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. 2020 Aug 24;140:110248. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110248

Table 3.

Results of mean difference tests for growth values.

Country Average Forecast Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) Average Actual Values (Jan 21 to Jul 11) SD of Forecast Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) SD of Actual Values (Jul 12 to Sept 11) t of mean diff (Forecast-Actual)
United States 1.047 11.17993185 0.099185526 25.13991667 -5.301330843
United Kingdom 0.66 8.681737714 0.073769216 17.83869576 -5.914500178
Italy 1.006 11.83256182 0.091527666 61.26289483 -2.324420755
Spain 1.011 11.2502479 0.092408959 43.68115673 -3.083147251
France 1.008 8.725214814 0.091838458 19.6109477 -5.175731897
China 0 3.933097137 4.70E-06 12.11761724 -4.26914095
India 1.005 10.52936256 0.091320714 32.02762148 -3.911374117

Note: Bold marks indicate significant results at 5% level.

Source: Authors’ calculations