Table 9.

CAG‐TCP: Consensus distribution of the experts for the combined impact of the quantified uncertainties affecting toxicology (if resolved) on the MOET at the 99.9th percentile of exposure for the German adult population in 2014–2016, expressed as a multiplicative factor f to be applied to the Tier II median estimate (shown in Table 2A). For more explanation, see Table 5

	Experts’ exposure multiplicative factor
Lower plausible bound	0.5
Upper plausible bound	2
Probability 1	p (f < 1) = 40%
Probability 2	p (f > 1.5) = 10%
Probability 3	p (f < 0.8) = 10%
Consensus distribution (see Figure 7)	Log Students t (location and scale of underlying 3df t 0.593 and 0.367, respectively), offset to start from 0.5