Table 7.
Estimated number of infection cases and percentage of cases underreported considering differing estimations in fatality rate.
| Cities (predicted number of deaths) |
Official counta | Fatality rate | ||||||
|
|
UFPelb [26] |
Imperial College [7] | China (1.38%) [27] | Brazil (6.6%) | United States (6%) | Global (6.5%) | ||
| Belém (n=1433) |
7675 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
225,404 | 159,222 | 103,841 | 21,712 | 23,883 | 22,046 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
2837 | 1975 | 1253 | 183 | 211 | 187 |
| Fortaleza (n=2029) |
1864 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
232,233 | 184,455 | 147,029 | 30,742 | 33,817 | 31,215 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
1146 | 889 | 689 | 65 | 81 | 67 |
| Manaus (n=2936) |
12,317 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
272,845 | 367,000 | 212,754 | 44,484 | 48,933 | 45,170 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
2115 | 2880 | 1627 | 261 | 297 | 267 |
| Recife (n=1486) |
11,584 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
52,663 | 135,091 | 107,681 | 22,515 | 24,767 | 22,861 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
355 | 1066 | 830 | 94 | 114 | 97 |
| Rio de Janeiro (n=3763) |
18,743 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
147,816 | 470,375 | 272,681 | 57,015 | 62,717 | 57,892 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
689 | 2410 | 1355 | 204 | 235 | 209 |
| São Paulo (n=5003) |
41,451 |
|||||||
|
|
Infections, n |
|
379,813 | 714,714 | 362,536 | 75,803 | 83,383 | 76,969 |
|
|
Underreported (%) |
|
816 | 1624 | 775 | 83 | 101 | 86 |
aAs of May 21, 2020.
bUFPel: Federal University of Pelotas.