Table C.2.
Parameters for the transmission of LSDV in a cattle herd by the bites of the stable fly, S. calcitrans (Gubbins, 2019)
| parameter | symbol | estimate (95% CI)a or range |
|---|---|---|
| mechanical transmission | ||
| virus inactivation rate (day−1) | γ | 1.71 (0.80, 3.34) |
| probability of transmission from insect to bovine | b | 0.07 (0.002, 0.64) |
| probability of transmission from bovine to insect | β | 0.46 (0.23, 0.71) |
| vector life history | ||
| biting rate (day−1) | a | 0.33–6.0 |
| vector to host ratio | m | 30–145 |
| vector mortality rate (day−1) | μ | 0.04–0.11 |
| latent and infectious periods in cattle | ||
| number of stages in latent period | nE | 26 (5, 81) |
| mean latent period (days) | 1/rE | 7.3 (5.9, 9.7) |
| number of stages in infectious period | nI | 11 (2, 36) |
| mean infectious period (days) | 1/rI | 23.1 (16.4, 36.2) |
| proportion of cattle resistant to disease | pR | 0.56 (0.32, 0.75) |
a
posterior median (95% credible interval).