Table 12.

Predicted log₁₀ increase of Listeria monocytogenes, Aeromonas hydrophila and Clostridium botulinum in different spots inside tubs and boxes (on the fish surface and the maximum temperature in the matrix of fish/water or fish/air) of the case studies ‘cooling‐keeping’ process of lean small fish (CLS; #1c) and ‘keeping’ process of lean small fish (KLS; #1k) under the ‘abusive’ scenarios

Process	Hazard	Time (day)	Location of fish in box or tub						Difference between boxes and tubsc
			BOX Middle – centre	TUB Bottom – centre	BOX Middle – corner	TUB Bottom – corner	BOX Maxa	TUB Maxb	Centre	Corner	Max
			1	2	3	4	5	6	(2) – (1)	(4) – (3)	(6) – (5)
‘Cooling‐keeping’	L. monocytogenes	2	0.13	0.45	0.16	0.43	0.25	0.48	0.32	0.27	0.24
		3	0.20	0.58	0.25	0.58	0.39	0.65	0.38	0.33	0.26
		5	0.37	0.79	0.46	0.83	0.66	0.91	0.42	0.37	0.25
	A. hydrophila	2	0.00	0.91	0.02	0.87	0.27	1.17	0.91	0.85	0.89
		3	0.00	0.92	0.03	0.94	0.41	1.31	0.92	0.91	0.90
		5	0.01	0.92	0.09	0.98	0.65	1.44	0.91	0.89	0.79
	Cl. botulinum	2	0.01	0.46	0.02	0.41	0.11	0.53	0.45	0.39	0.42
		3	0.01	0.46	0.02	0.46	0.19	0.62	0.45	0.44	0.43
		5	0.01	0.46	0.07	0.48	0.32	0.70	0.45	0.41	0.38
‘Keeping’	L. monocytogenes	2	0.11	0.18	0.14	0.23	0.23	0.28	0.08	0.10	0.05
		3	0.16	0.29	0.21	0.37	0.36	0.43	0.12	0.16	0.07
		5	0.29	0.49	0.37	0.62	0.60	0.70	0.20	0.25	0.10
	A. hydrophila	2	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.24	0.20	0.00	0.03	−0.04
		3	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.34	0.32	0.00	0.07	−0.02
		5	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.13	0.51	0.45	0.00	0.11	−0.06
	Cl. botulinum	2	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.03	0.00
		3	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.16	0.17	0.00	0.06	0.01
		5	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.25	0.26	0.00	0.09	0.01

^aBased on the maximum overall temperature in the food/air matrix.

^bBased on the maximum temperature obtained for each time within the whole food/water matrix.

^cCalculated by subtracting the log₁₀ increase in tubs of the specified column number from the corresponding log₁₀ increase in the box, also indicated by the appropriate column number. A positive value indicates a greater growth potential (log₁₀ increase) in tubs compared to boxes, while the opposite is true for the negative values.