Table 3.
Country | Average Forecast Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) | Average Actual Values (Jan 21 to Jul 11) | SD of Forecast Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) | SD of Actual Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) | t of mean diff (Forecast-Actual) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States | 1.047 | 11.17993185 | 0.099185526 | 25.13991667 | -5.301330843 |
United Kingdom | 0.66 | 8.681737714 | 0.073769216 | 17.83869576 | -5.914500178 |
Italy | 1.006 | 11.83256182 | 0.091527666 | 61.26289483 | -2.324420755 |
Spain | 1.011 | 11.2502479 | 0.092408959 | 43.68115673 | -3.083147251 |
France | 1.008 | 8.725214814 | 0.091838458 | 19.6109477 | -5.175731897 |
China | 0 | 3.933097137 | 4.70E-06 | 12.11761724 | -4.26914095 |
India | 1.005 | 10.52936256 | 0.091320714 | 32.02762148 | -3.911374117 |
Note: Bold marks indicate significant results at 5% level.
Source: Authors’ calculations