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. 2019 Oct 1;34(5):971–994. doi: 10.1007/s10877-019-00392-y

Table 4.

PRx and L-PRx variant ARIMA structure—10 patient examples

ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 1
(0,1,0) 5524.965 − 2760.48 16688.09 − 8342.05 5746.22 − 2871.11 − 2530.24 1267.119 − 6994.37 3499.183 − 10933 5468.507 − 15165.5 7584.757
(0,1,1) 5434.31 − 2714.16 16678.45 − 8336.22 5525.212 − 2759.61 − 3108.66 1557.329 − 7689.33 3847.665 − 11833.5 5919.771 − 16563.8 8284.881
(0,1,2) 5299.259 − 2645.63 16149.73 − 8070.86 5525.939 − 2758.97 − 3173.48 1590.741 − 7783.55 3895.777 − 11962.1 5985.051 − 16712 8359.986
(0,1,3) 4782.03 − 2386.02 15575.44 − 7782.72 5506.07 − 2748.03 − 3172.65 1591.326 − 7793.8 3901.899 − 11972.5 5991.266 − 16721.2 8365.606
(0,1,4) 4509.974 − 2248.99 15322.46 − 7655.23 5455.864 − 2721.93 − 3171.02 1591.51 − 7792.13 3902.067 − 11978.2 5995.106 − 16728.9 8370.466
(1,1,0) 5458.762 − 2726.38 16682.36 − 8338.18 5530.84 − 2762.42 − 3171.83 1588.915 − 7793.72 3899.86 − 11983.6 5994.786 − 16719.5 8362.73
(1,1,1) 5412.346 − 2702.17 15505.94 − 7748.97 5526.46 − 2759.23 − 3170.07 1589.034 − 7795.59 3901.797 − 11984 5995.98 − 16732.9 8370.434
(1,1,2) 4446.258 − 2218.13 15365.91 − 7677.96 5524.692 − 2757.35 − 3172.47 1591.235 − 7794.2 3902.1 − 11982.7 5996.336 − 16734 8372.015
(1,1,3) 4404.948 − 2196.47 15341.47 − 7664.74 4940.662 − 2464.33 − 3170.41 1591.204 − 7792.27 3902.133 − 11984.1 5998.063 − 16741.1 8376.529
(1,1,4) 4406.867 − 2196.43 15320.6 − 7653.3 4930.666 − 2458.33 − 3169.21 1591.607 − 7790.29 3902.146 − 11983.2 5998.622 − 16740.3 8377.161
(2,1,0) 5277.498 − 2634.75 16504.75 − 8248.38 5521.916 − 2756.96 − 3170.11 1589.057 − 7795.79 3901.897 − 11983.9 5995.934 − 16731.4 8369.698
(2,1,1) 4416.414 − 2203.21 15348.21 − 7669.11 4936.18 − 2463.09 − 3169.26 1589.63 − 7794.01 3902.006 − 11981.7 5995.858 − 16731.5 8370.753
(2,1,2) 4417.803 − 2202.9 15347.77 − 7667.88 4918.63 − 2453.32 − 3362 1686.998 − 7792.04 3902.022 − 11980 5995.99 − 16737.8 8374.887
(2,1,3) 4406.922 − 2196.46 15340.33 − 7663.17 4919.785 − 2452.89 − 3169.07 1591.536 − 7790.38 3902.192 − 11982.6 5998.311 − 16739.8 8376.907
(2,1,4) 4408.369 − 2196.18 15319.73 − 7651.86 4921.824 − 2452.91 − 3450.66 1733.33 − 7788.45 3902.226 − 11980.7 5998.36 − 16737.7 8376.847
(3,1,0) 5051.032 − 2520.52 16246.9 − 8118.45 5491.029 − 2740.51 − 3173.54 1591.77 − 7794.15 3902.073 − 11982.2 5996.077 − 16734.8 8372.421
(3,1,1) 4417.471 − 2202.74 15346.22 − 7667.11 4921.187 − 2454.59 − 3449.76 1730.879 − 7792.04 3902.018 − 11979.9 5995.942 − 16740.5 8376.234
(3,1,2) 4419.209 − 2202.6 15350.56 − 7668.28 4933.748 − 2459.87 − 3449.51 1731.753 − 7790.09 3902.043 − 11980.5 5997.238 − 16740.5 8377.269
(3,1,3) 4392.493 − 2188.25 15311.66 − 7647.83 4922.618 − 2453.31 − 3447.19 1731.596 − 7788.39 3902.193 − 11980.9 5998.458 − 16738.6 8377.314
(3,1,4) 4394.471 − 2188.24 15311.25 − 7646.63 4923.049 − 2452.52 − 3448.14 1733.071 − 7786.46 3902.229 − 11978.9 5998.461 − 16736.2 8377.114
(4,1,0) 4947.891 − 2467.95 15982.24 − 7985.12 5461.405 − 2724.7 − 3172.89 1592.443 − 7792.46 3902.23 − 11985.4 5998.691 − 16742.1 8377.07
(4,1,1) 4393.498 − 2189.75 15337.36 − 7661.68 4920.661 − 2453.33 − 3170.52 1592.258 − 7790.48 3902.239 − 11983.8 5998.877 − 16741 8377.475
(4,1,2) 4389.736 − 2186.87 15348.62 − 7666.31 4925.048 − 2454.52 − 3445.79 1730.894 − 7788.47 3902.234 − 11981.5 5998.73 − 16738.8 8377.382
(4,1,3) 4385.492 − 2183.75 15332.41 − 7657.2 4922.839 − 2452.42 − 3445.85 1731.924 − 7964.59 3991.297 − 11981.8 5999.899 − 16737 8377.481
(4,1,4) 4396.491 − 2188.25 15304.73 − 7642.37 4924.171 − 2452.09 − 3444.4 1732.202 − 7960.28 3990.141 − 11979.9 5999.948 − 16734.6 8377.324
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 2
(0,1,0) − 749.589 376.7946 24375.14 − 12185.6 3915.933 − 1955.97 − 11869.3 5936.635 − 21450.3 10727.15 − 27503.1 13753.53 − 35386.8 17695.4
(0,1,1) − 831.138 418.5691 24290.63 − 12142.3 3678.954 − 1836.48 − 12838.6 6422.306 − 22982.9 11494.45 − 29404.7 14705.37 − 37664.3 18835.16
(0,1,2) − 964.295 486.1474 23687.43 − 11839.7 3679.087 − 1835.54 − 13003.6 6505.793 − 23351 11679.49 − 29823.8 14915.89 − 38284.7 19146.33
(0,1,3) − 1782.83 896.4129 22662.9 − 11326.5 3654.294 − 1822.15 − 13036.5 6523.247 − 23425 11717.49 − 29958.6 14984.28 − 38430 19220
(0,1,4) − 2361.56 1186.779 22173 − 11080.5 3565.045 − 1776.52 − 13035 6523.483 − 23452.2 11732.1 − 29995.2 15003.61 − 38473.6 19242.81
(1,1,0) − 815.216 410.6082 24312.64 − 12153.3 3680.952 − 1837.48 − 13004.9 6505.451 − 23394.3 11700.13 − 29949.6 14977.8 − 38446.5 19226.23
(1,1,1) − 851.016 429.508 22358.55 − 11175.3 3679.887 − 1835.94 − 13027.6 6517.822 − 23461.5 11734.76 − 30024.9 15016.47 − 38536.3 19272.13
(1,1,2) − 2463.6 1236.799 22241.61 − 11115.8 3677.744 − 1833.87 − 13030.8 6520.413 − 23460.5 11735.27 − 30023.7 15016.87 − 38534.7 19272.36
(1,1,3) − 2565.27 1288.636 22185.86 − 11086.9 2779.692 − 1383.85 − 13034.8 6523.411 − 23458.6 11735.3 − 30021.9 15016.94 − 38540.9 19276.46
(1,1,4) − 2595.42 1304.71 22126.47 − 11056.2 2753.391 − 1369.7 − 13032.7 6523.357 − 23457.9 11735.94 − 30020 15016.98 − 38538.9 19276.47
(2,1,0) − 969.362 488.681 24150.18 − 12071.1 3677.484 − 1834.74 − 13030.4 6519.217 − 23462.3 11735.16 − 30019.3 15013.63 − 38533 19270.52
(2,1,1) − 2557.14 1283.568 22216.56 − 11103.3 2790.627 − 1390.31 − 13028.8 6519.403 − 23460.6 11735.3 − 30023.7 15016.83 − 38535.1 19272.55
(2,1,2) − 2583.07 1297.537 22174.9 − 11081.4 2727.727 − 1357.86 − 13450.1 6731.057 − 23458.9 11735.43 − 30021.8 15016.9 − 38532.4 19272.19
(2,1,3) − 2592.15 1303.077 22154.1 − 11070 2729.366 − 1357.68 − 13448.8 6731.416 − 23456.9 11735.46 − 30019.8 15016.91 − 38538.2 19276.1
(2,1,4) − 2601.11 1308.554 22123.1 − 11053.6 2730.454 − 1357.23 − 13446.8 6731.406 − 23455.7 11735.87 − 30017.9 15016.94 − 38537.7 19276.83
(3,1,0) − 1284.57 647.286 23876.33 − 11933.2 3636.45 − 1813.23 − 13029.3 6519.649 − 23460.6 11735.29 − 30023.7 15016.84 − 38532.6 19271.3
(3,1,1) − 2589.58 1300.79 22161.75 − 11074.9 2740.434 − 1364.22 − 13026.6 6519.317 − 23458.5 11735.23 − 30021 15016.52 − 38529.6 19270.79
(3,1,2) − 2588.31 1301.153 22161.7 − 11073.8 2729.397 − 1357.7 − 13029.5 6521.746 − 23457 11735.48 − 30019.7 15016.87 − 38534.8 19274.39
(3,1,3) − 2583.51 1299.753 22129.78 − 11056.9 2731.636 − 1357.82 − 13448.4 6732.179 − 23454.7 11735.37 − 30017.8 15016.91 − 38541.4 19278.71
(3,1,4) − 2623.45 1320.724 22116.93 − 11049.5 2733.364 − 1357.68 − 13446.7 6732.337 − 23453.6 11735.82 − 30015.9 15016.93 − 38536.5 19277.23
(4,1,0) − 1584.97 798.4874 23417.45 − 11702.7 3579.155 − 1783.58 − 13040.9 6526.461 − 23458.9 11735.44 − 30021.8 15016.92 − 38537.9 19274.94
(4,1,1) − 2589.17 1301.585 22158.26 − 11072.1 2731.162 − 1358.58 − 13448.1 6731.062 − 23457.1 11735.54 − 30019.8 15016.9 − 38539.2 19276.58
(4,1,2) − 2586.03 1301.016 22150.68 − 11067.3 2730.674 − 1357.34 − 13439.7 6727.874 − 23455.1 11735.57 − 30017.7 15016.83 − 38541.7 19278.87
(4,1,3) − 2584.61 1301.306 22118.66 − 11050.3 2733.389 − 1357.69 − 13446.6 6732.279 − 23453.6 11735.78 − 30015.8 15016.92 − 38535.9 19276.96
(4,1,4) − 2608.55 1314.277 22118.81 − 11049.4 2734.729 − 1357.36 − 13443 6731.509 − 23451.7 11735.83 − 30013.8 15016.92 − 38534.8 19277.42
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 3
(0,1,0) − 195.15 99.57496 1849.093 − 922.546 407.6061 − 201.803 − 696.589 350.2947 − 1315.62 659.8114 − 1706.26 855.1309 − 2329.14 1166.57
(0,1,1) − 221.271 113.6354 1845.423 − 919.712 367.3712 − 180.686 − 850.359 428.1797 − 1486.81 746.4065 − 1934.1 970.0511 − 2571.78 1288.891
(0,1,2) − 220.57 114.2852 1809.81 − 900.905 366.7284 − 179.364 − 869.928 438.9639 − 1523.79 765.8938 − 2024.04 1016.021 − 2660.84 1334.422
(0,1,3) − 275.435 142.7174 1745.305 − 867.652 368.5118 − 179.256 − 874.432 442.2158 − 1532.55 771.2747 − 2050.29 1030.147 − 2695.18 1352.592
(0,1,4) − 310.053 161.0266 1698.62 − 843.31 362.4625 − 175.231 − 872.493 442.2464 − 1534.11 773.0574 − 2052.57 1032.283 − 2706.76 1359.378
(1,1,0) − 216.809 111.4047 1846.807 − 920.403 365.648 − 179.824 − 876.655 441.3274 − 1539.41 772.7031 − 2051.35 1028.674 − 2701.98 1353.991
(1,1,1) − 219.553 113.7767 1708.012 − 850.006 367.527 − 179.764 − 874.687 441.3436 − 1540.95 774.4743 − 2060.19 1034.093 − 2713.78 1360.89
(1,1,2) − 324.502 167.2512 1702.025 − 846.013 368.6806 − 179.34 − 872.938 441.4692 − 1539.25 774.6249 − 2061.04 1035.518 − 2713.15 1361.573
(1,1,3) − 339.21 175.6049 1699.684 − 843.842 298.7192 − 143.36 − 872.471 442.2354 − 1537.52 774.7625 − 2059.42 1035.708 − 2711.32 1361.658
(1,1,4) − 337.215 175.6075 1696.6 − 841.3 294.0291 − 140.015 − 870.434 442.2169 − 1535.53 774.7658 − 2057.76 1035.878 − 2711.57 1362.785
(2,1,0) − 230.422 119.211 1838.067 − 915.033 367.452 − 179.726 − 874.69 441.3451 − 1540.68 774.3394 − 2061.91 1034.957 − 2714.97 1361.486
(2,1,1) − 335.836 172.9181 1700.49 − 845.245 295.6492 − 142.825 − 872.667 441.3337 − 1539.39 774.6962 − 2060.9 1035.451 − 2713.13 1361.563
(2,1,2) − 333.94 172.9698 1700.198 − 844.099 292.3148 − 140.157 − 910.036 461.0178 − 1537.02 774.5092 − 2059.22 1035.61 − 2711.16 1361.578
(2,1,3) − 337.214 175.6071 1700.175 − 843.087 294.2399 − 140.12 − 871.375 442.6873 − 1535.54 774.7684 − 2057.07 1035.536 − 2709.15 1361.575
(2,1,4) − 335.229 175.6147 1698.343 − 841.172 295.6453 − 139.823 − 869.91 442.9551 − 1533.55 774.7767 − 2055.85 1035.923 − 2707.65 1361.826
(3,1,0) − 266.616 138.3082 1820.191 − 905.096 364.8176 − 177.409 − 873.128 441.5641 − 1539.01 774.5042 − 2061.1 1035.55 − 2713.14 1361.57
(3,1,1) − 334.008 173.004 1699.027 − 843.514 292.4748 − 140.237 − 909.856 460.9281 − 1537.4 774.6976 − 2059.1 1035.55 − 2711.08 1361.541
(3,1,2) − 335.307 174.6534 1701.01 − 843.505 294.2614 − 140.131 − 906.32 460.1602 − 1535.51 774.7552 − 2057.75 1035.876 − 2710.21 1362.106
(3,1,3) − 335.07 175.5348 1698.294 − 841.147 294.3849 − 139.192 − 907.647 461.8233 − 1533.56 774.7808 − 2057.73 1036.867 − 2714.16 1365.079
(3,1,4) − 333.599 175.7993 1700.139 − 841.069 295.9189 − 138.959 − 905.81 461.9052 − 1531.56 774.7797 − 2055.88 1036.941 − 2705.19 1361.593
(4,1,0) − 274.565 143.2827 1783.542 − 885.771 357.2933 − 172.647 − 873.835 442.9177 − 1537.43 774.7163 − 2059.1 1035.55 − 2711.15 1361.575
(4,1,1) − 339.222 176.6108 1700.964 − 843.482 294.1451 − 140.073 − 908.491 461.2455 − 1535.33 774.6665 − 2057.18 1035.588 − 2709.17 1361.585
(4,1,2) − 337.94 176.97 1701.334 − 842.667 293.9223 − 138.961 − 906.807 461.4036 − 1533.57 774.7874 − 2057.84 1036.922 − 2717.89 1366.947
(4,1,3) − 333.32 175.6598 1698.809 − 840.405 295.9095 − 138.955 − 906.009 462.0043 − 1531.55 774.7763 − 2055.87 1036.936 − 2715.83 1366.913
(4,1,4) − 335.135 177.5676 1700.791 − 840.396 297.8667 − 138.933 − 902.85 461.4248 − 1531.84 775.9216 − 2053.77 1036.887 − 2712.21 1366.104
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L- PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L- PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 4
(0,1,0) 5493.731 − 2744.87 14996.14 − 7496.07 3739.245 − 1867.62 − 5422.34 2713.168 − 10538.2 5271.124 − 14506.2 7255.119 − 20027.2 10015.58
(0,1,1) 5273.064 − 2633.53 14998.11 − 7496.05 3287.878 − 1640.94 − 6361.54 3183.769 − 11905.4 5955.676 − 16360.6 8183.276 − 22269.8 11137.91
(0,1,2) 5184.694 − 2588.35 14654.69 − 7323.34 3279.012 − 1635.51 − 6488.11 3248.054 − 12067 6037.513 − 16640 8324.024 − 22660.9 11334.43
(0,1,3) 4682.48 − 2336.24 14029.7 − 7009.85 3270.169 − 1630.08 − 6504.17 3257.087 − 12114.7 6062.347 − 16695.7 8352.867 − 22764.8 11387.41
(0,1,4) 4274.759 − 2131.38 13726.77 − 6857.38 3200.903 − 1594.45 − 6504.53 3258.265 − 12118 6064.977 − 16713.2 8362.608 − 22795.6 11403.82
(1,1,0) 5329.461 − 2661.73 14998.12 − 7496.06 3293.819 − 1643.91 − 6509.97 3257.986 − 12125.6 6065.823 − 16725.2 8365.621 − 22824 11414.98
(1,1,1) 5252.667 − 2622.33 14975.92 − 7483.96 3282.417 − 1637.21 − 6509.11 3258.554 − 12124 6066.005 − 16729 8368.509 − 22827.3 11417.67
(1,1,2) 4308.619 − 2149.31 13822.36 − 6906.18 3278.778 − 1634.39 − 6507.26 3258.63 − 12126 6068.013 − 16733.2 8371.617 − 22839.1 11424.53
(1,1,3) 4235.198 − 2111.6 13773.48 − 6880.74 2787.171 − 1387.59 − 6505.4 3258.7 − 12124.3 6068.138 − 16732.4 8372.213 − 22841.3 11426.65
(1,1,4) 4215.811 − 2100.91 13727.8 − 6856.9 2766.9 − 1376.45 − 6503.65 3258.825 − 12122.5 6068.241 − 16731 8372.493 − 22839.9 11426.97
(2,1,0) 5110.534 − 2551.27 14854.46 − 7423.23 3275.18 − 1633.59 − 6509.14 3258.568 − 12124 6065.986 − 16728.4 8368.181 − 22826.6 11417.28
(2,1,1) 4229.131 − 2109.57 13784.48 − 6887.24 2766.557 − 1378.28 − 6507.19 3258.597 − 12125.6 6067.782 − 16729.6 8369.788 − 22830.7 11420.36
(2,1,2) 4231.111 − 2109.56 13773.13 − 6880.57 2756.909 − 1372.45 − 6505.19 3258.596 − 12124.6 6068.31 − 16731.9 8371.951 − 22841.4 11426.71
(2,1,3) 4226.22 − 2106.11 13761.2 − 6873.6 2757.024 − 1371.51 − 6503.37 3258.683 − 12122.6 6068.315 − 16730.2 8372.096 − 22839.5 11426.77
(2,1,4) 4216.028 − 2100.01 13725.9 − 6854.95 2758.625 − 1371.31 − 6501.48 3258.74 − 12121.2 6068.601 − 16728.4 8372.213 − 22839.1 11427.57
(3,1,0) 4887 − 2438.5 14603.33 − 7296.66 3238.141 − 1614.07 − 6507.25 3258.626 − 12126 6067.994 − 16733.4 8371.687 − 22837.8 11423.9
(3,1,1) 4231.107 − 2109.55 13767.88 − 6877.94 2758.079 − 1373.04 − 6505.2 3258.598 − 12124.3 6068.151 − 16732.8 8372.389 − 22841.9 11426.94
(3,1,2) 4233.045 − 2109.52 13769.09 − 6877.55 2756.771 − 1371.39 − 6503.21 3258.605 − 12123.1 6068.565 − 16732.7 8373.33 − 22839.9 11426.94
(3,1,3) 4234.906 − 2109.45 13746.25 − 6865.12 2759.46 − 1371.73 − 6501.35 3258.676 − 12121.2 6068.616 − 16730.6 8373.287 − 22837.6 11426.8
(3,1,4) 4215.044 − 2098.52 13727.25 − 6854.62 2760.782 − 1371.39 − 6735.56 3376.78 − 12119.3 6068.629 − 16727.4 8372.682 − 22837.5 11427.74
(4,1,0) 4756.607 − 2372.3 14345.71 − 7166.85 3199.712 − 1593.86 − 6505.64 3258.82 − 12124.1 6068.033 − 16733.6 8372.787 − 22839.4 11425.7
(4,1,1) 4225.01 − 2105.5 13767.01 − 6876.5 2758.179 − 1372.09 − 6503.48 3258.74 − 12122.3 6068.155 − 16731 8372.479 − 22839.9 11426.95
(4,1,2) 4235.095 − 2109.55 13757.57 − 6870.79 2760.302 − 1372.15 − 6501.42 3258.708 − 12121.3 6068.646 − 16729.3 8372.652 − 22838.5 11427.25
(4,1,3) 4219.256 − 2100.63 13738.25 − 6860.12 2759.809 − 1370.9 − 6714.39 3366.194 − 12124.2 6071.122 − 16729.4 8373.693 − 22837.7 11427.87
(4,1,4) 4217.068 − 2098.53 13726.44 − 6853.22 2764.489 − 1372.24 − 6725.16 3372.578 − 12118.7 6069.361 − 16727.5 8373.74 − 22835.4 11427.68
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 5
(0,1,0) 2033.231 − 1014.62 10215.49 − 5105.74 2980.582 − 1488.29 − 3566.58 1785.291 − 7601.98 3802.989 − 9970.42 4987.212 − 13857.6 6930.776
(0,1,1) 1905.645 − 949.822 10217.11 − 5105.56 2759.429 − 1376.71 − 4339.12 2172.558 − 8703.29 4354.646 − 11235.5 5620.762 − 15193.3 7599.664
(0,1,2) 1882.147 − 937.073 10028.89 − 5010.44 2748.376 − 1370.19 − 4482.13 2245.067 − 8956.11 4482.054 − 11509.4 5758.677 − 15515.3 7761.635
(0,1,3) 1619.001 − 804.501 9674.317 − 4832.16 2749.756 − 1369.88 − 4518.29 2264.147 − 9024.26 4517.132 − 11577 5793.487 − 15604.8 7807.384
(0,1,4) 1365.932 − 676.966 9424.486 − 4706.24 2733.425 − 1360.71 − 4517.05 2264.523 − 9045.55 4528.773 − 11600.3 5806.173 − 15642.2 7827.108
(1,1,0) 1929.741 − 961.871 10217.21 − 5105.6 2749.67 − 1371.83 − 4509.57 2257.786 − 9043.51 4524.756 − 11617.2 5811.602 − 15669.1 7837.536
(1,1,1) 1900.518 − 946.259 9551.458 − 4771.73 2751.353 − 1371.68 − 4510.11 2259.054 − 9047.5 4527.751 − 11616.7 5812.329 − 15676.8 7842.376
(1,1,2) 1307.386 − 648.693 9454.224 − 4722.11 2750.17 − 1370.08 − 4512.59 2261.295 − 9046.68 4528.341 − 11615 5812.485 − 15677.5 7843.774
(1,1,3) 1261.459 − 624.73 9438.409 − 4713.2 2404.936 − 1196.47 − 4516.86 2264.428 − 9046.19 4529.093 − 11613.2 5812.592 − 15678.3 7845.162
(1,1,4) 1250.714 − 618.357 9413.6 − 4699.8 2383.541 − 1184.77 − 4515.06 2264.528 − 9045.93 4529.967 − 11611.2 5812.614 − 15676.8 7845.403
(2,1,0) 1847.212 − 919.606 10138.17 − 5065.08 2751.205 − 1371.6 − 4510.5 2259.252 − 9047.84 4527.919 − 11616.6 5812.308 − 15676 7841.988
(2,1,1) 1255.104 − 622.552 9439.758 − 4714.88 2396.183 − 1193.09 − 4509.45 2259.724 − 9046.1 4528.048 − 11614.3 5812.134 − 15680.5 7845.259
(2,1,2) 1254.555 − 621.278 9435.056 − 4711.53 2368.281 − 1178.14 − 4700.91 2356.457 − 9044.07 4528.035 − 11612.8 5812.38 − 15673.7 7842.865
(2,1,3) 1253.29 − 619.645 9433.346 − 4709.67 2370.279 − 1178.14 − 4698.98 2356.489 − 9043.36 4528.681 − 11611.3 5812.64 − 15674.8 7844.378
(2,1,4) 1251.598 − 617.799 9411.701 − 4697.85 2369.73 − 1176.86 − 4514.46 2265.231 − 9043.78 4529.888 − 11609.3 5812.642 − 15674.6 7845.318
(3,1,0) 1723.582 − 856.791 10025.69 − 5007.85 2739.815 − 1364.91 − 4512.82 2261.41 − 9046.49 4528.246 − 11614.9 5812.463 − 15676.4 7843.196
(3,1,1) 1253.972 − 620.986 9433.338 − 4710.67 2372.312 − 1180.16 − 4700.05 2356.024 − 9044.11 4528.057 − 11612.7 5812.373 − 15678.5 7845.244
(3,1,2) 1255.229 − 620.615 9435.338 − 4710.67 2370.276 − 1178.14 − 4694.54 2354.268 − 9042.8 4528.398 − 11610.7 5812.326 − 15676.5 7845.259
(3,1,3) 1257.803 − 620.901 9436.41 − 4710.2 2371.793 − 1177.9 − 4703 2359.502 − 9163.03 4589.515 − 11609.2 5812.583 − 15674.6 7845.309
(3,1,4) 1241.864 − 611.932 9411.528 − 4696.76 2373.813 − 1177.91 − 4701.33 2359.665 − 9042.22 4530.11 − 11607.2 5812.593 − 15671.8 7844.888
(4,1,0) 1608.378 − 798.189 9841.442 − 4914.72 2712.353 − 1350.18 − 4522.16 2267.078 − 9046.35 4529.174 − 11613.2 5812.611 − 15676.9 7844.442
(4,1,1) 1252.893 − 619.447 9435.337 − 4710.67 2368.999 − 1177.5 − 4699.07 2356.533 − 9060.51 4537.254 − 11611.3 5812.628 − 15674.1 7844.033
(4,1,2) 1257.856 − 620.928 9427.368 − 4705.68 2374.878 − 1179.44 − 4703.7 2359.852 − 9162.01 4589.005 − 11609.2 5812.599 − 15674.6 7845.305
(4,1,3) 1239.891 − 610.946 9418.761 − 4700.38 2373.928 − 1177.96 − 4701.49 2359.744 − 9041.65 4529.826 − 11607.1 5812.574 − 15672.7 7845.363
(4,1,4) 1240.538 − 610.269 9412.944 − 4696.47 2376.069 − 1178.03 − 4693.2 2356.601 − 9159.17 4589.585 − 11605.2 5812.598 − 15670.8 7845.41
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L- PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L- PRx_5 ARIMA LL L- PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 6
(0,1,0) 275.9623 − 135.981 16175.94 − 8085.97 4292.697 − 2144.35 − 5085.2 2544.599 − 10447.2 5225.578 − 14184.4 7094.204 − 19680.8 9842.39
(0,1,1) 261.7137 − 127.857 16100.91 − 8047.46 4247.607 − 2120.8 − 5465.04 2735.522 − 10977.7 5491.87 − 14854.1 7430.044 − 20579.7 10292.86
(0,1,2) 146.6525 − 69.3262 15751.96 − 7871.98 4248.88 − 2120.44 − 5514 2760.999 − 11052.8 5530.408 − 14935.9 7471.927 − 20652.5 10330.23
(0,1,3) − 241.913 125.9565 15113.67 − 7551.83 4240.975 − 2115.49 − 5518.71 2764.353 − 11071 5540.492 − 14963.7 7486.86 − 20693.7 10351.87
(0,1,4) − 496.606 254.303 14804.77 − 7396.39 4192.469 − 2090.23 − 5516.73 2764.363 − 11076.7 5544.326 − 14969 7490.501 − 20705.8 10358.89
(1,1,0) 265.272 − 129.636 16122.14 − 8058.07 4247.278 − 2120.64 − 5510.62 2758.309 − 11060.1 5533.028 − 14958.3 7482.144 − 20695.8 10350.9
(1,1,1) 247.3443 − 119.672 14842.92 − 7417.46 4249.257 − 2120.63 − 5518.92 2763.459 − 11082.2 5545.082 − 14979.2 7493.607 − 20701.5 10354.75
(1,1,2) − 766.764 388.3819 14785.91 − 7387.96 4250.057 − 2120.03 − 5517.77 2763.886 − 11082 5545.989 − 14991.4 7500.715 − 20735 10372.52
(1,1,3) − 786.477 399.2385 14766.23 − 7377.11 3611.898 − 1799.95 − 5516.56 2764.279 − 11080.1 5546.057 − 14989.4 7500.718 − 20733.3 10372.67
(1,1,4) − 784.627 399.3133 14759.18 − 7372.59 3587.403 − 1786.7 − 5514.72 2764.362 − 11079 5546.504 − 14987.9 7500.927 − 20731.4 10372.68
(2,1,0) 157.3089 − 74.6544 15998.17 − 7995.08 4249.235 − 2120.62 − 5519.54 2763.768 − 11078.5 5543.26 − 14973.4 7490.698 − 20698.9 10353.43
(2,1,1) − 786.773 398.3867 14777.39 − 7383.7 4251.273 − 2120.64 − 5517.41 2763.707 − 11081.8 5545.886 − 14989.8 7499.917 − 20724.3 10367.17
(2,1,2) − 788.474 400.237 14765.66 − 7376.83 3561.925 − 1774.96 − 5515.44 2763.719 − 11079.8 5545.885 − 14989.4 7500.709 − 20733.3 10372.66
(2,1,3) − 787.911 400.9554 14764.02 − 7375.01 3563.106 − 1774.55 − 5514.68 2764.338 − 11078 5545.996 − 14987.5 7500.754 − 20731.3 10372.63
(2,1,4) − 786.261 401.1307 14757.07 − 7370.54 3563.867 − 1773.93 − 5512.72 2764.359 − 11076.5 5546.229 − 14985.8 7500.911 − 20729.3 10372.67
(3,1,0) 36.32196 − 13.161 15827.41 − 7908.71 4236.716 − 2113.36 − 5517.56 2763.78 − 11081.3 5545.641 − 14983.4 7496.701 − 20724.2 10367.12
(3,1,1) − 788.417 400.2084 14763.01 − 7375.51 3583.418 − 1785.71 − 5515.54 2763.769 − 11080 5546.008 − 14989.7 7500.857 − 20733.2 10372.59
(3,1,2) − 791.269 402.6347 14764.87 − 7375.43 3563.17 − 1774.58 − 5514.35 2764.177 − 11077.9 5545.965 − 14987.8 7500.876 − 20731.1 10372.56
(3,1,3) − 789.797 402.8983 14769.54 − 7376.77 3565.885 − 1774.94 − 5512.82 2764.412 − 11076.2 5546.08 − 14985.6 7500.787 − 20729.3 10372.67
(3,1,4) − 789.575 403.7876 14758.99 − 7370.49 3567.006 − 1774.5 − 5510.85 2764.426 − 11074.2 5546.119 − 14984.1 7501.033 − 20727.7 10372.87
(4,1,0) − 29.3672 20.68362 15627.16 − 7807.58 4204.647 − 2096.32 − 5517.27 2764.635 − 11080.5 5546.262 − 14985.8 7498.922 − 20726.4 10369.19
(4,1,1) − 786.42 400.2102 14764.64 − 7375.32 3566.972 − 1776.49 − 5515.11 2764.555 − 11078.4 5546.19 − 14988.6 7501.29 − 20731.1 10372.56
(4,1,2) − 789.363 402.6814 14759.25 − 7371.63 3564.198 − 1774.1 − 5822.26 2919.13 − 11076.3 5546.165 − 14985.8 7500.902 − 20729.4 10372.71
(4,1,3) − 793.399 405.6997 14759.83 − 7370.92 3567.077 − 1774.54 − 5849.58 2933.791 − 11074.3 5546.159 − 14982.4 7500.199 − 20727.1 10372.53
(4,1,4) − 799.889 409.9443 14759.83 − 7369.92 3567.457 − 1773.73 − 5835.5 2927.751 − 11075.8 5547.894 − 14997.5 7508.754 − 20725.8 10372.91
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 7
(0,1,0) − 1291.61 647.8046 14664.9 − 7330.45 4164.523 − 2080.26 − 3326.7 1665.348 − 7170.8 3587.401 − 10272.8 5138.415 − 14049.6 7026.782
(0,1,1) − 1386.24 696.1184 14626.99 − 7310.5 4009.605 − 2001.8 − 3892.99 1949.495 − 7950.17 3978.083 − 11302.2 5654.075 − 15236 7620.996
(0,1,2) − 1433.67 720.8334 14303.29 − 7147.65 4011.082 − 2001.54 − 3951.82 1979.908 − 8030.18 4019.089 − 11435.5 5721.757 − 15387.7 7697.828
(0,1,3) − 1671.99 840.9941 13910.42 − 6950.21 4009.858 − 1999.93 − 3978.48 1994.24 − 8063.83 4036.914 − 11489.2 5749.601 − 15438.9 7724.474
(0,1,4) − 1819.65 915.8237 13573.23 − 6780.62 3976.757 − 1982.38 − 3976.48 1994.24 − 8061.87 4036.933 − 11489 5750.488 − 15440 7725.985
(1,1,0) − 1367.95 686.9758 14638.21 − 7316.11 4011.497 − 2002.75 − 3967.93 1986.964 − 8059.37 4032.685 − 11491.1 5748.55 − 15450.3 7728.147
(1,1,1) − 1397.35 702.6759 13615.03 − 6803.51 4011.219 − 2001.61 − 3974.65 1991.325 − 8062.03 4035.013 − 11497.2 5752.593 − 15451 7729.483
(1,1,2) − 2124.46 1067.232 13556.04 − 6773.02 4012.831 − 2001.42 − 3972.96 1991.482 − 8062.53 4036.263 − 11501.5 5755.748 − 15458.6 7734.304
(1,1,3) − 2144.55 1078.275 13549.89 − 6768.95 3538.482 − 1763.24 − 3976.44 1994.22 − 8061.98 4036.989 − 11499.6 5755.776 − 15459.3 7735.642
(1,1,4) − 2144.09 1079.047 13533.73 − 6759.87 3517.015 − 1751.51 − 3974.51 1994.254 − 8060.15 4037.074 − 11500.9 5757.437 − 15460.9 7737.467
(2,1,0) − 1463.76 735.88 14518.06 − 7255.03 4010.263 − 2001.13 − 3973.87 1990.935 − 8061.48 4034.741 − 11496 5752.021 − 15450.6 7729.292
(2,1,1) − 2142.43 1076.214 13550.96 − 6770.48 3534.903 − 1762.45 − 3972.81 1991.405 − 8061.84 4035.919 − 11501.2 5755.619 − 15460.2 7735.118
(2,1,2) − 2140.52 1076.261 13549.46 − 6768.73 3508.587 − 1748.29 − 3975.48 1993.742 − 8067.46 4039.732 − 11504.7 5758.347 − 15454.7 7733.362
(2,1,3) − 2154.63 1084.317 13549.42 − 6767.71 3508.869 − 1747.43 − 3975.65 1994.823 − 8065.38 4039.691 − 11504.5 5759.238 − 15454.7 7734.335
(2,1,4) − 2153.67 1084.835 13529.53 − 6756.77 3508.451 − 1746.23 − 3973.25 1994.626 − 8064.5 4040.25 − 11503.7 5759.829 − 15464.6 7740.313
(3,1,0) − 1574.6 792.2983 14388.42 − 7189.21 4002.95 − 1996.47 − 3974.31 1992.156 − 8062.93 4036.464 − 11500.2 5755.114 − 15455.1 7732.558
(3,1,1) − 2140.55 1076.273 13548.47 − 6768.23 3516.783 − 1752.39 − 3976.8 1994.4 − 8067.53 4039.765 − 11503.6 5757.818 − 15452.8 7732.382
(3,1,2) − 2149.7 1081.852 13554.94 − 6770.47 3509.209 − 1747.6 − 3975.43 1994.713 − 8065.1 4039.552 − 11506 5759.992 − 15464.1 7739.068
(3,1,3) − 2153.95 1084.974 13550.96 − 6767.48 3511.639 − 1747.82 − 4224.38 2120.19 − 8063.53 4039.764 − 11503.9 5759.925 − 15462 7739.016
(3,1,4) − 2152.05 1085.026 13519.69 − 6750.85 3512.401 − 1747.2 − 4231.06 2124.532 − 8062.73 4040.363 − 11502.2 5760.088 − 15463 7740.492
(4,1,0) − 1624.31 818.1573 14134.04 − 7061.02 3972.429 − 1980.21 − 3976.86 1994.432 − 8062.08 4037.041 − 11498.2 5755.115 − 15453.8 7732.913
(4,1,1) − 2144.11 1079.057 13550.4 − 6768.2 3507.143 − 1746.57 − 3975.12 1994.558 − 8065.59 4039.797 − 11503.3 5758.633 − 15451.1 7732.558
(4,1,2) − 2153.63 1084.816 13542.89 − 6763.45 3508.754 − 1746.38 − 4216.73 2116.367 − 8063.85 4039.924 − 11504.1 5760.056 − 15462.1 7739.034
(4,1,3) − 2152.91 1085.456 13529.09 − 6755.55 3512.235 − 1747.12 − 4232.33 2125.163 − 8062.22 4040.109 − 11502.2 5760.084 − 15460.7 7739.333
(4,1,4) − 2151.72 1085.861 13519.11 − 6749.56 3512.931 − 1746.47 − 4223.17 2121.587 − 8061.41 4040.706 − 11504.3 5762.137 − 15461.4 7740.721
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 8
(0,1,0) 1000.719 − 498.36 14815.92 − 7405.96 3240.724 − 1618.36 − 5793.75 2898.874 − 10435.1 5219.54 − 13714.3 6859.153 − 19184.9 9594.475
(0,1,1) 913.5458 − 453.773 14803.42 − 7398.71 2974.14 − 1484.07 − 6682.29 3344.147 − 11714.7 5860.351 − 15255.4 7630.678 − 21128.7 10567.34
(0,1,2) 812.4078 − 402.204 14417.66 − 7204.83 2969.805 − 1480.9 − 6859.62 3433.81 − 11959.8 5983.913 − 15569.6 7788.781 − 21529.5 10768.77
(0,1,3) 381.0692 − 185.535 13855.83 − 6922.92 2965.595 − 1477.8 − 6886.77 3448.386 − 12022.4 6016.213 − 15652.7 7831.368 − 21721.1 10865.57
(0,1,4) 141.3732 − 64.6866 13586.65 − 6787.33 2920.021 − 1454.01 − 6899.41 3455.703 − 12047.1 6029.529 − 15687.6 7849.782 − 21748.2 10880.11
(1,1,0) 935.3981 − 464.699 14807.66 − 7400.83 2972.761 − 1483.38 − 6884.94 3445.472 − 12048 6027.017 − 15707 7856.497 − 21779.2 10892.58
(1,1,1) 891.7749 − 441.887 13710.06 − 6851.03 2971.72 − 1481.86 − 6898.98 3453.488 − 12060.7 6034.346 − 15720.7 7864.358 − 21791.2 10899.6
(1,1,2) − 50.941 30.47051 13598.73 − 6794.36 2970.57 − 1480.28 − 6898.22 3454.11 − 12059.9 6034.972 − 15726.1 7868.063 − 21792.4 10901.19
(1,1,3) − 76.8743 44.43713 13574.28 − 6781.14 2476.823 − 1232.41 − 6896.66 3454.331 − 12058.1 6035.055 − 15724.9 7868.443 − 21792.9 10902.47
(1,1,4) − 75.6148 44.80739 13560.82 − 6773.41 2459.526 − 1222.76 − 6899.03 3456.517 − 12058.4 6036.199 − 15724.1 7869.055 − 21792.3 10903.15
(2,1,0) 789.3546 − 390.677 14677.54 − 7334.77 2970.107 − 1481.05 − 6899.85 3453.924 − 12059.6 6033.811 − 15718.7 7863.345 − 21790 10898.98
(2,1,1) − 80.0325 45.01623 13582.06 − 6786.03 2469.846 − 1229.92 − 6897.9 3453.952 − 12059.6 6034.81 − 15725.5 7867.756 − 21791.1 10900.53
(2,1,2) − 78.0344 45.01721 13577.05 − 6782.52 2449.91 − 1218.96 − 6896.01 3454.006 − 12057.7 6034.871 − 15724.5 7868.269 − 21801.1 10906.53
(2,1,3) − 79.7321 46.86606 13571.66 − 6778.83 2451.747 − 1218.87 − 6894.24 3454.122 − 12055.9 6034.972 − 15723.1 7868.538 − 21799.2 10906.6
(2,1,4) − 81.2009 48.60046 13562.1 − 6773.05 2452.743 − 1218.37 − 7150.85 3583.424 − 12055.3 6035.63 − 15721.1 7868.551 − 21797.1 10906.55
(3,1,0) 662.3942 − 326.197 14475.98 − 7232.99 2949.544 − 1469.77 − 6898.08 3454.038 − 12060.1 6035.031 − 15723.9 7866.948 − 21793.4 10901.68
(3,1,1) − 78.035 45.01751 13573.74 − 6780.87 2452.414 − 1220.21 − 6896.03 3454.014 − 12057.5 6034.769 − 15724.7 7868.359 − 21801 10906.51
(3,1,2) − 83.0737 48.53683 13575.19 − 6780.59 2451.802 − 1218.9 − 6894.01 3454.005 − 12055.8 6034.916 − 15721.7 7867.869 − 21798.9 10906.44
(3,1,3) − 83.993 49.99649 13559.23 − 6771.61 2453.49 − 1218.74 − 7147.48 3581.74 − 12054.3 6035.13 − 15721.4 7868.685 − 21797.2 10906.6
(3,1,4) − 83.0641 50.53203 13554.08 − 6768.04 2455.432 − 1218.72 − 7149.08 3583.541 − 12225.6 6121.821 − 15719.5 7868.746 − 21795.2 10906.6
(4,1,0) 564.8492 − 276.425 14242.99 − 7115.49 2914.164 − 1451.08 − 6896.62 3454.312 − 12058.3 6035.127 − 15726.2 7869.087 − 21793 10902.51
(4,1,1) − 76.7053 45.35263 13573.48 − 6779.74 2451.087 − 1218.54 − 6894.13 3454.065 − 12056.4 6035.207 − 15724.2 7869.125 − 21799.2 10906.58
(4,1,2) − 83.4488 49.7244 13577.21 − 6780.6 2454.841 − 1219.42 − 6892 3454.001 − 12054.5 6035.271 − 15721.8 7868.881 − 21797.1 10906.57
(4,1,3) − 88.8822 53.44109 13556.06 − 6769.03 2455.359 − 1218.68 − 7148.9 3583.452 − 12063.1 6040.537 − 15719.2 7868.578 − 21795.1 10906.57
(4,1,4) − 88.3128 54.15641 13555.19 − 6767.6 2457.375 − 1218.69 − 7145.18 3582.59 − 12061.4 6040.723 − 15726.8 7873.421 − 21794.2 10907.08
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 9
(0,1,0) − 893.678 448.8392 11925.34 − 5960.67 3075.601 − 1535.8 − 3718.74 1861.369 − 7984.14 3994.068 − 11237.1 5620.527 − 14770.1 7387.054
(0,1,1) − 1004.44 505.2178 11896.7 − 5945.35 2850.446 − 1422.22 − 4562.68 2284.338 − 9177.93 4591.967 − 12722 6364.017 − 16140.8 8073.417
(0,1,2) − 1050.74 529.3712 11595.78 − 5793.89 2838.435 − 1415.22 − 4727.64 2367.821 − 9454.37 4731.183 − 13045.6 6526.816 − 16480.2 8244.107
(0,1,3) − 1287.26 648.6323 11246.2 − 5618.1 2840.421 − 1415.21 − 4780.52 2395.26 − 9559.24 4784.622 − 13212.7 6611.344 − 16638.1 8324.047
(0,1,4) − 1438.44 725.2221 10965.76 − 5476.88 2831.377 − 1409.69 − 4792.61 2402.306 − 9596.03 4804.015 − 13261.4 6636.711 − 16695 8353.494
(1,1,0) − 980.35 493.175 11905.71 − 5949.85 2838.439 − 1416.22 − 4779.5 2392.751 − 9590.56 4798.282 − 13280.8 6643.388 − 16704.4 8355.216
(1,1,1) − 1014.65 511.3239 11048.53 − 5520.26 2840.427 − 1416.21 − 4799.07 2403.536 − 9629.9 4818.948 − 13324.4 6666.218 − 16790.9 8399.466
(1,1,2) − 1589.79 799.8925 10994.46 − 5492.23 2840.434 − 1415.22 − 4797.07 2403.535 − 9629.97 4819.987 − 13334.5 6672.262 − 16804.7 8407.352
(1,1,3) − 1604.76 808.3779 10983.74 − 5485.87 2473.421 − 1230.71 − 4796.99 2404.495 − 9628.36 4820.18 − 13332.8 6672.408 − 16803 8407.505
(1,1,4) − 1609.81 811.905 10962.35 − 5474.17 2447.767 − 1216.88 − 4795.75 2404.876 − 9626.74 4820.368 − 13331.5 6672.763 − 16801.4 8407.693
(2,1,0) − 1088.51 548.2555 11805.71 − 5898.85 2840.422 − 1416.21 − 4798.22 2403.111 − 9625.31 4816.654 − 13315.8 6661.9 − 16771.3 8389.671
(2,1,1) − 1596.54 803.2724 10988.6 − 5489.3 2842.327 − 1416.16 − 4797.07 2403.536 − 9629.61 4819.807 − 13332.5 6671.253 − 16804.8 8407.411
(2,1,2) − 1598.55 805.2746 10987.95 − 5487.97 2422.813 − 1205.41 − 4795.27 2403.635 − 9628.04 4820.02 − 13333.1 6672.531 − 16803 8407.513
(2,1,3) − 1605.45 809.7264 10984.23 − 5485.12 2838.848 − 1412.42 − 4794.31 2404.154 − 9626.13 4820.065 − 13331.2 6672.577 − 16800.7 8407.37
(2,1,4) − 1621.84 818.92 10953.37 − 5468.68 2423.384 − 1203.69 − 4793.37 2404.683 − 9624.46 4820.228 − 13329.2 6672.624 − 16799.2 8407.582
(3,1,0) − 1219.63 614.8169 11658.22 − 5824.11 2836.659 − 1413.33 − 4797.57 2403.783 − 9630.15 4820.077 − 13333.3 6671.658 − 16795.5 8402.739
(3,1,1) − 1600.91 806.4571 10986.08 − 5487.04 2435.917 − 1211.96 − 4795.89 2403.944 − 9628.31 4820.156 − 13332.3 6672.158 − 16803.1 8407.537
(3,1,2) − 1592.66 803.3286 10987.74 − 5486.87 2422.038 − 1204.02 − 4794.16 2404.078 − 9626.12 4820.059 − 13331.2 6672.608 − 16801.1 8407.533
(3,1,3) − 1624.86 820.4278 10949.25 − 5466.63 2426.804 − 1205.4 − 4792.19 2404.094 − 9624.22 4820.11 − 13329.1 6672.574 − 16799.1 8407.532
(3,1,4) − 1626.88 822.4421 10945.36 − 5463.68 2425.386 − 1203.69 − 5043.8 2530.902 − 9622.22 4820.109 − 13332.3 6675.164 − 16801.5 8409.742
(4,1,0) − 1280.78 646.3913 11421.65 − 5704.82 2820.974 − 1404.49 − 4796.53 2404.263 − 9628.35 4820.176 − 13331.6 6671.814 − 16798.4 8405.192
(4,1,1) − 1624.15 819.0752 10985.38 − 5485.69 2425.571 − 1205.79 − 4794.14 2404.068 − 9626.31 4820.157 − 13329.3 6671.66 − 16801.1 8407.536
(4,1,2) − 1630.24 823.1196 10977.86 − 5480.93 2423.38 − 1203.69 − 4792.14 2404.072 − 9624.34 4820.168 − 13329 6672.479 − 16799.1 8407.545
(4,1,3) − 1627.66 822.8313 10952.03 − 5467.01 2426.012 − 1204.01 − 4790.69 2404.347 − 9622.23 4820.116 − 13329.1 6673.552 − 16798.2 8408.078
(4,1,4) − 1622.65 821.3236 10933.41 − 5456.7 2423.177 − 1201.59 − 5036.68 2528.339 − 9620.25 4820.125 − 13330.3 6675.172 − 16799.3 8409.666
ARIMA Model PRx ARIMA AIC PRx ARIMA LL L-PRx_5 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_5 ARIMA LL L-PRx_10 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_10 ARIMA LL L-PRx_20 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_20 ARIMA LL L-PRx_30 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_30 ARIMA LL L-PRx_40 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_40 ARIMA LL L-PRx_60 ARIMA AIC L-PRx_60 ARIMA LL
Patient 10
(0,1,0) 163.2518 − 79.6259 16909.69 − 8452.85 4185.217 − 2090.61 − 6593.55 3298.773 − 12139.9 6071.97 − 16121.9 8062.971 − 22740.4 11372.2
(0,1,1) 43.72775 − 18.8639 16898.26 − 8446.13 3867.44 − 1930.72 − 7463.4 3734.698 − 13386.5 6696.245 − 17645.8 8825.923 − 24607.6 12306.8
(0,1,2) − 25.7855 16.89274 16536.7 − 8264.35 3851.529 − 1921.76 − 7639.01 3823.507 − 13701.8 6854.914 − 18070.7 9039.346 − 25200.9 12604.43
(0,1,3) − 336.423 173.2117 15919.33 − 7954.67 3850.324 − 1920.16 − 7700.07 3855.035 − 13812.2 6911.093 − 18219.4 9114.681 − 25401.9 12705.96
(0,1,4) − 538.916 275.4581 15490.67 − 7739.34 3825.536 − 1906.77 − 7713.06 3862.532 − 13854.5 6933.25 − 18303.1 9157.558 − 25493.1 12752.56
(1,1,0) 68.73661 − 31.3683 16901.95 − 8447.98 3854.824 − 1924.41 − 7668.67 3837.335 − 13792.1 6899.037 − 18227.1 9116.547 − 25458.7 12732.35
(1,1,1) 26.97656 − 9.48828 15638.97 − 7815.49 3856.429 − 1924.21 − 7706.84 3857.419 − 13868.1 6938.053 − 18322.7 9165.332 − 25597.1 12802.56
(1,1,2) − 850.326 430.1628 15512.38 − 7751.19 3852.383 − 1921.19 − 7706.38 3858.189 − 13866.6 6938.312 − 18321 9165.475 − 25595.7 12802.85
(1,1,3) − 871.22 441.61 15486.82 − 7737.41 3199.152 − 1593.58 − 7711.29 3861.644 − 13868.1 6940.072 − 18320.9 9166.455 − 25595.3 12803.63
(1,1,4) − 870.017 442.0083 15458 − 7722 3166.209 − 1576.1 − 7711.74 3862.869 − 13869.2 6941.622 − 18322.7 9168.361 − 25593.3 12803.64
(2,1,0) − 61.1811 34.59056 16765.55 − 8378.78 3856.223 − 1924.11 − 7707.21 3857.606 − 13865.3 6936.659 − 18318.7 9163.355 − 25586.6 12797.29
(2,1,1) − 867.929 438.9643 15493.91 − 7741.96 3858.71 − 1924.35 − 7705.86 3857.929 − 13866.5 6938.255 − 18320.9 9165.452 − 25595.8 12802.9
(2,1,2) − 866.928 439.4638 15485.8 − 7736.9 3128.724 − 1558.36 − 7703.02 3857.51 − 13864.1 6938.063 − 18318.8 9165.388 − 25593.1 12802.57
(2,1,3) − 871.67 442.8349 15481.13 − 7733.56 3130.03 − 1558.01 − 8089.1 4051.55 − 13864.1 6939.037 − 18317 9165.517 − 25592.4 12803.19
(2,1,4) − 872.245 444.1227 15456.91 − 7720.46 3194.675 − 1589.34 − 7709.73 3862.865 − 13866 6940.988 − 18321.4 9168.703 − 25591.3 12803.66
(3,1,0) − 203.388 106.6938 16569.07 − 8279.53 3834.951 − 1912.48 − 7706.43 3858.216 − 13867.5 6938.766 − 18321.5 9165.775 − 25592.6 12801.3
(3,1,1) − 867.261 439.6304 15482.49 − 7735.25 3141.562 − 1564.78 − 7705.22 3858.611 − 13865.7 6938.858 − 18319.5 9165.775 − 25594.8 12803.38
(3,1,2) − 865.793 439.8965 15484.45 − 7735.22 3130.098 − 1558.05 − 8078.85 4046.427 − 13863.8 6938.881 − 18317.1 9165.528 − 25592.5 12803.27
(3,1,3) − 871.288 443.6442 15486.16 − 7735.08 3131.172 − 1557.59 − 8082.56 4049.282 − 14124.2 7070.115 − 18314.8 9165.391 − 25590.7 12803.34
(3,1,4) − 870.108 444.0539 15448.09 − 7715.05 3130.903 − 1556.45 − 8085.61 4051.806 − 14127.3 7072.663 − 18319.5 9168.749 − 25589.7 12803.85
(4,1,0) − 299.205 155.6023 16282.85 − 8135.43 3800.071 − 1894.04 − 7710.49 3861.243 − 13866.2 6939.08 − 18319.6 9165.777 − 25594.4 12803.18
(4,1,1) − 875.543 444.7717 15484.29 − 7735.14 3131.513 − 1558.76 − 8083.46 4048.728 − 13863.7 6938.852 − 18317.9 9165.933 − 25593.3 12803.66
(4,1,2) − 873.137 444.5686 15475.76 − 7729.88 3131.299 − 1557.65 − 8086.99 4051.495 − 13862.2 6939.108 − 18320.3 9168.171 − 25590.9 12803.45
(4,1,3) − 870.12 444.06 15450.62 − 7716.31 3131.424 − 1556.71 − 8085.2 4051.599 − 14127.5 7072.729 − 18319 9168.492 − 25589.8 12803.9
(4,1,4) − 888.688 454.3438 15444.3 − 7712.15 3135.845 − 1557.92 − 8081.45 4050.724 − 14124.4 7072.187 − 18317.5 9168.741 − 25587.3 12803.66

Optimal ARIMA models are determined by lowest AIC and highest LL