.37) and the “biallelic” (per L allele: 1.73 (0.62; 4.78); S > L: 0.28 (0.06; 1.22) and L > S: 1.00 (0.21; 4.69) approach did not found any significant effect for any of them.

Stratified analyses with a multivariate logistic regression adjusted for variables included in model 2 (M2) showed that the number of Ĺ alleles does not influence the risk of PTSD among persons who suffered low emotional impact (adjusted OR =0.29; 95%CI: 0.02, 4.05) but increased the risk among those suffering high emotional impact (adjusted OR = 4.84; 95%CI: 1.26, 18.64) and predicted an increased risk of PTSD among those with no history of any anxiety disorder with the exception of prior lifetime PTSD (3.74, 1.14; 12.07). A similar pattern was found with the number of L alleles. Stratified analyses with a multivariate logistic regression adjusted for variables included in model 2 (M2) showed a similar pattern among persons who suffered low emotional impact (aOR=0.27; 95%CI: 0.02, 3.83) but increased risk of PTSD among those suffering high emotional impact (aOR = 4.55; 95%CI: 1.19, 17.46) and an increased risk of PTSD among those with no history of any anxiety disorder with the exception of prior lifetime PTSD (3.43, 1.07; 11.02). Limitations of the sample size did not allow calculating the risk associated with one or two or more anxiety disorders.

4. Discussion

The aims of this study were to evaluate the association of the 5-HTTLPR polymorphism and PTSD and to explore the moderation effect of this genotype on the PTSD risk associated to earthquake-related stressors and lifetime mental disorders prior to the exposure in a representative sample of the general population exposed to the earthquakes of Lorca, 2011 (Murcia, Spain). The results suggest that the 5-HTTLPR polymorphism had no main effect in predicting PTSD is consistent with previous meta-analytic research which no direct association described (Gressier et al., 2013; Fernando Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013). To analyze the impact of the earthquake exposure, two scores approaches were measured: the severity (HEE) and the emotional impact (HEI) of the exposure. Contrary to our expectations and despite finding significant differences between participants who did and those who did not develop 12-month PTSD in terms of high exposure and high emotional impact in the bivariate analyses, none of both scores remained significant in multivariate analyses. Unfortunately, we did not have data on previous emotion regulation skills or cognitive biases of participants that could confound the effect (Woud et al., 2017). A prior history of lifetime PTSD was the most consistent and strongest risk factor predicting PTSD is consistent with a recent cross-national epidemiological analysis of risk factors for PTSD among people exposed to trauma in the context of the WHO World Mental Health (WMH) Surveys (Kessler et al., 2018), where only prior anxiety disorders significantly predicted PTSD in a multivariate model.

The 5-HTTLPR genotype modulated the effect of the emotional impact of the earthquakes’ exposure and of the history of previous anxiety disorders on the risk of PTSD, both with the tri- and biallelic functional classification of the polymorphism. L’L’ and LL alleles carriers were at higher risk of PTSD in the context of higher emotional impact and in the absence of prior anxiety disorders. Three papers have analyzed the 5-HTTLPR x earthquake exposure (Li et al., 2019; Liu et al., 2017; Tian et al., 2015) and only one of them found a statistical significant G x E interaction with bialellic genotype (Tian et al., 2015). These interactions are broadly consistent with previous studies finding the L or L’ alleles to be involved risk of PTSD instead of the S or S’ alleles. A risk-reducing effect of the SS genotype has been previously described in relation to chronic PTSD in victims of motor-vehicle accidents (Thakur et al., 2009) and in the development of re-experiencing and arousal symptoms of PTSD in two independent African American samples exposed to childhood emotional abuse (Walsh et al., 2014). Moreover, two other studies implicated L’ or L alleles in G x E interactions predicting PTSD. The L’ allele was found to interact with the number of trauma events in PTSD with a stronger effect in homozygous (Grabe et al., 2009). In the second study, the probability of developing lifetime PTSD was dependent on genotype (Kolassa et al., 2010). While SS homozygous were at higher risk for developing PTSD independently of the number of traumatic events, SL or LL carriers showed a S-shaped dose-response relationship with the increased number of traumas. However, only a trend towards an interaction between genotype polymorphisms and number of traumatic events experienced was found. It is possible that participants with those antecedents were more prone to have a higher emotional impact after such an exposure, though this possibility could not be confirmed in an exploratory bivariate analysis in our sample (results not presented). The risk of developing PTSD following an stressful exposure has been previously described to be mediated by preexisting psychopathology, including panic or generalized anxiety disorder (Koenen et al., 2002).

PTSD offers unique opportunities to study G x E in psychiatry (Koenen et al., 2008, 2009b) but also enormous challenges. This mental disorder has been considered a complex and heterogeneous phenotype composed of a combination of symptom dimensions potentially influenced by different G x G, G x E and/or E x E interactions (Smoller, 2016; Yehuda et al., 2015), and by even more complex interaction models (e.g. G x G x E or G x E x E interactions) (Mehta and Binder, 2012). An important limitation of PTSD studies is the great heterogeneity in the index trauma analyzed as it influences the consequent PTSD conditional risk (Kessler et al., 2018, 2014). The study of PTSD after the exposure to an earthquake has, at least, two advantages: i) it limits the variability in the index trauma exposure, and ii) it reduces the possibility of a gene-by-environment correlation (rGE), where the genetic variants influencing the disorder risk may act through the effect of exposure to index traumas (Koenen et al., 2008; Mehta and Binder, 2012). Research on psychological consequences after an earthquake is extremely complicated due to the specific difficulties inherent to the complex logistic organization needed to start a survey after an unpredicted disaster (Kessler et al., 2008). Besides, a high heterogeneity has been found in published literature related to characteristics: i) of the disaster exposure, such as the type of trauma, timing, intensity and/or duration of the trauma; ii) of the exposed population, including the region/country affected and group-level environmental factors, such as social support or rates of crime and unemployment; and iii) different methodological issues, such as study design, power and sample size and diagnostic instruments selected (Bromet and Dew, 1995; Galea et al., 2008; Kilpatrick et al., 2007; Koenen et al., 2009a, 2008).

Several strengths of the study should be highlighted. First, the study was performed in a representative sample of the general population from Lorca (F. Navarro-Mateu et al., 2013; Navarro-Mateu et al., 2017). The target population was selected before the earthquake took place in Lorca with a response rate of 71% of participants, above the 60% conventionally considered as a minimum standard in general population surveys (Johnson and Wislar, 2012). There were only slight differences (mean age and employment status) between those who provided biological samples (85%) and those who declined (16.5%), and these did not seem to be related to genotype or disease status. Thus, the data seems to have a good external validity. Second, a careful evaluation of the prior history of mental disorders in combination to other sociodemographic variables allowed a comprehensive control for potential confounders. This is more important in the context of shared genetic effects between PTSD and other disorders (Duncan et al., 2018). Finally, both, the “triallelic” and “biallelic” approaches were considered in the analyses. Nevertheless, some limitations deserve careful consideration. First, DSM-IV diagnoses of PTSD and prior lifetime mental disorders were based on a fully structured lay-administered interview, the CIDI 3.0, rather than semi-structured clinical interviews. However, this has been evaluated with a moderate-to-excellent concordance with diagnosis of most mental disorders (Haro et al., 2006; Kessler et al., 2004) and the instrument has been widely used in epidemiologic surveys of general population all over the world (Kessler and Ustun, 2004). Second, some concerns about population stratification could be raised as the method used to evaluate ethnicity was not based on genetic markers but on the declared ethnicity. All statistical analyses were adjusted to control for the differences were found in the declared ethnicity. Third, other environment variables might have obscured other potential interactions, such as the history of childhood adversities (Kessler et al., 2010; Walsh et al., 2014; Zhao et al., 2017), previous stressful life events (Kessler et al., 2018), specific personality traits (e.g. neuroticism and/or resilience) (Aburn et al., 2016; Munafo et al., 2006) or epigenetic mechanisms such as the level of methylation (Koenen et al., 2011). Future studies should explore their modulation effect as this is the first genetic analysis in our sample. Fourth, the cross-sectional design limits the interpretation of the associations found being causal and might explain the heterogeneity of results. More longitudinal designs (Li et al., 2019) are needed. Finally, the relatively small sample size and the investigation of a number of interactions raise the possibility that the observed significant interactions might fail to replicate in future studies, although the broad consistency of these interactions with the results of other studies suggests that they might be stable. Future research would be needed to investigate this issue.

The risk of developing PTSD after the exposure to the earthquakes of Lorca is influenced by the previous history of PTSD and the emotional impact of the experience and the previous history of anxiety disorders are modulated by the 5-HTTLPR genotype. Therapeutic interventions to prevent mental disorders after the exposure to earthquakes should be focused on people at higher risk and our study shows that this should particularly include those with a higher direct exposure to the natural disaster and those with a prior history of mental disorders. Nowadays, to identify genetic biomarkers that would allow to distinguish between persons at high or low risk of developing PTSD after trauma exposure, more independent replicative studies with larger samples, future up-date or new meta-analysis with the 5-HTTLPR or other candidate genes, and large genome-wide association (GWAS) studies are warranted to improve our knowledge of the etio-pathogenesis of the PTSD phenotype (Koenen et al., 2008; Logue et al., 2015).

Supplementary Material

supplementary material

Acknowledgments

The authors wish to thank all participants for their collaboration and acknowledge to Carlos Giribert Muñoz, Deputy Director of Programs, Chronicity and Innovation of the Health Authority of Murcia at the time of the field work for his support in developing the PEGASUS-Murcia project. The authors thank the WMH Coordinating Center staff at Harvard and Michigan Universities for their assistance with the instrumentation, fieldwork and data analysis.

Role of the Funding Source

The PEGASUS-Murcia (Psychiatric Enquiry to General Population in Southeast Spain-Murcia) Project was supported by the Regional Health Authorities of Murcia (“Servicio Murciano de Salud and Consejería de Sanidad”) (Decreto n°: 455/2009, the “Fundación para la Formación e Investigación Sanitarias (FFIS) de la Región de Murcia” (N° Expedientes: CM0829 I and FFIDS/EMER09/14) and the “Ayudas para proyectos de Investigación en Salud ISCIII- del Plan Nacional de Investigación Científica, Desarrollo e Innovación Tecnológica” (PI12/00809). The PEGASUS-Murcia project was carried out in conjunction with the WHO-World Mental Health (WMH) Survey Initiative. WMH Coordinating Center staff at Harvard and Michigan Universities provided assistance with the instrumentation, fieldwork and data analysis. These activities were supported by the United States National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH070884), the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, the Pfizer Foundation, the U.S. Public Health Service (R13-MH066849, R01- MH069864, and R01 DA016558), the Fogarty International Center (FIRCA R03- TW006481), the Pan American Health Organization, the Eli Lilly & Company Foundation, Ortho-McNeil Pharmaceutical, Inc., GlaxoSmithKline, Bristol- Myers Squibb and Shire. The direct and indirect founders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Footnotes

Declaration of interest

Dr. Kessler has served on advisory boards for Mensante Corporation, Plus One Health Management, Lake Nona Institute, and U.S. Preventive Medicine, is a co-owner of DataStat, Inc. In the past three years, Dr. Kessler has been a consultant for Hoffman- La Roche, Inc., Johnson & Johnson Wellness and Prevention, and Sonofi-Aventis Groupe. There are no patents, products in development or marketed products to declare. Preliminary results of this study were presented as a poster at the XVI World Congress of the World Psychiatry in Madrid, Spain, in September 2014; at XIX National Congress of Psychiatry in Palma de Mallorca, in October 2016; and at XVII SESPAS Congress (“Ciencia para la Acción”) in Barcelona, Septembre 2017.

Data sharing statement

The de-identified minimal dataset needed for only monitoring purposes will be made available on request due to ethical restrictions in the signed agreements with the WHO WMH Survey Initiative.

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