Table 7.
Ranking of the predicted number of listeriosis cases per year in the female 65–74 year age group in the EU by consumption of blanched frozen vegetables (bfV) compared to seven RTE food categories
Rank | Food category/subcategory | Predicted number of cases per year | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Type of packaging | Mode of use/consumption | ||||
ROP | NAP | Uncookeda | Cookedb | |||
1 | Cold‐smoked fish | 41.6 | 41 | 0.6 | NA | NA |
2 | Cooked meat | 37 | 32 | 5 | NA | NA |
3 | Gravad fish | 32 | 4 | 28 | NA | NA |
4 | Paté | 22 | 15 | 7 | NA | NA |
5 | Hot‐smoked fish | 20 | 15 | 5 | NA | NA |
6 | Sausage | 17.6 | 14 | 3.6 | NA | NA |
7 | Soft and semi‐soft cheese | 1.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
8 | bfV, 23% uncooked, probability of illness per serving for worst‐case scenarioc | 1.62 | NA | NA | 1.6 | 0.02 |
11e | bfV, 4% uncooked, probability of illness per serving for baseline scenariod | 0.0406 | NA | NA | 0.04 | 0.0006 |
Note: For the bfV category, a baseline or a worst‐case mgQMRA uncertainty scenario was assumed based on the different proportions of total number of servings being uncooked.
bfV: blanched frozen vegetables; NA: not applicable; NAP: normal atmosphere packaging; ROP: reduced oxygen packaging.
For vegetables consumed uncooked (i.e. as ready‐to‐eat, RTE).
For vegetables consumed cooked (i.e. as recommended by most of the producers).
Considering a baseline estimate of total number of servings (2.65 × 109 servings per year) and a worst‐case scenario of the probability of illness per serving of 2.6 × 10−9.
Considering a baseline estimate of total number of servings (2.65 × 109 servings per year) and a baseline scenario of the probability of illness per serving of 4.0 × 10−10.
Positions 9 and 10 of the ranking have not been included in this table for clarity.