Table 3. Projected Estimates of Additional Graduates From Closed Historically Black Medical Schools.

School	Estimated graduates per year, mean	Years between school closure and 2019, No.	Additional projected graduates from year of school closure to 2019, No.
			Steady expansion modela	Rapid expansion modelb
Flint Medical College of New Orleans University, Louisiana	5.27	108	5862	7396
Knoxville Medical College, Tennessee	2.60	109	5678	7300
Leonard Medical School of Shaw University, North Carolina	11.06	101	5750	7102
Louisville National Medical College, Kentucky	4.17c	107	5646	7216
University of West Tennessee College of Medicine and Surgery–Memphis, Tennessee	6.74	96	4837	6301
Total projected graduates
All 5 schools	NA	NA	27 773	35 315
Leonard Medical School and University of West Tennessee only	NA	NA	10 587	13 403

Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.

^aAssumes an expansion rate of 0.9 graduates per year to a maximum of 100 graduates per year.

^bAssumes an expansion rate of 1.3 graduates per year to a maximum of 100 graduates per year.

^cMean number of graduates based on the lower limit of the known total number of graduates (Table 1).