Table 1.
Summary of data sets, and an indication of which were used to calculate the prior probability distribution and likelihood functions, for each of the water balance components including over-lake precipitation (denoted as P), over-lake evaporation (denoted as E), lateral runoff (denoted as R), inflow through main channels from upstream lake (denoted as I), outflow through main channels (denoted as Q), diversion (denoted as D) and lake storage (denoted as H). Note that only data from 1950 to 2019 was used in this study.
| Data sources | Variables | Temporal coverage | Used in | Data reference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prior distribution estimate | Likelihood function estimate | ||||
| NOAA GLERL GLM-HMD | P, E, R | 1900–2016(*) | X | X | Hunter, et al.43 |
| USACE AHPS | P, E, R | 1900–2019(*) | X | Croley53 | |
| CCGLBHHD | I, Q, D, H | 1900–2019 | X | X | Gronewold, et al.31 |
| IGS | I, Q | 2008–2019 | X | Gronewold, et al.31 | |
| GLERL FVCOM | E | 2018–2019 | X | Kelley, et al.56 | |
| ECCC CaPA | P | 2006–2019 | X | Fortin, et al.40 and Lespinas, et al.55 | |
| NWS MPE | P | 2016–2019 | X | Stevenson and Schumacher54 | |
| ECCC WCPS | E, R | 2016–2019 | X | Durnford, et al.39 | |
(*): over-lake evaporation is only available starting in 1949.