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. 2020 Apr 23;64(9):1435–1449. doi: 10.1007/s00484-020-01921-0

Table 3.

Cumulative RR and 95% CI over 28 days of cold days (DP and MP) and cold events (cold days in sequence)

Cardiovascular mortality
Skåne Stockholm Jämtland Västerbotten
Cold days DP 1.06 (1.01–1.11) 1.02 (0.98–1.06) 1.07 (0.96–1.20) 0.93 (0.82–1.05)
MP 1.15 (1.02–1.31) 1.05 (0.95–1.15) 1.19 (0.90–1.56) 0.83 (0.61–1.12)
Cold events (cold DIS) 1 1.04 (1.01–1.08) 1.00 (0.96–1.04) 0.98 (0.85–1.13) 0.94 (0.84–1.05)
2 1.08 (1.02–1.14) 1.01 (0.94–1.08) 0.98 (0.77–1.24) 0.89 (0.73–1.09)
3 1.11 (1.03–1.19) 1.01 (0.92–1.11) 0.98 (0.73–1.33) 0.87 (0.67–1.13)
4 1.13 (1.04–1.23) 1.02 (0.92–1.14) 1.00 (0.71–1.39) 0.86 (0.64–1.16)
5 1.14 (1.04–1.25) 1.03 (0.92–1.16) 1.02 (0.72–1.44) 0.86 (0.63–1.18)
6 1.15 (1.05–1.26) 1.05 (0.93–1.18) 1.04 (0.74–1.47) 0.87 (0.63–1.21)
7 1.15 (1.04–1.26) 1.06 (0.94–1.20) 1.08 (0.77–1.50) 0.90 (0.65–1.24)
8 1.14 (1.04–1.25) 1.08 (0.96–1.22) 1.11 (0.80–1.54) 0.93 (0.68–1.28)
9 1.13 (1.03–1.24) 1.10 (0.98–1.23) 1.15 (0.82–1.61) 0.98 (0.72–1.33)
10 1.12 (1.01–1.23) 1.12 (0.99–1.25) 1.18 (0.82–1.71) 1.03 (0.75–1.41)
Respiratory mortality
Skåne Stockholm Jämtland Västerbotten
Cold days DP 1.03 (0.91–1.16) 0.94 (0.86–1.03) 0.84 (0.66–1.05) 1.01 (0.76–1.35)
MP 1.07 (0.79–1.45) 0.86 (0.68–1.08) 0.64 (0.36–1.13) 1.03 (0.50–2.11)
Cold events (cold DIS) 1 1.00 (0.87–1.16) 0.98 (0.89–1.07) 1.04 (0.77–1.40) 1.11 (0.86–1.45)
2 1.02 (0.80–1.30) 0.97 (0.82–1.14) 1.04 (0.63–1.73) 1.20 (0.76–1.90)
3 1.03 (0.76–1.42) 0.96 (0.77–1.19) 1.01 (0.53–1.91) 1.26 (0.70–2.28)
4 1.06 (0.74–1.51) 0.96 (0.75–1.24) 0.95 (0.47–1.92) 1.28 (0.65–2.53)
5 1.08 (0.74–1.58) 0.97 (0.74–1.27) 0.87 (0.42–1.80) 1.27 (0.62–2.63)
6 1.11 (0.76–1.64) 0.98 (0.74–1.30) 0.79 (0.38–1.61) 1.24 (0.59–2.58)
7 1.15 (0.78–1.68) 1.00 (0.75–1.32) 0.70 (0.35–1.40) 1.18 (0.57–2.44)
8 1.18 (0.81–1.71) 1.02 (0.77–1.35) 0.61 (0.30–1.22) 1.11 (0.54–2.26)
9 1.21 (0.83–1.76) 1.04 (0.79–1.37) 0.53 (0.26–1.10) 1.02 (0.50–2.08)
10 1.23 (0.84–1.82) 1.06 (0.81–1.40) 0.46 (0.21–1.02) 0.93 (0.45–1.94)

DP, dry polar; MP, moist polar; DIS, days in sequence