Table 3.

Summary multivariable Bayesian hierarchical Poisson modes for association with positive COVID-19 tests counts in New York City ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, April 3–22, 2020

Variable	IDR∗	2.5%	97.5%
Intercept	353.82	197.66	632.23
COPD†	2.32	0.92	5.85
Heart disease	1.27	0.88	1.83
Black/African American	2.29	1.13	4.68
Older than 65 years	1.50	1.17	1.92
Housing density	1.08	0.65	1.78

^∗Incidence density ratio for bivariate association of explanatory covariates with positive test counts in ZIP Code Tabulation Area.

^†Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.