Supplementary Fig. 2.

Distributions of cumulative cases at time of first diagnosis by testing strategy for the secondary scenarios (varying importation rate, R0, test sensitivity, and latency). The left vertical axis represents each 1 of the 7 testing strategies. The horizontal axis (truncated) indicates the cumulative number of cases at first diagnosis for all simulations [boxplots of the distribution (0.1, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, and 0.9 percentiles) and mean]. The right vertical axis shows the average number of tests conducted to diagnose the first case. Each color displays a sensitivity analysis varying one parameter value from the primary scenario.