Table 1.
Current confirmed cases per million population and estimated outbreak progress in positive and medium scenarios (July 24 confirmed cases divided by the estimated total final confirmed cases in positive and medium scenario)
| Confirmed per million population (July 24) | Outbreak progress in positive scenario | Outbreak progress in medium scenario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chile | 18,087 |
99.4% (60.2%, 100.0%) |
98.3% (53.1%, 100.0%) |
| Canada | 3040 |
98.9% (95.2%, 100.0%) |
97.2% (93.9%, 100.0%) |
| Afghanistan | 967 |
96.9% (91.5%, 100.0%) |
96.4% (90.4%, 100.0%) |
| Qatar | 38,913 |
96.5% (94.4%, 98.4%) |
95.6% (93.3%, 97.8%) |
| Belarus | 7031 |
94.0% (92.0%, 96.3%) |
91.6% (89.5%, 93.8%) |
| Pakistan | 1274 |
95.8% (92.6%, 98.8%) |
88.2% (85.2%, 91.2%) |
| Russia | 5503 |
80.4% (75.9%, 84.7%) |
77.1% (73.6%, 80.9%) |
| Peru | 11,601 |
73.8% (68.5%, 79.1%) |
72.5% (65.7%, 79.6%) |
| Saudi Arabia | 7727 |
89.9% (85.4%, 93.7%) |
71.4% (67.3%, 75.4%) |
| Sweden | 7735 |
90.5% (82.5%, 99.8%) |
53.7% (38.7%, 65.5%) |
| Brazil | 10,920 |
54.2% (36.8%, 79.6%) |
49.6% (38.6%, 97.2%) |
| Argentina | 3189 |
30.0% (8.5%, 47.7%) |
26.9% (8.4%, 77.4%) |
| Mexico | 2938 |
35.1% (27.6%, 42.3%) |
23.9% (14.0%, 45.7%) |
| Israel | 6527 |
100.0% (23.1%, 100.0%) |
Not reliable |
| India | 952 |
78.0% (17.7%, 100.0%) |
23.0% (14.3%, 31.7%) |
| Dominican Republic | 5421 | Not reliable | Not reliable |
| Philippines | 698 | Not reliable | Not reliable |
| Iran | 3472 | Not reliable | Not reliable |
The ranking is in terms of outbreak progress in medium scenario (fourth column from left). Numbers in brackets are 80% confidence intervals. As positive scenarios predict a smaller final number of total infected cases, the outbreak progress is thus larger in the positive scenario