Table 3.

Probabilities of exceeding hospital capacity under the optimized strategies with 95% and 80% effective cocooning of vulnerable populations

	Probability of exceeding percent of hospital capacity
Hospital capacity	Cocooning at 95%	Cocooning at 80%
60%	1.000	1.000
70%	0.997	1.000
80%	0.803	0.973
90%	0.020	0.197
100%	0.000	0.007

The second and third columns correspond to Fig. 1 E and F and Fig. 1 G and H, respectively. Note that Fig. 1 shows 90% prediction intervals (PIs), 5%-95%, for hospitalizations based on 300 simulations, and the last row of the table includes more extreme events.