Table 4.

OLS estimates for Germany 28 days after the start of the county-specific epidemic with fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants as outcome variable

	Estimate	Standard error
Intercept	−1.1628	0.6661
Intermediate timing	0.3348	0.1403
Late timing	0.5729	0.2663
Share of population aged 65+	−6.4132	2.8281
Population: 0–105,878	0.4388	0.2112
Population: 105,879–158,080	0.2848	0.135
Population: 158,081–251,534	0.0665	0.0985
Population density: 0–117.3	0.0801	0.1425
Population density: 117.3–206.7	0.1201	0.1454
Population density: 206.7–779.7	0.0613	0.1347
Income per capita: 0–27,934	−0.1437	0.1561
Income per capita: 27,935–33,109	−0.1721	0.1439
Income per capita: 33,110–40,506	0.0568	0.1749
Share of confirmed infections aged 80+ prior to lockdown	4.4466	2.1463
80+ mortality rate (per 1000 inhabitants), 2017	0.2066	0.091
Share of respiratory disease-related deaths, 2016	0.9538	3.7197
Hospital beds per 1000 inhabitants	−0.0329	0.0184
Initial growth trend for confirmed cases in log points: 0–0.14	−0.1188	0.1852
Initial growth trend for confirmed cases in log points: 0.14–0.21	−0.089	0.1407
Initial growth trend for confirmed cases in log points: 0.21–0.28	−0.0369	0.136
Confirmed infections per 10,000 inhabitants on epidemic day 4	0.2556	0.0805
Recommendation against events with > 1000 visitors	0.1594	0.0985
Ban of events with > 1000 visitors	0.7132	0.141
Curfew	0.2403	0.1111