Table 1.
Testing Strategy∗ | Delay to First Diagnosis, Mean d (Median, IQR) | Cumulative Cases at First Diagnosis, Mean (Median, IQR) | Number of Tests Conducted, Mean |
---|---|---|---|
1. Test 100% every 14 d | 7.9 (7.0, 8.0) | 13.3 (5.0, 9.0) | 218 |
2. Test 50% every 7 d | 6.6 (6.0, 6.0) | 7.3 (4.0, 5.0) | 192 |
3. Test 100% every 7 d | 4.0 (3.5, 4.0) | 3.8 (2.0, 3.0) | 278 |
4. Test 50% twice a wk | 3.5 (3.0, 4.0) | 3.2 (2.0, 3.0) | 260 |
5. Test 20% on weekdays | 3.3 (3.0, 4.0) | 2.8 (2.0, 3.0) | 251 |
6. Test 14% daily | 3.3 (3.0, 4.0) | 2.7 (2.0, 2.0) | 252 |
7. Test 100% twice a wk | 1.7 (1.0, 1.0) | 1.8 (1.0, 1.0) | 372 |
All individuals are susceptible at baseline, 1 infectious case is imported randomly in the first 2 weeks of simulation, and the model tracks individual disease status daily until a first case is diagnosed. Results for 1000 iterations.