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. 2020 Aug 24;21(11):1574–1576.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.08.022

Table 1.

Delay to First Diagnosis, Number of Cumulative Cases at First Diagnosis, and Number of Tests Conducted to Diagnose a First Case, by Testing Strategy, in the Context of a Simulation of a SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak in a LTCF

Testing Strategy Delay to First Diagnosis, Mean d (Median, IQR) Cumulative Cases at First Diagnosis, Mean (Median, IQR) Number of Tests Conducted, Mean
1. Test 100% every 14 d 7.9 (7.0, 8.0) 13.3 (5.0, 9.0) 218
2. Test 50% every 7 d 6.6 (6.0, 6.0) 7.3 (4.0, 5.0) 192
3. Test 100% every 7 d 4.0 (3.5, 4.0) 3.8 (2.0, 3.0) 278
4. Test 50% twice a wk 3.5 (3.0, 4.0) 3.2 (2.0, 3.0) 260
5. Test 20% on weekdays 3.3 (3.0, 4.0) 2.8 (2.0, 3.0) 251
6. Test 14% daily 3.3 (3.0, 4.0) 2.7 (2.0, 2.0) 252
7. Test 100% twice a wk 1.7 (1.0, 1.0) 1.8 (1.0, 1.0) 372

All individuals are susceptible at baseline, 1 infectious case is imported randomly in the first 2 weeks of simulation, and the model tracks individual disease status daily until a first case is diagnosed. Results for 1000 iterations.