Table 13.

Predicted log₁₀ increase of Listeria monocytogenes, Aeromonas hydrophila and Clostridium botulinum in different spots inside tubs and boxes (on the fish surface and the maximum temperature in the matrix of fish/water or fish/air) of the case studies ‘cooling‐keeping’ process of fat medium fish (CFM; #4c) and ‘keeping’ process of fat medium fish (KFM; #4k) under the ‘abusive’ scenarios

Process	Hazard	Time (day)	Location of fish in box or tub						Difference between boxes and tubsc
			BOX Middle – centre	TUB Bottom – centre	BOX Middle – corner	TUB Bottom – corner	BOX Maxa	TUB Maxb	Centre	Corner	Max
			1	2	3	4	5	6	(2) – (1)	(4) – (3)	(6) – (5)
‘Cooling‐keeping’	L. monocytogenes	2	0.12	0.47	0.16	0.45	0.25	0.49	0.34	0.29	0.24
		3	0.18	0.60	0.23	0.59	0.37	0.65	0.42	0.37	0.28
		5	0.29	0.81	0.36	0.84	0.60	0.92	0.53	0.48	0.32
	A. hydrophila	2	0.00	0.99	0.02	0.90	0.29	1.19	0.99	0.88	0.90
		3	0.00	1.00	0.02	0.97	0.40	1.34	1.00	0.94	0.94
		5	0.00	1.00	0.02	1.01	0.52	1.47	1.00	0.99	0.95
	Cl. botulinum	2	0.01	0.49	0.02	0.42	0.22	0.53	0.48	0.40	0.31
		3	0.01	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.30	0.61	0.48	0.45	0.31
		5	0.01	0.49	0.02	0.49	0.37	0.69	0.48	0.47	0.32
‘Keeping’	L. monocytogenes	2	0.10	0.19	0.13	0.24	0.23	0.27	0.09	0.11	0.04
		3	0.15	0.30	0.20	0.38	0.36	0.43	0.14	0.17	0.07
		5	0.27	0.51	0.35	0.63	0.61	0.70	0.28	0.06	0.09
	A. hydrophila	2	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.26	0.20	0.00	0.03	−0.06
		3	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.37	0.32	0.00	0.08	−0.05
		5	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.13	0.54	0.45	0.00	0.12	−0.09
	Cl. botulinum	2	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.21	0.02	0.00	0.06	−0.19
		3	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.29	0.03	0.00	0.09	−0.26
		5	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.12	0.39	0.04	0.00	0.12	−0.35

^aBased on the maximum overall temperature in the food/air matrix.

^bBased on the maximum temperature obtained for each time within the whole food/water matrix.

^cCalculated by subtracting the log₁₀ increase in tubs of the specified column number from the corresponding log₁₀ increase in the box, also indicated by the appropriate column number. A positive value indicates a greater growth potential (log₁₀ increase) in tubs compared to boxes, while the opposite is true for the negative values.