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. 2020 Aug 24;140:110248. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110248

Table A1.

Forecasted values of number of incidences.

Date USA UK Italy Spain France China India
1/21/2020
1/22/2020 -651.32
1/23/2020 -112.803 -10.4029
1/24/2020 -187.487 2.091972 2.308769 -135.821 200.0047
1/25/2020 -224.869 5.480038 2.305918 5.495655 264.0949 494.3476
1/26/2020 -225.752 10.58698 9.293847 12.57273 844.1042 974.5049
1/27/2020 -190.922 17.06037 20.40184 21.40369 1914.875 1592.129
1/28/2020 -121.145 25.21898 35.05084 33.5037 3711.985 2372.772
1/29/2020 -17.174 34.76413 53.37779 47.79814 5198.481 3302.93
1/30/2020 120.2568 45.88011 75.52382 65.04918 6943.99 4389.739
1/31/2020 290.4277 58.6633 101.4555 84.71625 9019.436 5629.429
02-01-2020 -268.22 492.6347 73.07136 131.1386 107.1827 11103.61 7023.992
02-02-2020 -125.167 726.1891 89.12289 164.581 132.1768 13503.99 8572.374
02-03-2020 435.4174 990.4168 106.8097 201.7913 159.8911 16476.28 10275.13
02-04-2020 1413.79 1284.658 126.1354 242.7675 190.1891 19864.74 12131.97
02-05-2020 2808.92 1608.268 147.0984 287.5074 223.1676 23896.12 14143.05
02-06-2020 4622.354 1960.615 169.6995 336.0116 258.758 27722.13 16308.29
02-07-2020 6853.319 2341.082 193.9382 388.2806 297.0089 31543.65 18627.72
02-08-2020 9501.815 2749.063 219.8147 444.3142 337.8858 34459.51 21101.33
02-09-2020 12567.58 3183.966 247.3291 504.1124 381.4132 37271.42 23729.13
02-10-2020 16121.88 3645.214 276.4812 567.6752 427.5737 40424.62 26511.11
02-11-2020 19986.07 4132.24 307.2711 635.0025 476.3797 43058.88 29447.27
02-12-2020 24160.08 4644.489 339.6988 706.0944 527.8224 45258.08 32537.62
2/13/2020 28643.85 5181.42 373.7643 780.9509 581.9081 47226.56 35782.16
2/14/2020 33437.66 5742.5 409.4676 859.572 638.6322 49365.08 39180.87
2/15/2020 38541.08 6327.212 446.8087 941.9577 697.998 51008.58 42733.77
2/16/2020 43954.34 6935.047 485.7875 1028.108 760.0032 52274.09 46440.86
2/17/2020 49677.42 7565.508 526.4042 1118.023 824.6493 71763.66 50302.13
2/18/2020 55710.4 8218.109 568.6587 1211.702 891.9354 73767.94 54317.58
2/19/2020 62034.89 8892.372 612.5509 1309.146 961.8621 74608.79 58487.22
2/20/2020 68696.97 9587.834 658.0809 1410.355 1034.429 75385.47 62811.04
2/21/2020 75696.66 10304.04 705.2488 1515.328 1109.636 76102.88 67289.04
2/22/2020 83033.98 11040.54 754.0544 1624.066 1187.484 76765.54 71921.23
2/23/2020 90708.86 11796.9 804.4978 1736.568 1267.972 77377.63 76707.6
2/24/2020 98721.39 12572.69 856.579 1852.835 1351.1 77943.01 81648.16
2/25/2020 107071.5 13367.49 910.298 1972.867 1436.869 78465.24 86742.9
2/26/2020 115759.3 14180.9 965.6548 2096.663 1525.278 78947.62 91991.82
2/27/2020 124784.6 15012.52 1022.649 2224.224 1616.327 79393.19 97394.93
2/28/2020 134152.3 15861.95 1081.282 2355.549 1710.017 79804.75 102952.2
2/29/2020 143850.5 16728.82 1141.552 2490.639 1806.347 80184.91 108663.7
03-01-2020 153879 17612.74 1203.46 2629.493 1905.317 80536.05 114529.4
03-02-2020 164238 18513.35 1267.006 2772.112 2006.928 80860.39 120549.2
03-03-2020 174927.5 19430.29 1332.189 2918.496 2111.179 81159.99 126723.2
03-04-2020 185947.4 20363.21 1399.01 3068.644 2218.07 81436.72 133051.5
03-05-2020 197297.8 21311.77 1467.47 3222.557 2327.602 81692.33 139533.8
03-06-2020 208978.5 22275.62 1537.566 3380.234 2439.774 81928.44 146170.4
03-07-2020 220989.8 23254.45 1609.301 3541.676 2554.586 82146.52 152961.2
03-08-2020 233330.2 24247.93 1682.674 3706.883 2672.039 82347.97 159906.1
03-09-2020 246003 25255.74 1757.684 3875.854 2792.132 82534.04 167005.3
03-10-2020 259008 26277.58 1834.332 4048.59 2914.865 82705.91 174258.6
03-11-2020 272345.3 27313.14 1912.618 4225.09 3040.239 82864.66 181666.1
03-12-2020 286015 28362.13 1992.541 4405.355 3168.253 83011.3 189227.8
3/13/2020 300016.9 29424.26 2074.103 4589.384 3298.907 83146.75 196943.6
3/14/2020 314351.1 30499.25 2157.302 4777.179 3432.202 83271.86 204813.7
3/15/2020 329017.6 31586.83 2242.139 4968.737 3568.137 83387.42 212837.9
3/16/2020 344016.4 32686.71 2328.614 5164.06 3706.712 83494.17 221016.4
3/17/2020 359347.8 33798.64 2416.727 5363.148 3847.928 83592.77 229349
3/18/2020 375011 34922.35 2506.477 5566.001 3991.784 83683.84 237835.8
3/19/2020 391006 36057.61 2597.865 5772.618 4138.281 83767.96 246476.7
3/20/2020 407332.8 37204.14 2690.891 5982.999 4287.417 83845.67 255271.9
3/21/2020 423991.5 38361.72 2785.555 6197.145 4439.194 83917.44 264221.2
3/22/2020 440982 39530.11 2881.857 6415.056 4593.612 83983.74 273324.8
3/23/2020 458304.2 40709.07 2979.796 6636.731 4750.67 84044.98 282582.5
3/24/2020 475958.3 41898.37 3079.373 6862.171 4910.368 84101.54 291994.4
3/25/2020 493944.2 43097.8 3180.588 7091.376 5072.706 84153.79 301560.4
3/26/2020 512261.9 44307.14 3283.441 7324.345 5237.685 84202.05 311280.7
3/27/2020 530911.5 45526.17 3387.931 7561.079 5405.304 84246.62 321155.1
3/28/2020 549893 46754.68 3494.06 7801.577 5575.564 84287.8 331183.8
3/29/2020 569206.5 47992.47 3601.826 8045.84 5748.463 84325.83 341366.6
3/30/2020 588851.9 49239.35 3711.23 8293.867 5924.003 84360.96 351703.6
3/31/2020 608829.2 50495.11 3822.271 8545.659 6102.184 84393.41 362194.8
04-01-2020 629138.5 51759.56 3934.951 8801.216 6283.005 84423.39 372840.1
04-02-2020 649779.7 53032.53 4049.268 9060.537 6466.466 84451.07 383639.7
04-03-2020 670752.8 54313.82 4165.223 9323.623 6652.567 84476.64 394593.4
04-04-2020 692057.9 55603.25 4282.816 9590.473 6841.309 84500.27 405701.3
04-05-2020 713694.9 56900.66 4402.046 9861.088 7032.691 84522.08 416963.4
04-06-2020 735663.9 58205.86 4522.915 10135.47 7226.714 84542.24 428379.7
04-07-2020 757964.7 59518.7 4645.421 10413.61 7423.377 84560.85 439950.2
04-08-2020 780597.4 60839 4769.565 10695.52 7622.68 84578.05 451674.8
04-09-2020 803562 62166.62 4895.347 10981.19 7824.624 84593.93 463553.7
04-10-2020 826858.6 63501.38 5022.767 11270.63 8029.207 84608.6 475586.7
04-11-2020 850487 64843.14 5151.824 11563.83 8236.432 84622.15 487773.9
04-12-2020 874447.4 66191.74 5282.519 11860.8 8446.296 84634.67 500115.3
4/13/2020 898739.7 67547.04 5414.852 12161.53 8658.801 84646.23 512610.9
4/14/2020 923363.8 68908.9 5548.823 12466.03 8873.946 84656.91 525260.6
4/15/2020 948319.9 70277.17 5684.431 12774.29 9091.732 84666.78 538064.6
4/16/2020 973607.9 71651.72 5821.678 13086.32 9312.158 84675.89 551022.7
4/17/2020 999227.8 73032.4 5960.562 13402.11 9535.224 84684.3 564135
4/18/2020 1025180 74419.1 6101.084 13721.66 9760.931 84692.08 577401.5
4/19/2020 1051463 75811.68 6243.244 14044.98 9989.278 84699.26 590822.2
4/20/2020 1078079 77210.01 6387.041 14372.06 10220.26 84705.89 604397
4/21/2020 1105027 78613.97 6532.476 14702.91 10453.89 84712.02 618126.1
4/22/2020 1132306 80023.43 6679.549 15037.52 10690.16 84717.68 632009.3
4/23/2020 1159917 81438.29 6828.26 15375.9 10929.07 84722.9 646046.7
4/24/2020 1187861 82858.42 6978.609 15718.04 11170.62 84727.73 660238.3
4/25/2020 1216136 84283.71 7130.595 16063.95 11414.81 84732.19 674584.1
4/26/2020 1244743 85714.06 7284.22 16413.62 11661.64 84736.31 689084.1
4/27/2020 1273682 87149.34 7439.482 16767.06 11911.11 84740.12 703738.2
4/28/2020 1302953 88589.46 7596.382 17124.26 12163.22 84743.63 718546.6
4/29/2020 1332556 90034.31 7754.919 17485.22 12417.97 84746.88 733509.1
4/30/2020 1362491 91483.78 7915.095 17849.95 12675.36 84749.88 748625.8
05-01-2020 1392758 92937.79 8076.908 18218.45 12935.39 84752.65 763896.7
05-02-2020 1423356 94396.23 8240.359 18590.7 13198.06 84755.2 779321.7
05-03-2020 1454287 95859.01 8405.448 18966.73 13463.37 84757.57 794901
05-04-2020 1485549 97326.03 8572.174 19346.52 13731.32 84759.75 810634.4
05-05-2020 1517143 98797.21 8740.539 19730.07 14001.91 84761.77 826522
05-06-2020 1549070 100272.4 8910.541 20117.39 14275.15 84763.63 842563.9
05-07-2020 1581328 101751.7 9082.181 20508.47 14551.02 84765.35 858759.8
05-08-2020 1613918 103234.8 9255.459 20903.31 14829.53 84766.94 875110
05-09-2020 1646840 104721.7 9430.374 21301.92 15110.69 84768.41 891614.4
05-10-2020 1680094 106212.3 9606.927 21704.3 15394.48 84769.76 908272.9
05-11-2020 1713680 107706.6 9785.119 22110.44 15680.92 84771.01 925085.6
05-12-2020 1747597 109204.4 9964.947 22520.34 15969.99 84772.17 942052.6
5/13/2020 1781847 110705.8 10146.41 22934.01 16261.71 84773.24 959173.6
5/14/2020 1816429 112210.5 10329.52 23351.45 16556.06 84774.23 976448.9
5/15/2020 1851342 113718.6 10514.26 23772.65 16853.06 84775.14 993878.4
5/16/2020 1886587 115230 10700.64 24197.61 17152.69 84775.98 1011462
5/17/2020 1922165 116744.5 10888.66 24626.34 17454.97 84776.76 1029200
5/18/2020 1958074 118262.2 11078.31 25058.83 17759.89 84777.48 1047092
5/19/2020 1994315 119783 11269.61 25495.08 18067.44 84778.14 1065138
5/20/2020 2030888 121306.7 11462.54 25935.11 18377.64 84778.75 1083338
5/21/2020 2067793 122833.4 11657.11 26378.89 18690.48 84779.32 1101693
5/22/2020 2105030 124363 11853.32 26826.44 19005.96 84779.84 1120202
5/23/2020 2142599 125895.3 12051.16 27277.76 19324.07 84780.32 1138865
5/24/2020 2180499 127430.4 12250.64 27732.84 19644.83 84780.77 1157682
5/25/2020 2218732 128968.2 12451.76 28191.68 19968.23 84781.18 1176653
5/26/2020 2257296 130508.7 12654.52 28654.29 20294.27 84781.56 1195779
5/27/2020 2296193 132051.7 12858.92 29120.66 20622.95 84781.91 1215058
5/28/2020 2335421 133597.2 13064.95 29590.8 20954.27 84782.24 1234492
5/29/2020 2374981 135145.2 13272.62 30064.7 21288.23 84782.54 1254080
5/30/2020 2414874 136695.6 13481.93 30542.37 21624.83 84782.82 1273822
5/31/2020 2455098 138248.4 13692.88 31023.8 21964.07 84783.07 1293719
06-01-2020 2495654 139803.4 13905.46 31509 22305.96 84783.31 1313769
06-02-2020 2536542 141360.7 14119.68 31997.96 22650.48 84783.53 1333974
06-03-2020 2577761 142920.3 14335.54 32490.69 22997.64 84783.73 1354333
06-04-2020 2619313 144482 14553.04 32987.18 23347.44 84783.92 1374846
06-05-2020 2661197 146045.8 14772.18 33487.43 23699.89 84784.09 1395514
06-06-2020 2703412 147611.7 14992.95 33991.45 24054.97 84784.25 1416335
06-07-2020 2745960 149179.6 15215.36 34499.23 24412.69 84784.39 1437311
06-08-2020 2788839 150749.5 15439.41 35010.78 24773.06 84784.53 1458441
06-09-2020 2832050 152321.4 15665.1 35526.09 25136.06 84784.65 1479725
06-10-2020 2875594 153895.1 15892.43 36045.17 25501.7 84784.77 1501163
06-11-2020 2919469 155470.7 16121.39 36568.01 25869.99 84784.88 1522755
06-12-2020 2963676 157048.1 16351.99 37094.62 26240.91 84784.98 1544502
6/13/2020 3008215 158627.3 16584.23 37624.99 26614.48 84785.07 1566403
6/14/2020 3053086 160208.2 16818.1 38159.13 26990.69 84785.15 1588458
6/15/2020 3098288 161790.9 17053.62 38697.03 27369.53 84785.23 1610667
6/16/2020 3143823 163375.2 17290.77 39238.69 27751.02 84785.3 1633030
6/17/2020 3189690 164961.1 17529.56 39784.12 28135.15 84785.37 1655548
6/18/2020 3235888 166548.6 17769.98 40333.32 28521.91 84785.43 1678220
6/19/2020 3282418 168137.7 18012.05 40886.28 28911.32 84785.48 1701046
6/20/2020 3329281 169728.4 18255.75 41443 29303.37 84785.54 1724026
6/21/2020 3376475 171320.5 18501.09 42003.49 29698.06 84785.59 1747160
6/22/2020 3424001 172914.1 18748.07 42567.74 30095.39 84785.63 1770448
6/23/2020 3471859 174509.1 18996.69 43135.76 30495.35 84785.67 1793891
6/24/2020 3520049 176105.5 19246.94 43707.54 30897.96 84785.71 1817488
6/25/2020 3568571 177703.3 19498.83 44283.09 31303.21 84785.74 1841239
6/26/2020 3617425 179302.4 19752.36 44862.4 31711.1 84785.78 1865144
6/27/2020 3666611 180902.8 20007.53 45445.47 32121.63 84785.81 1889203
6/28/2020 3716128 182504.5 20264.34 46032.31 32534.8 84785.83 1913417
6/29/2020 3765978 184107.5 20522.78 46622.92 32950.62 84785.86 1937785
6/30/2020 3816159 185711.7 20782.86 47217.29 33369.07 84785.88 1962307
07-01-2020 3866673 187317.1 21044.58 47815.42 33790.16 84785.91 1986983
07-02-2020 3917518 188923.7 21307.93 48417.32 34213.89 84785.93 2011813
07-03-2020 3968695 190531.5 21572.93 49022.98 34640.26 84785.94 2036797
07-04-2020 4020204 192140.3 21839.56 49632.41 35069.28 84785.96 2061936
07-05-2020 4072045 193750.3 22107.83 50245.6 35500.93 84785.98 2087229
07-06-2020 4124218 195361.3 22377.74 50862.56 35935.22 84785.99 2112676
07-07-2020 4176723 196973.4 22649.28 51483.28 36372.16 84786.01 2138277
07-08-2020 4229560 198586.6 22922.46 52107.77 36811.73 84786.02 2164033
07-09-2020 4282728 200200.7 23197.29 52736.02 37253.94 84786.03 2189942
07-10-2020 4336229 201815.8 23473.74 53368.03 37698.8 84786.04 2216006
07-11-2020 4390061 203432 23751.84 54003.81 38146.29 84786.05 2242224
07-12-2020 4444226 205049 24031.57 54643.35 38596.43 84786.06 2268596
7/13/2020 4498722 206667 24312.95 55286.66 39049.2 84786.07 2295122
7/14/2020 4553550 208285.9 24595.96 55933.74 39504.62 84786.08 2321803
7/15/2020 4608710 209905.6 24880.6 56584.58 39962.68 84786.08 2348638
7/16/2020 4664202 211526.3 25166.89 57239.18 40423.37 84786.09 2375626
7/17/2020 4720026 213147.8 25454.81 57897.55 40886.71 84786.1 2402769
7/18/2020 4776182 214770.1 25744.37 58559.68 41352.69 84786.1 2430067
7/19/2020 4832670 216393.2 26035.57 59225.57 41821.31 84786.11 2457518
7/20/2020 4889490 218017.2 26328.41 59895.23 42292.56 84786.11 2485124
7/21/2020 4946641 219641.9 26622.88 60568.66 42766.46 84786.12 2512884
7/22/2020 5004125 221267.3 26918.99 61245.85 43243 84786.12 2540798
7/23/2020 5061940 222893.5 27216.74 61926.8 43722.18 84786.12 2568866
7/24/2020 5120088 224520.5 27516.13 62611.52 44204 84786.13 2597088
7/25/2020 5178567 226148.2 27817.16 63300.01 44688.46 84786.13 2625465
7/26/2020 5237378 227776.5 28119.82 63992.26 45175.56 84786.13 2653995
7/27/2020 5296521 229405.6 28424.12 64688.27 45665.3 84786.14 2682680
7/28/2020 5355996 231035.3 28730.06 65388.05 46157.68 84786.14 2711519
7/29/2020 5415803 232665.6 29037.64 66091.59 46652.7 84786.14 2740513
7/30/2020 5475942 234296.6 29346.85 66798.9 47150.36 84786.14 2769660
7/31/2020 5536413 235928.3 29657.7 67509.97 47650.67 84786.15 2798962
08-01-2020 5597215 237560.5 29970.19 68224.8 48153.61 84786.15 2828417
08-02-2020 5658350 239193.4 30284.32 68943.4 48659.19 84786.15 2858027
08-03-2020 5719816 240826.8 30600.09 69665.77 49167.41 84786.15 2887792
08-04-2020 5781615 242460.8 30917.49 70391.9 49678.28 84786.15 2917710
08-05-2020 5843745 244095.4 31236.53 71121.79 50191.78 84786.15 2947783
08-06-2020 5906207 245730.5 31557.21 71855.45 50707.92 84786.16 2978009
08-07-2020 5969001 247366.2 31879.53 72592.88 51226.71 84786.16 3008390
08-08-2020 6032127 249002.4 32203.48 73334.06 51748.13 84786.16 3038925
08-09-2020 6095585 250639.1 32529.08 74079.02 52272.2 84786.16 3069615
08-10-2020 6159375 252276.3 32856.31 74827.73 52798.9 84786.16 3100458
08-11-2020 6223497 253914 33185.17 75580.22 53328.25 84786.16 3131456
08-12-2020 6287951 255552.1 33515.68 76336.46 53860.23 84786.16 3162608
8/13/2020 6352736 257190.8 33847.82 77096.47 54394.86 84786.16 3193914
8/14/2020 6417854 258829.9 34181.6 77860.25 54932.13 84786.16 3225374
8/15/2020 6483303 260469.5 34517.02 78627.79 55472.03 84786.16 3256988
8/16/2020 6549085 262109.5 34854.08 79399.09 56014.58 84786.16 3288757
8/17/2020 6615198 263749.9 35192.77 80174.16 56559.77 84786.16 3320679
8/18/2020 6681643 265390.8 35533.11 80953 57107.6 84786.16 3352756
8/19/2020 6748420 267032.1 35875.08 81735.6 57658.07 84786.16 3384988
8/20/2020 6815529 268673.8 36218.68 82521.96 58211.17 84786.17 3417373
8/21/2020 6882970 270315.9 36563.93 83312.09 58766.92 84786.17 3449912
8/22/2020 6950743 271958.3 36910.81 84105.98 59325.31 84786.17 3482606
8/23/2020 7018848 273601.2 37259.34 84903.64 59886.34 84786.17 3515454
8/24/2020 7087284 275244.4 37609.5 85705.06 60450.01 84786.17 3548456
8/25/2020 7156053 276888 37961.29 86510.24 61016.32 84786.17 3581612
8/26/2020 7225153 278532 38314.73 87319.19 61585.27 84786.17 3614923
8/27/2020 7294586 280176.3 38669.8 88131.91 62156.86 84786.17 3648387
8/28/2020 7364350 281820.9 39026.51 88948.39 62731.09 84786.17 3682006
8/29/2020 7434446 283465.9 39384.86 89768.63 63307.97 84786.17 3715779
8/30/2020 7504874 285111.2 39744.84 90592.64 63887.48 84786.17 3749706
8/31/2020 7575634 286756.8 40106.47 91420.42 64469.63 84786.17 3783787
09-01-2020 7646726 288402.7 40469.73 92251.95 65054.42 84786.17 3818023
09-02-2020 7718150 290048.9 40834.63 93087.26 65641.86 84786.17 3852413
09-03-2020 7789906 291695.5 41201.17 93926.32 66231.93 84786.17 3886957
09-04-2020 7861993 293342.3 41569.34 94769.16 66824.64 84786.17 3921655
09-05-2020 7934413 294989.4 41939.15 95615.75 67420 84786.17 3956507
09-06-2020 8007165 296636.8 42310.6 96466.11 68017.99 84786.17 3991513
09-07-2020 8080248 298284.5 42683.69 97320.24 68618.63 84786.17 4026674
09-08-2020 8153663 299932.4 43058.42 98178.13 69221.9 84786.17 4061989
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09-10-2020 8301490 303229.1 43812.78 99905.2 70436.37 84786.17 4133081
09-11-2020 8375901 304877.8 44192.42 100774.4 71047.57 84786.17 4168858